Seasonal life-history models for the integrated management of the invasive weed nodding thistle Carduus nutans in Australia

Journal of Applied Ecology

Volumn 43, Issue 3, 2006, Pages 517-526

  Shea, Katriona ^a   Sheppard, Andy ^b   Woodburn, Tim ^b  

^a PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b The CRC for Australian Weed Management   (Australia)

Author keywords

Biological control; Carduus nutans; Individual variation; Individual based models; Integrated pest management; Musk thistle; Noxious weed; Population dynamics; Stochasticity

Indexed keywords

BIOCONTROL AGENT; GRAZING MANAGEMENT; HERBICIDE; INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT; INVASIVE SPECIES; LIFE HISTORY; WEED;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA;

CARDUUS; CARDUUS NUTANS; INSECTA; RHINOCYLLUS CONICUS; TRICHOSIROCALUS; UROPHORA SOLSTITIALIS;

EID: 33646550174     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: 13652664     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2006.01160.x     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Alonso-Zarazaga M.A. Sanchez-Ruiz M. 2002 Revision of the Trichosirocalus horridus (Panzer) species complex, with description of two new species infesting thistles (Coleoptera: Curculionidae, Ceutorhynchinae) Australian Journal of Entomology 41 199 208
2. Buckley Y.M. Briese D.T. Rees M. 2003a Demography and management of the invasive plant species Hypericum perforatum. I. Using multi-level mixed-effects models for characterizing growth, survival and fecundity in a long-term data set Journal of Applied Ecology 40 481 493
3. Buckley Y.M. Briese D.T. Rees M. 2003b Demography and management of the invasive plant species Hypericum perforatum. II. Construction and use of an individual-based model to predict population dynamics and the effects of management strategies Journal of Applied Ecology 40 494 507
4. Buckley Y.M. Hinz H.L. Matthies D. Rees M. 2001 Interactions between density-dependent processes, population dynamics and control of an invasive plant species, Tripleurospermum perforatum (scentless chamomile) Ecology Letters 4 551 558
5. Buckley Y.M. Rees M. Paynter Q. Lonsdale M. 2004 Modelling integrated weed management of an invasive shrub in tropical Australia Journal of Applied Ecology 41 547 560
6. Buckley Y.M. Rees M. Sheppard A.W. Smyth M.J. 2005 Stable coexistence of an invasive plant and biocontrol agent: a parameterized coupled plant-herbivore model Journal of Applied Ecology 42 70 79
7. Cartwright B. Kok L.T. 1985 Growth responses of musk and plumeless thistles (Carduus nutans and C. acanthoides) to damage by Trichosirocalus horridus (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) Weed Science 33 57 62
8. Caswell H. 2001 Matrix Population Models: Construction, Analysis and Interpretation 2nd edn Sinauer Associates Inc. Boston, MA
9. Caughley G. Lawton J.H. 1981 Plant-herbivore systems Theoretical Ecology, Principles and Applications (ed RM May 2nd edn pp 132 166 Blackwell Scientific Publications Oxford, UK
10. Crawley M.J. 1993 GLIM for Ecologists Blackwell Publishing Oxford, UK
11. Dellow J.J. 1996 Herbicide techniques for thistle management Plant Protection Quarterly 11 276 277
12. Godfray H.C.J. Waage J.K. 1991 Predictive modeling in biological control: the mango mealy bug (Rastrococcus invadens) and its parasitoids Journal of Applied Ecology 28 434 453
13. Harrington K.C. 1996 Herbicide management and thistle control: how to avoid resistance Plant Protection Quarterly 11 273 275
14. Huwer R.K. Briese D.T. Dowling P.M. Kemp D.R. Lonsdale W.M. Michalk D.L. Neave M.J. Sheppard A.W. Woodburn T.L. 2005 Can an integrated management approach provide a basis for long-term prevention of weed dominance in Australian pasture systems? Weed Research 45 175 192
15. Jones R. Cacho O. Sinden J. 2004 The importance of seasonal variability on measuring the benefits of a technology: a case study of integrated weed management 48th Annual Conference of the Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society 1 15 AARES, Canborra.,Cacho&Sinden.pdf, accessed 15 February 2006
16. Julien M.H. Griffiths M.W. 1999 Biological Control of Weeds: A World Catalogue of Agents and their Target Weeds CABI Publishing Wallingford, UK
17. Kelly D. McCallum K. 1995 Evaluating the impact of Rhinocyllus conicus on Carduus nutans New Zealand Proceedings of the 8th International Symposium on Biological Control of Weeds (eds ES Delfosse RR Scott pp 205 211 DSIR/CSIRO, Lincoln University Canterbury, New Zealand
18. Kéry M. 2004 Extinction rate estimates for plant populations in revisitation studies: importance of detectability Conservation Biology 18 570 574
19. Kéry M. Gregg K.B. Schaub M. 2005 Demographic estimation methods for plants with unobservable life-states Oikos 108 307 320
20. Kriticos D.J. Sutherst R.W. Brown J.R. Adkins S.W. Maywald G.F. 2003 Climate change and the potential distribution of an invasive alien plant: Acacia nilotica ssp. indica. Australia Journal of Applied Ecology 40 111 124
21. McCarthy M.A. Thompson C. 2001 Expected minimum population size as a measure of threat Animal Conservation 4 351 355
22. Milbrath L.R. Nechols J.R. 2004a Indirect effect of early-season infestations of Trichosirocalus horridus on Rhinocyllus conicus (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) Biological Control 30 95 109
23. Milbrath L.R. Nechols J.R. 2004b Individual and combined effects of Trichosirocalus horridus and Rhinocyllus conicus (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) on musk thistle Biological Control 30 418 429
24. Milner-Gulland E.J. Shea K. Possingham H. Coulson T. Wilcox C. 2001 Competing harvesting strategies in a simulated population under uncertainty Animal Conservation 4 157 167
25. Moore W.B. Doyle C.J. Rahman A. 1989 Economics of controlling Carduus nutans on grazed pasture in New Zealand Crop Protection 8 16 24
26. Murdoch W.W. Briggs C.J. 1996 Theory for biological control: recent developments Ecology 77 2001 2013
27. Parma A.M. Amarasekare P. Mangel M. Moore J. Murdoch W.W. Noonburg E. Pascual M.A. Possingham H.P. Shea K. Wilcox C. Yu D. 1998 What can adaptive management do for our fish, forests, food and biodiversity? Integrative Biology, Issues, News and Reviews 1 16 26
28. Pearce G.A. 1969 Weed control in pastures: a practical approach for sheep areas Journal of the Department of Agriculture of Western Australia 11 139 142
29. Popay A.I. Medd R.W. 1995 Carduus nutans L. ssp. nutans The Biology of Australian Weeds, Volume 1 (eds RH Groves RCH Shepherd RG Richardson pp 29 50 RG & FJ Richardson Melbourne, Australia
30. Popay A.I. Butler J.H. Meeklah F.A. 1989 Chemical control of nodding thistle (Carduus nutans L.) in New Zealand Weed Research 29 21 28
31. Rees M. Hill R.L. 2001 Large-scale disturbances, biological control and the dynamics of gorse populations Journal of Applied Ecology 38 364 377
32. Rees M. Paynter Q. 1997 Biological control of Scotch broom: modelling the determinants of abundance and the potential impact of introduced insect herbivores Journal of Applied Ecology 34 1203 1222
33. Rees M. Sheppard A. Briese D. Mangel M. 1999 Evolution of size-dependent flowering in Onopordum illyricum: a quantitative assessment of the role of stochastic selection pressures American Naturalist 154 628 651
34. Rose K.E. Rees M. Grubb P.J. 2002 Evolution in the real world: stochastic variation and the determinants of fitness in Carlina vulgaris Evolution 56 1416 1430
35. Shea K. 1994 Matrix models in population ecology PhD Thesis. University of London, London, UK
36. Shea K. Chesson P. 2002 Community ecology theory as a framework for biological invasions Trends in Ecology and Evolution 17 170 176
37. Shea K. Kelly D. 1998 Estimating biocontrol agent impact with matrix models: Carduus nutans in New Zealand Ecological Applications 8 824 832
38. Shea K. Possingham H.P. 2000 Optimal release strategies for biological control agents: an application of stochastic dynamic programming to population management Journal of Applied Ecology 37 77 86
39. Shea K. Amarasekare P. Kareiva P. Mangel M. Moore J. Murdoch W.W. Noonburg E. Parma A.M. Pascual M.A. Possingham H.P. Wilcox C. Yu D. 1998 Management of populations in conservation, harvesting and control Trends in Ecology and Evolution 13 371 375
40. Shea K. Kelly D. Sheppard A.W. Woodburn T.L. 2005 Context-dependent biological control of an invasive thistle Ecology 86 3174 3181
41. Shea K. Possingham H.P. Murdoch W.W. Roush R. 2002 Active adaptive management in insect pest and weed control: intervention with a plan for learning Ecological Applications 12 927 936
42. Sheppard A.W. 2000 Weed ecology and population dynamics Australian Weed Management Systems (ed BM Sindel pp 39 60 RG & FJ Richardson Melbourne, Australia
43. Sheppard A.W. Cullen J.M. Aeschlimann J.-P 1994 Predispersal seed predation on Carduus nutans (Asteraceae) in southern Europe Acta Oecologica 15 529 541
44. Siegel S. 1956 Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioural Sciences McGraw-Hill New York, NY
45. Smith L.M. Kok L.T. 1984 Dispersal of musk thistle (Carduus nutans) seeds Weed Science 32 120 125
46. Sokal R.R. Rohlf F.J. 1995 Biometry 3rd edn WH Freeman New York, NY
47. Swirepik A. Smyth M. 2002 Biological control of broad-leafed pasture weeds (Paterson's curse Onopordum and nodding thistles). What have we achieved and where to from here? Proceedings of the Thirteenth Australian Weeds Conference (eds H. Spafford Jacob J. Dodd JH Moore pp 373 376 Plant Protection Society of WA Inc Perth, Australia
48. Walters C.J. 1986 Adaptive Management of Renewable Resources Macmillan New York, NY
49. Woodburn T.L. 1996a Interspecific competition between Rhinocyllus conicus and Urophora solstitialis, two biocontrol agents released in Australia against Carduus nutans Proceedings of the XI International Symposium on Biological Control of Weeds (eds VC Moran JH Hoffman pp 409 415 University of Capetown Capetown, South Africa
50. Woodburn T.L. 1996b Reduction of seed set in nodding thistle (Carduus nutans) by the seed-fly, Urophora solstitialis, in Australia Fruit Fly Pests: A World Assessment of Their Biology and Management (eds BA McPheron GJ Steck pp 165 169 St Lucie Press Delray Beach, FL
51. Woodburn T.L. 1997 Establishment in Australia of Trichosirocalus horridus, a biological control agent for Carduus nutans, and preliminary assessment of its impact on plant growth and reproductive potential Biocontrol Science and Technology 7 645 656
52. Woodburn T.L. 2000 Effectiveness of Trichosirocalus horridus against Carduus nutans Australia Proceedings of the Xth International Symposium on the Biological Control of Weeds (ed NR Spencer p 780 Montana State University Bozeman, MT
53. Woodburn T.L. Sheppard A.W. 1996 The demography of Carduus nutans as a native and alien weed Plant Protection Quarterly 11 236 238
54. Zar J.H. 1999 Biostatistical Analysis 4th edn Prentice Hall Upper Saddle River, NJ