Statistical analysis of the historical activity of Mount Etna, aimed at the evaluation of volcanic hazard

Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

Volumn 154, Issue 3-4, 2006, Pages 159-168

  Salvi, Francesco ^a   Scandone, Roberto ^a   Palma, Claudio ^a  

^a ROMA TRE UNIVERSITY   (Italy)

Author keywords

Etna; hazard; lava

Indexed keywords

FLOW OF SOLIDS; HAZARDS; POISSON DISTRIBUTION; PROBABILITY; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; VOLCANIC ROCKS;

ERUPTIONS; SPACE-TIME DISTRIBUTION; VOLCANIC HAZARD;

VOLCANOES;

LAVA FLOW; PROBABILITY; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; VOLCANIC ERUPTION;

CATANIA [SICILY]; ETNA; EURASIA; EUROPE; ITALY; SICILY; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

EID: 33744539543     PISSN: 03770273     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2006.01.002     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. Barberi F., Carapezza M.L., Valenza M., and Villari L. The control of lava flow during the 1991-1992 eruption of Mt. Etna. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 56 (1993) 1-34
2. Behnke B., and Neri M. The July-August, 2001 eruption of Mt. Etna (Sicily). Bull. Volcanol. 65 (2003) 461-476
3. Bousquet J.C., and Lanzafame G. Nouvelle interprètation des fractures des èruption latèrales de l'Etna : consèquences pour son cadre tectonique. Bull. Soc. Gèol. France 172 4 (2001)
4. Cartografia Tecnica Regionale scala 1 : 10000, 1990. Assessorato Territorio e Ambiente, Regione Sicilia, Palermo, Italia.
5. Chester D.K., Duncan A.M., Guest J.E., and Kilburn C.R.J. Mount Etna: The Anatomy of a Volcano (1985), Chapman and Hall, London
6. Clocchiatti R., Condomine M., Guanot N., and Tanguy J.C. Magma changes at Mount Etna: the 2001 and 2002-2003 eruptions. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 226 (2004) 397-414
7. Crow L.H. Reliability analysis for complex repairable system. In: Proscham F., and Serfing R.J. (Eds). Reliability and Biometry (1974), SIAM 392-410
8. Coltelli M., Del Carlo P., and Vezzoli L. Discovery of a Plinian basaltic eruption of Roman age at Etna Volcano, Italy. Geology 26 (1998) 1095-1098
9. Davis J.C. Statistics and Data Analysis in Geology (2002), John Wiley and Sons, New York 638 pp.
10. Favalli M., Innocenti F., Pareschi M.T., Pasquarè G., Mazzarini F., Branca S., Cavarra L., and Tibaldi A. The DEM of Mount Etna: geomorphological and structural implications. Geodin. Acta (Paris) 12 5 (1999) 279-290
11. Guest J., and Murray J.B. An analysis of hazard from Mount Etna volcano, Sicily. J. Geol. Soc. Lond. 136 (1979) 347-354
12. Harris A.J.L., Murray J.B., Aries S.E., Davies M.A., Flynn L.P., Wooster M.J., Wright R., and Rothery D.A. Effusion rate trends at Mount Etna and Krafla and their implications for eruptive mechanisms. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 102 (2000) 237-270
13. Ho C.H. Volcanic time-trend analysis. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 74 (1996) 171-177
14. Kilburn C.R.J. Surface of aa flow fields on Mt. Etna, Sicily: morphology, rheology, crystallization and scaling phenomena. In: Fink J. (Ed). Lava Flows and Domes: Emplacement Mechanism and Hazard Implications (1990), Springer, Berlin 129-156
15. Kilburn C.R.J. Lava crusts, aa flow lengthening, and pahoehoe-aa transition. In: Kilburn C.R.J., and Luongo G. (Eds). Active Lavas: Monitoring and Modelling (1993), UCL Press, London 263-280
16. Kilburn C.R.J. Patterns and predictability in the emplacement of subaerial lava flows and low-fields. In: Scarpa R., and Tilling R.I. (Eds). Monitoring and Mitigation of Volcano Hazards (1996), Springer, Berlin 491-537
17. Kilburn C. Fracturing as a quantitative indicator of lava flow dynamics. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 132 (2004) 209-224
18. Kilburn C.R.J., and Lopes R.M.C. The growth of aa flow fields on Mt Etna, Sicily. J. Geophys. Res. 93 (1988) 14759-14772
19. Kilburn C.R.J., and Guest J.E. Aa lavas of Mount Etna, Sicily. In: Kilburn C.R.J., and Luongo G. (Eds). Active Lavas: Monitoring and Modelling (1993), UCL Press, London 73-106
20. Lo Giudice E., Patanè G., Rasà R., and Romano R. The structural framework of Mount Etna. Mem. Soc. Geol. Ital. 23 (1982) 125-158
21. Marzocchi W. Chaos and stochasticity in volcanic eruptions the case of Mount Etna and Vesuvius. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 70 (1996) 205-212
22. Marzocchi W., Sandri L., Gasparini P., Newhall C.G., and Boschi E. Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: the example of volcanic hazards at Mt Vesuvius. J. Geophys. Res. 109 (2004) B11201 10.1029/2004JB003155
23. Macdonald G.A. Pahoehoe, aa, and block lava. Am. J. Sci. 251 (1953) 169-191
24. Mulargia F., Tinti S., and Boschi E. A statistical analysis of flank eruptions on Etna Volcano. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 23 (1985) 263-272
25. Mulargia F., Gasperini P., and Tinti S. Identifying different regimes in eruptive activity: an application to Etna Volcano. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 34 (1987) 89-106
26. Mulargia F., Marzocchi W., and Gasperini P. Statistical identification of physical patterns which accompany eruptive activity on Mount Etna, Sicily. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 53 (1992) 289-296
27. Newhall C.G., and Hoblitt R.P. Constructing event trees for volcanic crises. Bull. Volcanol. 64 (2002) 3-20
28. Pareschi M.T., Cavarra L., Favalli M., Giannini F., and Meriggi A. Gis and volcanic risk management. Nat. Hazards 21 (2000) 361-379
29. Patanè D., Chiarabba C., Cocina O., DeGori P., Moretti M., and Boschi E. Tomographic images of the 3D earthquake locations of the seismic swarm preceeding the 2001 Etna eruption: evidence for a dyke intrusion. Geophys. Res. Lett. 29 (2002) 10.1029/2001GL14391
30. Rittman A., Romano R., and Sturiale C. L'eruzione etnea dell'aprile-giugno 1971. Atti Accad. Gioenia Sci. Nat. (Catania) VII-3 (1971) 1-29
31. Romano R. Geological Map of Mt. Etna. Progetto Finalizzato Geodinamica (1975), CNR, Rome, Italy
32. Romano R. Succession of the volcanic activity in the Etnean area. Mem. Soc. Geol. Ital. 23 (1982) 27-48
33. Romano R. Carta Geologica dell'Etna. SELCA Srl, Firenze (1989)
34. Romano R., and Sturiale C. The historical eruptions of Mount Etna (volcanological data). Mem. Soc. Geol. Ital. 23 (1982) 75-97
35. Scandone R., Giacomelli L., and Gasparini P. Mount Vesuvius: 2000 years of volcanological observations. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 58 (1993) 5-25
36. Simkin T., and Siebert L. Volcanoes of the world. Smithsonian Institution. II edition (1994), Geoscience Press, Tucson 349
37. Taddeucci J., Pompilio M., and Scarlato P.L. Monitoring the explosive activity of the July - August 2001 eruption of Mt. Etna, Italy, by ash characterization. Geophys. Res. Lett. 29 (2002) 1029-1032
38. Tanguy J.C. Les éruptions historiques de l'Etna: chronologie et localisation. Bull. Volcanol. 44 (1981) 585-640
39. Tanguy J.C., Kieffer G., and Patanè G. Dynamics, lava volume and effusion rate during the 1991-1993 eruption of Mount Etna. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 71 (1996) 259-265
40. Wadge G. The storage and release of magma on Mount Etna. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 2 (1977) 361-384
41. Wadge G. The variation of magma discharge during basaltic eruptions. J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 11 (1981) 139-168
42. Walker G.P.L. Lengths of lava flow. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. 274 (1973) 107-118