Dam ageing diagnosis and risk analysis: Development of methods to support expert judgment

Canadian Geotechnical Journal

Volumn 43, Issue 2, 2006, Pages 169-186

  Peyras, Laurent ^a   Royet, Paul ^a   Boissier, Daniel ^b  

^a CEMAGREF   (France)

^b UNIVERSITÉ CLERMONT AUVERGNE   (France)

Author keywords

Ageing; Criticality; Dam; Diagnosis; Risk analysis

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENT PREVENTION; AGING OF MATERIALS; DATABASE SYSTEMS; FAILURE ANALYSIS; MODEL STRUCTURES; RISK ASSESSMENT; STATISTICAL METHODS;

AGEING DIAGNOSIS; DAM STABILITY; FUNCTIONAL MODELLING; OPERATIONAL SAFETY ANALYSIS; RISK ANALYSIS;

DAMS;

ACCIDENT PREVENTION; AGING OF MATERIALS; DAMS; DATABASE SYSTEMS; FAILURE ANALYSIS; MODEL STRUCTURES; RISK ASSESSMENT; STATISTICAL METHODS;

DAM FAILURE; FAILURE ANALYSIS; GRAPHICAL METHOD; MONITORING; NUMERICAL MODEL; RISK ASSESSMENT; SAFETY; STABILITY ANALYSIS;

EID: 33744536711     PISSN: 00083674     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1139/t05-096     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. DoD. 1980. MIL-STD-1629A Military standard procedures for performing a failure mode, effects and criticality analysis. Department of Defense, Washington, D.C.
2. EDF-Cemagref. 1998.Vigie Barrages. CD Rom 10-98 version 1, October 1998. EDF CETAP, Paris.
3. Forbus, K.D. 1996. Qualitative reasoning. In The computer science and engineering handbook. Edited by A.B. Tucker. CRC Press, Evanston Ill. pp. 715-733.
4. FRCOLD. 1997. Internal erosion: typology, detection, repair. Le Bourget du Lac. FRCOLD Editions, Paris, France.
5. Hartford, D.N.D., and Baecher, G.B. 2004. Risk and uncertainty in dam safety. Thomas Telford Publishing, London, UK.
6. ICOLD. 1983. Deterioration of dams and reservoirs - examples and their analysis. ICOLD Editions, Paris, France.
7. ICOLD. 1993. Bulletin 93: Ageing of dams and appurtenant works - review and recommendations. ICOLD Editions, Paris, France.
8. ICOLD. 2003. Risk assessment in dam safety management - A reconnaissance of benefits, methods and current applications. ICOLD Editions, Paris, France.
9. IEC. 1985. Analysis techniques for system reliability - Procedure for failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA), IEC 60812, International Electrotechnical Commission, Geneva, Switzerland.
10. Kaplan, S., and Garrick, B.J. 1981. On the quantitative definition of risk. Risk Analysis, 1: 11-27.
11. Kreuser, H. 2000a. Risk analysis for existing dams: merits and limits of credibility. Hydropower and Dams, 1: 49-53.
12. Kreuser, H. 2000b. Question 76 - The use of risk analysis to support dam safety decisions and management. In ICOLD 20th International Congress On Large Dams, Beijing, 19-22 September 2000, Question 76. ICOLD Editions, Paris, France. pp. 769-896.
13. Laleu, V., Reverchon, B., Cault, J.B., and Lefranc, M. 2000. La politique de maintenance des ouvrages et matériels de production hydroélectricité d'EDF. Une expérience d'analyse de risque simplifiée, appliquée à l'optimisation de la maintenance d'un grand canal. In ICOLD 20th International Congress On Large Dams, Beijing, 19-22 September 2000, Q.76-R.34. ICOLD Editions, Paris, France. pp. 511-525.
14. Modarres, M. 1993. What every engineer should know about reliability and risk analysis. Marcel Dekker Publisher, Inc., New York.
15. Monfort, L., Millet, J.C., Fabre, J.P., Bordes, J.L., Euvrad, D., Ricard, C., and Royet, P. 1991. Eléments de méthodologie pour la détection et l'analyse du vieillissement illustrés par des exemples. In ICOLD 17th International Congress On Large Dams, Vienna, 17-21 June 1991, Q.65-R.23. ICOLD Editions, Paris, France. pp. 405-437.
16. Normes françaises. 1986. NF X 60-510. Techniques d'analyse de la fiabilité des systèmes - Procédures d'analyse des modes de défaillance et de leurs effects (AMDE) - Fascicule de documentation. Paris.
17. Peyras, L. 2003. Diagnostic et analyse de risques liés au vieillissement des barrages- Développement de méthode d'aide à l'expertise. Thèse de doctorat spécialité Génie Civil, Laboratoire de Génie Civil, Université Blaise Pascal - Clermont II, Clermont-Ferrand, France.
18. Peyras, L., Royet, P., Boissier, D., and Vergne, A. 2002. Development of a scenario-based decision support system for dam ageing diagnosis. In Journal of Decision Systems, 11: 445-458.
19. Stewart, R.A. 2000. Risk assessment - Why bother ? In Proceedings of the Canadian Dam Association Annual Conference, Regina, September 2000. Naylor Publications Company, Winnipeg, Man. pp. 1-7.
20. Zwingelstein, G. 1996. La maintenance basée sur la fiabilité. Hermes Editions, Paris, France.