Spatial and temporal evolution of stress and slip rate during the 2000 Tokai slow earthquake

Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

Volumn 111, Issue 3, 2006, Pages

  Miyazaki, Shin'ichi ^a,b   Segall, Paul ^a   McGuire, Jeffery J ^c   Kato, Teruyuki ^b   Hatanaka, Yuki ^d  

^a STANFORD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

^c WOODS HOLE OCEANOGRAPHIC INSTITUTION   (United States)

^d GEOGRAPHICAL SURVEY INSTITUTE   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DEFORMATION MECHANISM; EARTHQUAKE EVENT; GPS; SHEAR STRESS; SLIP RATE; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; STRESS; TEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION; TEMPORAL EVOLUTION;

AICHI; ASIA; CHUBU; EURASIA; FAR EAST; HONSHU; JAPAN; TOKAI [AICHI];

EID: 33646380596     PISSN: 21699313     EISSN: 21699356     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2004JB003426     Document Type: Article

References (68)

1. Akaike, H. (1980), Likelihood and the Bayes procedure, in Bayesian Statistics, edited by J. M. Bernardo et al., pp. 143-166, Univ. Press, Valencia, Spain.
2. Ando, M. (1975), Source mechanisms and tectonic significance of historical earthquakes along the Nankai Trough, Japan, Tectonophysics, 27, 119-140.
3. Central Disaster Management Council (2001), The Central Disaster Management Council of the Japanese government, Tokyo. (Available at http://www.bousai.go.jp/jishin/chubou/20011218/siryou2-2.pdf)
4. Cervelli, P., P. Segall, K. Johnson, M. Lisowski, and A. Miklius (2002), Sudden aseismic fault slip on the south flank of Kilauea volcano, Nature, 415, 1014-1018.
5. Dietrich, J. H. (1978), Time-dependent friction and the mechanics of stick slip, Pure Appl. Geophys., 116, 790-806.
6. Dietrich, J. H. (1979), Modeling of rock friction 1. Experimental results and constitutive equations, J. Geophys. Res., 84, 2161-2168.
7. Dong, D., T. A. Herring, and R. W. King (1998), Estimating regional deformation from a combination of space and terrestrial geodetic data, J. Geod., 72,200-214.
8. Dragert, H. K., K. Wang, and T. S. James (2001). A silent slip event on the deeper Cascadia subduction interface, Science, 292, 1525-1527.
9. El-Fiky, G., and T. Kato (2000), Study of periodic vertical movement in the Omaezaki peninsula, central Japan, and its tectonic implications, Earth Planets Space, 52, 25-35.
10. Freymuller, J., S. Hreinsdottir, C. Zweck, and P. S. Haeussler (2002), The 1998-2002 deep megathrust slip event, Alaska, Eos Trans. AGU, 83(47), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract G61-A-0972.
11. Fukahata, Y., A. Nishitani, and M. Matsu'ura (2004), Geodetic data inversion using ABIC to estimate slip history during one earthquake cycle with viscoelastic slip-response functions, Geophys. J. Int., 156, 140-153.
12. Fukuda, J. (2003), A new approach to time dependent inversion of geodetic data using Monte Carlo mixture Kalman Filter, Master thesis, 91 pp., Univ. of Tokyo, Tokyo.
13. Geographical Survey Institute (2003), Crustal deformation in Tokai District, Rep. 69, pp. 303-393, Coord. Comm. for Earthquake Predict., Tsukuba.
14. Geographical Survey Institute (2004), Crustal movements of Tokai Province (in Japanese), Tsukuba. (Available at http://cais.gsi.go.jp/ tokai/)
15. Guatteri, M., P. Spudich, and G. Beroza (2001), Inferring rate and state friction parameters from a rupture model of the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu (Kobe) Japan earthquake, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 26,511-26,522.
16. Hatanaka, Y., T. Iizuka, M. Sawada, A. Yamagiwa, Y. Kikuta, J. M. Johnson, and C. Rocken (2003), Improvement of the analysis strategy of GEONET, Bull. Geogr. Surv. Inst., 49, 11-37.
17. Heki, K., and S. Miyazaki (2001), Plate convergence and long-term crustal deformation in central Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 2313-2316.
18. Heki, K., S. Miyazaki, H. Takahashi, M. Kasahara, F. Kimata, S. Miura, N. F. Vasilenko, A. Ivashchenko, and K.-D. An (1999). The Amurian Plate motion and current plate kinematics in eastern Asia, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 29,147-29,156.
19. Hirose, H., K. Hirahara, F. Kimata, N. Fujii, and S. Miyazaki (1999), A slow thrust slip event following the two 1996 Hyuganada earthquakes beneath the Bungo Channel, southwest Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 3237-3240.
20. Ide, S., and M. Takeo (1997), Determination of constitutive relations of fault slip based on seismic wave analysis, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 27,379-27,392.
21. Ishibashi, K (1981), Specification of a soon-to-occur seismic faulting in the Tokai district, central Japan, based upon seismotectonics, in Earthquake Prediction: An International Review, Maurice Ewing Ser., vol. 4, edited by D. W. Simpson and P. G. Richards, pp. 297-332, AGU, Washington, D. C.
22. Ishida, M. (1992), Geometry and relative motion of the Philippine sea plate and Pacific plate beneath the Kanto-Tokai district, Japan, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 489-513.
23. Ito, T., and M. Hashimoto (2004), Spatiotemporal distribution of interplate coupling in southwest Japan from inversion of geodetic data, J. Geophys. Res., 109, B02315, doi:10.1029/2002JB002358.
24. Kato, N., and T. Hirasawa (1999), A model for possible crustal deformation prior to a coming large interplate earthquake in the Tokai district, central Japan, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 89,1401-1417.
25. Kilgore, B. D., M. L. Blanpied, and J. H. Dieterich (1993), elocity dependent friction of granite over a wide range of conditions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, 903-906.
26. Kimata, F., and T. Yamauchi (1998), Time series of line lengths on the baselines in the Tokai region detected by EDM in the period of 1978 to 1997 (in Japanese), J, Seismol. Soc. Jpn., Extra Vol. Ser 2, 51, 229-232.
27. Kostoglodov, V., S. K. Singh, J. A. Santiago, S. I. Franco, K. Larson, A. Lowry, and R. Bilham (2003), A large silent earthquake in the Guerrero seismic gap, Mexico, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(15), 1807, doi:10.1029/2003GL017219.
28. Kumagai, H. (1996), Time sequence and the recurrence models for large earthquakes along the Nankai Trough revisited, Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 1139-1142.
29. Kuroki H., H. M. Ito, and A. Yoshida (2002), A 3-D simulation of crustal deformation accompanied by subduction in the Tokai region, central Japan, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 132, 39-58.
30. Larson, K., V. Kostoglodov, A. Lowry, W. Hutton, O. Sanchez, K. Hudnut, and G. Suarez (2004), Crustal deformation measurements in Guerrero, Mexico, J. Geophys. Res., 109, B04409, doi:10.1029/2003JB002843.
31. Linde, A. T., M. T. Gladwin, M. J. S. Johnston, R. L. Gwyther, and R. G. Bilham (1996), A slow earthquake sequence near San Juan Bautista, California in December 1992, Nature, 383, 65-69.
32. Liu, Y., and J. R. Rice (2005), Aseismic slip transients emerge spontaneously in three-dimensional rate and state modeling of subduction earthquake sequences, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B08307, doi:10.1029/ 2004JB003424.
33. Lowry, A., K. Larson, V. Kostoglodov, and R. Bilham (2001), Transient slip on the subduction interface in Guerrero, southern Mexico, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28(19), 3753-3756.
34. Matsumura, S. (1997), Focal zone of a future Tokai earthquake inferred from the seismicity pattern around the plate interface, Tectonophysics, 273, 271-291.
35. McGuire, J., and P. Segall (2003), Imaging of aseismic slip transients recorded by continuous GPS array, Geophys. J. Int., 155, doi:10.1111/ j.1365-246X.2003.02022.x.
36. Mikumo, T., K. B. Olsen, E. Fukuyama, and Y. Yagi (2003), Stress-breakdown time and slip-weakening distance inferred from slip-velocity functions on earthquake faults, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 93, 264-282.
37. Miller, M. M., T. Melbourne, D. J. Johnson, and W. Q. Summer (2002), Periodic slow earthquakes from the Cascadia subduction zone, Science, 295,2423.
38. Miyazaki, S., and K. Heki (2001). Crustal velocity field of Southwest Japan: Subdution and arc-arc collision, J. Geophys. Res., 106,4305-4326.
39. Miyazaki, S., T. Saito, M. Sasaki, Y. Hatanaka, and Y. Iimura (1997), Expansion of GSI's nationwide GPS array, Bull. Geogr. Surv. Inst., 43, 23-34.
40. Miyazaki, S., J. J. McGuire, and P. Segall (2003), A transient subduction zone slip episode in southwest Japan observed by the nationwide GPS array, J. Geophys. Res., 108(B2), 2087, doi:10.1029/ 2001JB000456.
41. Munekane, H., M. Tobita, and K. Takashima (2004), Groundwater-induced vertical movements observed in Tsukuba, Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L12608, doi:10.1029/2004GL020158.
42. Murray, J. R., and P. Segall (2005). Spatiotemporal evolution of a transient slip event on the San Andreas fault near Parkfield, California, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B09407, doi:10.1029/2005JB003651.
43. Nishimura, T., S. Ozawa, M. Murakami, T. Sagiya, T. Tada, M. Kaidzu, and M. Ukawa (2001), Crustal deformation caused by magma migration in the northern Izu Islands, Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 3745-3748.
44. Obara, K., H. Hirose, F. Yamamizu, and K. Kasahara (2004), Episodic slow slip events accompanied by non-volcanic tremors in southwest Japan subduction zone, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L23602, doi:10.1029/ 2004GL020848.
45. Ohta, Y., F. Kimata, and T. Sagiya (2004), Reexamination of the interplate coupling in the Tokai region, central Japan, based on the GPS data in 1997-2002, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L24604, doi:10.1029/ 2004GL021404.
46. Okada, Y. (1992), Internal deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 82, 1018-1040.
47. Ozawa, S., M. Murakami, and T. Tada (2001), Time-dependent inversion study of the slow thrust event in the Nankai Trough subduction zone, southwestern Japan, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 787-802.
48. Ozawa, S., M. Murakami, M. Kaidzu, T. Tada, T. Sagiya, Y Hatanaka, H. Yarai, and T. Nishimura (2002), Detection and monitoring of on-going aseismic slip in the Tokai region, central Japan, Science, 298, 1009-1012, doi:10.1126/science.1076780.
49. Ozawa, S., S. Miyazaki, T. Nishimura, M. Murakami, M. Kaidzu, T. Imakiire, and X. Ji (2004a), Creep, dike intrusion, and magma chamber deflation model for the 2000 Miyake eruption and the Izu islands earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 109, B02410, doi:10.1029/2003JB002601.
50. Ozawa, S., Y. Hatanaka, M. Kaidzu, M. Murakami, T. Imakiire, and Y. Ishigaki (2004b), Aseismic slip and low-frequency earthquakes in the Bungo channel, southwestern Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L07609, doi: 10.1029/2003GL019381.
51. Rice, J. R., and A. L. Ruina (1983), Stability of steady frictional slipping, J. Appl. Mech., 50, 343-349.
52. Rice, J. R., and S. T. Tse (1986), Dynamic motion of a single degree of freedom system following a rate and state dependent friction law, J. Geophys. Res., 91, 521-530.
53. Rogers, G., and H. Dragert (2003), Episodic tremor and slip on the Cascadia subduction zone: The chatter of silent slip, Science, 300, 1942-1943.
54. Ruina, A. (1983), Slip instability and state variable friction laws, J. Geophys. Res., 88, 10,359-10,370.
55. Sagiya, T. (1999), Interplate coupling in the Tokai district, central Japan, deduced from continuous GPS data, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 2315-2318.
56. Sangawa, A. (1993), The paleo-earthquake study using traces of the liquefaction (in Japanese), Quat. Res., 32, 249-255.
57. Savage, J. C. (1983), A dislocation model of strain accumulation and release at a subduction zone, J. Geophys. Res., 88, 4984-4996.
58. Segall, P., and R. Harris (1987), Earthquake deformation cycle on the San Andreas fault near Parkfield, California, J. Geophys. Res., 92, 10,511-10,525.
59. Segall, P., and M. Matthews (1997), Time dependent inversion of geodetic data, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 391-409.
60. Seno, T., S. Stein, and A. E. Gripp (1993), A model for the motion of the Philippine Sea plate consistent with NUVEL-1 and geological data, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 17,941-17,948.
61. Shibazaki, B., and Y. Iio (2003), On the physical mechanism of silent slip events along the deeper part of the seismogenic zone, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(9), 1489, doi:10.1029/2003GL017047.
62. Simon, D., and D. L. Simon (2003), Aircraft turbofan engine health estimation using constrained Kalman filtering, paper presented at ASME Turbo Expo 2003, Atlanta, Ga.
63. Toda, S., R. S. Stein, and T. Sagiya (2002), Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu islands earthquake swarm that stressing rate governs seismicity, Nature, 419,58-61.
64. Weeks, J. D. (1993), Constitutive laws for high-velocity frictional sliding and their influence on stress drop during unstable slip, J. Geophys. Res., 98, 17,637-17,648.
65. Yabuki, T., and M. Matsu'ura (1992), Geodetic data inversion using a Bayesian information criterion for spatial distribution of fault slip, Geophys. J. Int., 109, 363-375.
66. Yamazaki, F., and H. Aoki (1994), Re-examination of the configuration of the PHS plate - Is the slab continuous or discontinuous?, paper presented at 1994 Japan Earth and Planetary Science Joint Meeting, Sendai, Japan.
67. Yoshida, S., and N. Kato (2003), Episodic aseismic slip in a two-degree-of-freedom block-spring model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(13), 1681, doi:10.1029/2003GL017439.
68. Yoshioka, S., T. Mikumo, V. Kostoglodov, K. M. Larson, A. Lowry, and S. K. Singh (2004). Interplate coupling and a recent aseismic slow slip event in the Guerrero seismic gap of the Mexican subduction zone, as deduced from GPS data inversion using a Bayesian information criterion, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 146(3-4), 513-530.