An empirical model of fatalities and injuries due to floods in Japan

Journal of the American Water Resources Association

Volumn 42, Issue 4, 2006, Pages 863-875

  Zhai, Guofang ^a   Fukuzono, Teruki ^a   Ikeda, Saburo ^a,b  

^a NATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE FOR EARTH SCIENCE AND DISASTER PREVENTION   (Japan)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TSUKUBA   (Japan)

Author keywords

Empirical model; Fatality and injury; Flash flood; Japan; Life loss; Rainy season flood

Indexed keywords

FLOODS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EMPIRICAL MODELS; FATALITY; FLASH FLOODS; INJURY; LIFE LOSS; RAINY SEASON FLOOD;

FLOOD DAMAGE;

FLOOD DAMAGE; FLOODS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; FLASH FLOOD; FLOOD DAMAGE; INJURY; MORTALITY; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; RISK ASSESSMENT;

ASIA; EURASIA; FAR EAST; JAPAN;

EID: 33745366481     PISSN: 1093474X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2006.tb04500.x     Document Type: Article

References (37)

1. Aboelata, M., D.S. Bowles, and D.M. McClelland, 2003. GIS Model for Estimating Dam Failure Life Loss. In: Risk-Based Decision Making in Water Resources, Y.Y.Haimes and D.A. Moser (Editors). American Society of Civil Engineers. Available at http://www.engineering.usu.edu/uwrl/www/programs/water/ Publications/GIS_Model_for_Estimating.pdf. Accessed on March 17, 2006.
2. Abt, S.R., R.J. Wittier, A. Taylor, and D.J. Love, 1989. Human Stability in a High Flood Hazard Zone. Water Resources Bulletin 25(4):881-890.
3. Brown, C.A. and W.J. Graham, 1988. Assessing the Threat to Life From Dam Failure, Water Resources Bulletin 24(6):1303-1309.
4. Central Meterological Observatory, 1920-1956. Annual Statistical Directory (Kishou Youran). Central Meteorological Observatory (CMO), Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
5. DeKay, M.L. and G.H. McClelland, 1993. Predicting Loss of Life in Cases of Dam Failure and Flash Flood. Risk Analysis 13(2):193-205.
6. Fire and Disaster Management Agency of Japan, 1955-1965. The Current Status of Fire Disasters and Fire Fighting in Japan. Fire and Disaster Management Agency of Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
7. Fire and Disaster Management Agency of Japan, 1966-2002. Fire Service White Book (Shoubou Hakushuo). Fire and Disaster Management Agency of Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
8. Fire and Disaster Management Agency of Japan, 2003. Damage Situation of Heavy Rain From July 17 to 21 (22nd Release). Available at http://www.fdma.go. jp/html/infor/030722 Kyushyu2.pdf. Accessed on July 25, 2003 (in Japanese).
9. Graham, W.J., 1999. A Procedure for Estimating Loss of Life Caused by Dam Failure. Report No. DSO-99-06, Dam Safety Office, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, Colorado.
10. Japanese Cabinet Office, 2001. Guidance for the Certification of Building Damage Due to Disasters. Available at http://www. bousai.go.jp/hou/pdf/ shishinall.pdf. Accessed on January 16, 2005 (in Japanese).
11. Japan Meteorological Agency, 1957-2001. Annual Statistical Directory (Kishou Youran). Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan, (in Japanese).
12. Japan Meteorological Agency, 2004. Report of Japan Meteorological Agency. Available at http://www.kishou.go.jp/hyouka/index.html. Accessed on January 16, 2005 (in Japanese).
13. Japan Ministry of Construction, 1947-2000. Flood Disaster Statistics (Suigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Construction, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
14. Japan Ministry of Construction, 1953-2000. Disaster Statistics (Saigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Construction, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
15. Japan Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, 2001a. Flood Disaster Statistics (Suigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
16. Japan Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, 2001b. Disaster Statistics (Saigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
17. Joffe, H., 1999. Risk and 'The Other.' Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
18. Jonkman, S.N., 2001. Food Risk: An Analysis of the Applicability of Risk Measures. Delft University of Technology (in Dutch).
19. Jonkman S.N., 2005. Global Perspectives of Loss of Life Caused by Floods. Natural Hazards 34:151-175.
20. Jonkman, S.N. P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder, and J.K. Vrijling, 2002. Loss of Life Models for Sea and River Floods. In: Flood Defense 2002, B. Wu et al. (Editors). Proc. from the Second International Symposium on Flood Defense, Beijing, China, pp. 196-206.
21. Katada Lab, 2004. Report on the 2004 Niigata-Fukushima Flood. Available at http://www.ce.gunma-u.ac.jp/regpln/katada/kataweb/atop.htm. Accessed on January 16, 2005 (in Japanese).
22. Lind, N. and D. Hartford, 2000. Probability of Human Instability in a Flooding: A Hydrodynamic Model, In: Proceedings Application of Statistics and Probability, R.E. Melcher and M.G. Stewart (Editors). Balkman, Rotterdam.
23. McClelland, D.M. and D.S. Bowles, 2002. Estimating Life Loss for Dam Safety Risk Assessment - A Review and New Approach. July 2002 IWR REPORT 02-R-3. Available at http://www.iwr. usace.army.mil/iwr/pdf/loss_life_report.pdf. Accessed on January 14, 2005.
24. Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Japan, 2000. Economic Investigation Manual for Flood Control (Draft), 70 pp (in Japanese).
25. Mizutani, T., 1996. Causative Factors of Typhoon Disasters and Secular Changes in the Damage Ratio During 1946-1995. Geographical Review of Japan, Ser. A 69(9):744-756.
26. Motoyoshi, T., K. Takao, and S. Ikeda, 2004. Determinant Factors of Residents' Acceptance of Flood Risk. Japanese Journal of Social Psychology 20(1):58-67 (in Japanese).
27. MunichRe, 2003. Topics: Annual Review: Natural Catastrophes 2002. MunichRe Group, Germany. Available at http://www. munichre.com.
28. RECPAS (Research Center for Property Assessment System), 2000. Residential Building Assessment. Available at http://www. recpas.or.jp/jigyo/ report_web/pdf/H.12/kaoku_h1303.pdf. Accessed on January 16, 2005 (in Japanese).
29. River Bureau, Ministry of Construction, 1947-2000a. Flood Disaster Statistics (Suigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Construction, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
30. River Bureau, Ministry of Construction, 1947-2000b. Disaster Statistics (Saigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Construction, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
31. River Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, 2001a. Flood Disaster Statistics (Suigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
32. River Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, 2001b. Disaster Statistics (Saigai Toukei). River Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Japan, Tokyo, Japan (in Japanese).
33. Van Manen, S.E., G. Hartsuiker, P. van Gelder, and A. Kraak, 1994. Inundatie in Limburge; eenrisico-beschouwing, Deelrapport 9, Schademodellering, Onderzoek Watersnood Maas. Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, The Netherlands (in Dutch).
34. Vrouwenvelder, A.C.W.M. and C.M. Steenhuis, 1997. Secondary Flood Defenses in the Hoeksche Waard, Calculation of the Number of Fatalities for Various Flood Scenarios. TNO 97-CON-R0332, The Netherlands (in Dutch).
35. Waarts, P.H., 1992. Method for Determining Loss of Life Caused by Inundation, September 1992. TNO, The Netherlands (in Dutch).
36. Zhai, G., T. Fukuzono, and S. Ikeda, 2003. An Empirical Model of Efficiency Analysis on Flood Prevention Investment in Japan. Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies 15(3):238-254.
37. Zhai, G., T. Sato, K. Seo, T. Fukuzono, and S. Ikeda, 2002. Risk Factor Analysis and Evaluation of Natural Disasters: Application of the RIFAE Framework to the 2000 Tokai Flood Disaster in Japan. In: Computational Intelligent Systems for Applied Research, Da Ruan, Pierre D'hondt, and Etienne E. Kerre (Editors). World Scientific Publisher, Singapore, pp. 208-217.