Estimating and projecting HIV prevalence and AIDS deaths in Tanzania using antenatal surveillance data

BMC Public Health

Volumn 6, Issue , 2006, Pages

  Somi, Geofrey R ^a   Matee, Mecky I N ^b   Swai, Roland O ^a   Lyamuya, Eligius F ^b   Killewo, Japhet ^b,e   Kwesigabo, Gideon ^b   Tulli, Tuhuma ^a   Kabalimu, Titus K ^c   Ng'ang'a, Lucy ^d   Isingo, Raphael ^e   Ndayongeje, Joel ^a  

^a National AIDS Control Program   (Tanzania)

^b MUHIMBILI UNIVERSITY OF HEALTH AND ALLIED SCIENCES   (Tanzania)

^c Tanzania Commission for Science and Technology   (Tanzania)

^d Programme   (Tanzania)

^e NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR MEDICAL RESEARCH   (Tanzania)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACQUIRED IMMUNE DEFICIENCY SYNDROME; ARTICLE; DEMOGRAPHY; EPIDEMIC; HEALTH CARE ORGANIZATION; HEALTH PROGRAM; HEALTH SURVEY; HUMAN; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS; HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS INFECTION; INFORMATION PROCESSING; MORTALITY; PRENATAL CARE; PREVALENCE; TANZANIA; ACQUIRED IMMUNODEFICIENCY SYNDROME; ADOLESCENT; ADULT; COMPARATIVE STUDY; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HEALTH; HIV INFECTIONS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PREGNANCY; PREGNANCY COMPLICATIONS, INFECTIOUS; SENTINEL SURVEILLANCE; STATISTICS AND NUMERICAL DATA; TRENDS; UTILIZATION;

ACQUIRED IMMUNODEFICIENCY SYNDROME; ADOLESCENT; ADULT; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HEALTH SURVEYS; HIV INFECTIONS; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PREGNANCY; PREGNANCY COMPLICATIONS, INFECTIOUS; PRENATAL CARE; PREVALENCE; RURAL HEALTH; SENTINEL SURVEILLANCE; TANZANIA; URBAN HEALTH;

EID: 33744498090     PISSN: 14712458     EISSN: 14712458     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/1471-2458-6-120     Document Type: Article

References (22)

1. Ghys PD, Brown T, Grassly NC, Garnett G, Stanecki KA, Stover J, Walker N: The UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package: a software package to estimate and project national HIV epidemics. Sex Transm Infect 2004, 80:5-9.
2. Gregson S, Terceira N, Kakowa M, Mason PR, Anderson RM, Chandiwana SK, Carael M: Study of bias in antenatal clinic HIV-1 surveillance data in high contraceptive prevalence populations in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 2002, 16:643-652.
3. Fylkesnes K, Ndhlovu Z, Kasumba K, Musonda RM, Sichone M: Studying dynamics of the HIV epidemic: population-based data compared with sentinel surveillance in Zambia. AIDS 1998, 12:1227-1234.
4. Kilian AH, Gregson S, Ndyanabangi B, Walusaga K, Kipp W, Sahlmuller G, Garnett GP, Asiimwe-Okiror G, Kabagambe G, Weis P, von Sonnenburg F: Reductions in risk behaviour provide the most consistent explanation for declining HIV-1 prevalence in Uganda. AIDS 1999, 13:391-398.
5. Kwesigabo G, Killewo JZ, Urassa W, Mbena E, Mhalu F, Lugalla JL, Godoy C, Biberfeld G, Emmelin M, Wall S, Sandstrom A: Monitoring of HIV-1 infection prevalence and trends in the general population using pregnant women as a sentinel population: 9 years experience from the Kegera region of Tanzania. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2000, 23:410-417.
6. Ministry of Health: Population-based serosurvey. Kigali: Ministry of Health, Republic of Rwanda. Republic of Rwanda 1997 1998.
7. Kigadye RM, Klokke A, Nicoll A, Nyamuryekung'e KM, Borgdorff M, Barongo L, Laukamm-Josten U, Lisekie F, Grosskurth H, Kigadye F: Sentinel surveillance for HIV-1 among pregnant women in a developing country: 3 years' experience and comparison with a population serosurvey. AIDS 1993, 7:849-855.
8. Borgdorff M, Barongo L, van Jaarsveld E, Klokke A, Senkoro K, Newell J, Nicoll A, Mosha F, Grosskurth H, Swai R: Sentinel surveillance for HIV-1 infection: how representative are blood donors, outpatients with fever, anaemia, or sexually transmitted diseases, and antenatal clinic attenders in Mwanza region, Tanzania? AIDS 1993, 7:567-572.
9. Glynn JR, Buve A, Carael M, Musonda RM, Kahindo M, Macauley I, Tembo F, Zekeng L: Factors influencing the difference in HIV prevalence between antenatal clinic and general population in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 2001, 15:1717-1725.
10. Stover J: Projecting the demographic consequences of adult HIV prevalence trends: the Spectrum Projection Package. Sex Transm Infect 2004, 80:14-18.
11. United Republic of Tanzania: The National Bureau of Statistics. 2002 population and housing census. [http://http.www.tanzania.go.tz.].
12. Tanzania Commision for AIDS, National Bureau of Statistics and ORC Macro: HIV/AIDS Indicator Survey 2003-2004. 2005.
13. Mnyika KS, Klepp KI, Kvale G, Nilssen S, Kissila PE, Ole-King'ori N: Prevalence of HIV-1 infection in urban, semi-urban and rural areas in Arusha region, Tanzania. AIDS 1994, 8:1477-1481.
14. Killewo J, Dahlgren L, Sandstrom A: A Socio-geographical patterns of HIV-1 transmission in Kagera Region, Tanzania. Soc Sci Med 1994, 38:129-134.
15. Mwaluko G, Urassa M, Isingo R, Zaba B, Boerma JT: Trends in HIV and sexual behaviour in a longitudinal study in a rural population in Tanzania, 1994-2000. AIDS 2003, 17:2645-2651.
16. Barongo LR, Borgdorff MW, Mosha FF, Nicoll A, Grosskurth H, Senkoro KP, Newell JN, Changalucha J, Klokke AH, Killewo JZ: The epidemiology of HIV-1 infection in urban areas, roadside settlements and rural villages in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. AIDS 1992, 6:1521-1528.
17. Bloom SS, Urassa M, Isingo R, Ng'weshemi J, Boerma JT: Community effects on the risk of HIV infection in rural Tanzania. Sex Transm Infect 2002, 78:261-266.
18. Lugalla J, Emmelin M, Mutembei A, Sima M, Kwesigabo G, Killewo J, Dahlgren L: Social, cultural and sexual behavioral determinants of observed decline in HIV infection trends: lessons from the Kagera Region, Tanzania. Soc Sci Med 2004, 59:185-198.
19. Crosby RA, Kamb ML, Newman D, Zenilman J, Douglas JD, Iatesta M: Frequency and predictors of condom use and reasons for not using condoms among low-income women. J Sex Edu Therapy 1999, 24:63-70.
20. Boerma JT, Urassa M, Nnko S, Ng'weshemi J, Isingo R, Zaba B, Mwaluko G: Sociodemographic context of the AIDS epidemic in a rural area in Tanzania with a focus on people's mobility and marriage. Sex Transm Infect 2002, 78:97-105.
21. Bloom SS, Urassa M, Isingo R, Ng'weshemi J, Boerma JT: Community effects on the risk of HIV infection in rural Tanzania. Sex Transm Infect 2002, 78:261-266.
22. Barongo LR, Borgdorff MW, Mosha FF, Nicoll A, Grosskurth H, Senkoro KP, Newell JN, Changalucha J, Klokke AH, Killewo JZ: The epidemiology of HIV-1 infection in urban areas, roadside settlements and rural villages in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. AIDS 1992, 6:1521-1528.