Application of mark-recapture methods to lions: Satisfying assumptions by using covariates to explain heterogeneity

Journal of Zoology

Volumn 269, Issue 2, 2006, Pages 161-174

  Ogutu, J O ^a,b,d   Piepho, H P ^b   Dublin, H T ^c   Reid, R S ^d   Bhola, N ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND   (South Africa)

^b UNIVERSITY OF HOHENHEIM   (Germany)

^c World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF)   (Kenya)

^d INTERNATIONAL LIVESTOCK RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Kenya)

Author keywords

Accuracy; Bias; Panthera leo; Precision; Sight resight estimators

Indexed keywords

CARNIVORE; COVARIANCE ANALYSIS; MAMMAL; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; POPULATION SIZE; WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT;

PANTHERA LEO;

EID: 33646855355     PISSN: 09528369     EISSN: 14697998     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1469-7998.2006.00058.x     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Agresti A. 1994 Simple capture-recapture models permitting unequal catchability and variable sampling effort. Biometrics 50, 494 500.
2. Agresti A. 2002 Categorical data analysis. 2nd edn. New York: Wiley.
3. Arnason A.N. Mills K.H. 1981 The bias and loss of precision due to tag loss in Jolly-Seber estimates for mark-recapture experiments. C. J. Fish Aqu. Sci. 38, 1077 1095.
4. Arnason A.N. Schwarz C.J. Gerrard J.M. 1991 Estimating closed population size and number of marked animals from sighting data. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 55, 716 730.
5. Bailey N.T.J. 1952 Improvements in the interpretation of recapture data. J. Anim. Ecol. 21, 120 127.
6. Bartmann R.M. White G.C. Carpenter L.H. Garrott R.A. 1987 Aerial mark-recapture estimates of confined mule deer in pinyon-juniper woodland. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 51, 41 46.
7. Bowden D. Anderson A.E. Medin D.E. 1984 Sampling plans for mule deer age and sex ratios. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 48, 500 509.
8. Bowden D. Kufeld R.C. 1995 Generalized mark-sight population size estimation applied to Colorado moose. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 59, 840 851.
9. Buckland S.T. Anderson D.R. Burnham K.P. Laake J.L. Borchers D.L. Thomas L. 2001 Introduction to distance sampling. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
10. Buckland S.T. Anderson D.R. Burnham K.P. Laake J.L. Borchers D.L. Thomas L. (Eds) 2004 Advanced distance sampling. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
11. Burnham K.P. Anderson D.R. 2002 Model selection and multi-model inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. 2nd edn. New York: Springer Verlag.
12. Burnham K.P. Anderson D.R. White G.C. Brownie C. Pollock K. 1987 Design and analysis methods for fish survival experiments based on release-recapture. Am. Fish. Soc. Monogr. 5.
13. Caro T.M. 1994 Cheetahs of the Serengeti plains: group living in an asocial species. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
14. Caro T.M. Durant S.M. 1991 Use of quantitative analyses of pelage characteristics to reveal family resemblances in genetically monomorphic cheetahs. J. Hered. 82, 8 14.
15. Chapman D.G. Junge C.O. Jr. 1956 The estimation of the size of a stratified animal population. Ann. Math. Stat. 27, 375 389.
16. Creel S. Creel N.M. 1996 Limitation of African wild dogs by competition with larger carnivores. Conserv. Biol. 10, 526 538.
17. Dasmann R.F. Taber R.D. 1955 A comparison of four deer census methods. Calif. Fish Game 41, 225 228.
18. Flyger V.F. 1959 A comparison of methods for estimating squirrel populations. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 23, 220 223.
19. Greenwood R.J. Sargeant A.B. Douglash H.J. 1985 Evaluation of mark-recapture for estimating striped skunk abundance. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 49, 332 339.
20. Henzell R.P. McCloud P.I. 1984 Estimation of the density of feral goats in part of arid South Australia by means of the Petersen estimate. Aust. Wildl. Res. 11, 93 102.
21. Hofer H. East M.L. 1993 The commuting system of Serengeti spotted hyenas - how a predator copes with migratory prey. 1. Social-organization. Anim. Behav. 46, 547 557.
22. Holekamp K.E. Ogutu J.O. Dublin H.T. Frank L.G. Smale L. 1993 Fission of a spotted hyena clan: consequences of prolonged female absenteeism and causes of female emigration. Ethology 93, 285 299.
23. Huggins R.M. 1989 On the statistical analysis of capture experiments. Biometrika 76, 33 140.
24. Karanth K.U. Nichols J.D. 1998 Estimation of tiger densities in India using photographic captures and recaptures. Ecology 79, 2852 2862.
25. Krebs C.J. 1966 Demographic changes in fluctuating populations of Microtus californiacus. Ecol. Monogr. 36, 239 273.
26. Mace R.D. Mionta S.C. Manley T.L. Aune K.E. 1994 Estimating grizzly bear population-size using camera sightings. Wildl. Soc. Bull. 22, 64 83.
27. Maddock A.H. Mills M.G.L. 1994 Population characteristics of African wild dogs Lycaon pictus in the eastern Transvaal Lowveld, South Africa, as revealed through photographic records. Biol. Conserv. 67, 57 62.
28. Maddock L. 1979 The "migration" and grazing succession. In Serengeti: dynamics of an ecosystem: 104 129. Sinclair A.R.E. Norton-Griffiths M. (Eds). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
29. Maddox T.M. 2003 The ecology of cheetahs and other large carnivores in a pastoralist-dominated buffer zone. PhD thesis, University College, London and Institute of Zoology, London.
30. McCullough D.M. Hirth D.H. 1988 Evaluation of the Petersen-Lincoln estimator for a white-tailed deer population. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 52, 534 544.
31. Mills G.M.L. Juritz J.M. Zucchini W. 2001 Estimating the size of spotted hyena (Crocuta crocuta) through playback recordings allowing for non-response. Anim. Conserv. 4, 335 343.
32. Minta S. Mangel M. 1989 A simple population estimate based on simulation for capture-recapture and capture-resight data. Ecology 70, 1738 1751.
33. Miththapala S. Seidensticker J. Phillips L.G. Fernando S.B.U. Smallwood J. 1989 Identification of individual leopards (Panthera pardus kotiya) using spot pattern variation. J. Zool. (Lond.) 218, 527 536.
34. Neal K.A. White G.C. Gill R.B. Reed D.F. Olterman J.H. 1993 Evaluation of mark-resight model assumptions for estimating mountain sheep numbers. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 57, 436 450.
35. Ogutu J.O. Bhola N. Reid R.S. 2005 The effects of pastoralism and protection on the density and distribution of carnivores and their prey in the Mara ecosystem of Kenya. J. Zool. (Lond.) 265, 281 293.
36. Ogutu J.O. Dublin H.T. 1998 The response of lions and spotted hyenas to sound playbacks as a technique for estimating population size. Afr. J. Ecol. 36, 83 95.
37. Ogutu J.O. Dublin H.T. 2002 Demography of lions in relation to prey and habitat in the Masai Mara National Reserve, Kenya. Afr. J. Ecol. 40, 1 10.
38. Ogutu J.O. Dublin H.T. 2004 Spatial dynamics of lions and their prey along an environmental gradient. Afr. J. Ecol. 42, 8 22.
39. Otis D.L. Burnham K.P. White G.C. Anderson D.R. 1978 Statistical inference from capture data on closed animal populations. Wildl. Monogr. 62, 1 135.
40. Pennycuick C.J. Rudnai J. 1970 A method of identifying individual lions Panthera leo with an analysis of the variability of identification. J. Zool. (Lond.) 160, 497 508.
41. Potthoff R.F. Whittinghill M. 1966 Testing for homogeneity II. The Poisson distribution. Biometrika 53, 183 190.
42. Rice W.R. Harder J.D. 1977 Application of multiple aerial sampling to a mark-recapture census of white-tailed deer. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 41, 197 206.
43. Robson D.S. Reiger H.A. 1964 Sample size in Petersen mark-recapture experiments. Trans. Am. Fish. Soc. 93, 215 226.
44. Samuel M.D. Garton E.O. Schlegel M.W. Carson R.G. 1987 Visibility bias during aerial surveys of elk in northcentral Idaho. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 51, 622 630.
45. Schaller G.B. 1972 The Serengeti lion: a study of predator-prey relations. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
46. Schwarz C.J. Seber G.A.F. 1999 Estimating animal abundance: review III. Stat. Sci. 14, 427 456.
47. Seber G.A.F. 1970 The effect of trap response on tag recapture estimates. Biometrics 26, 13 22.
48. Seber G.A.F. 1982 The estimation of animal abundance. London: Edward Arnold.
49. Smith M.H. 1968 A comparison of different methods of capturing and estimating numbers of mice. J. Mamm. 49, 455 462.
50. Smuts G.L. 1976 Population characteristics and recent history of lions in two parts of the Kruger National Park. Koedoe 19, 153 164.
51. Steel R.G.D. Torie J.H. 1980 Principles and procedures of statistics: a biometrical approach. 2nd edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
52. Strandgaard H. 1967 Reliability of the Petersen method tested on a roe deer population. J. Wildl. Mgmt. 31, 643 651.
53. White G.C. 1993 Evaluation of radio tagging, marking and sighting estimators of population size using Monte Carlo simulations. In Marked individuals in the study of bird populations: 91 103. Lebreton J.-D. North P.M. (Eds). Basel: Birkhäuser Verlag.
54. White G.C. Anderson D.R. Burnham K.P. Otis D.L. 1982 Capture-recapture and removal methods for sampling closed populations. Los Alamos National Laboratory Report LA-8787-NERP.
55. White G.C. Garrot R.A. 1990 Analysis of wildlife radio-tracking data. New York: Academic Press.