메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 19, Issue 4, 2006, Pages 564-578

Bayesian multiple changepoint analysis of hurricane activity in the eastern North Pacific: A Markov chain Monte Carlo approach

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; ESTIMATION; HURRICANES; MARKOV PROCESSES; MONTE CARLO METHODS; POISSON DISTRIBUTION; PROBABILITY; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

EID: 33645234893     PISSN: 08948755     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3628.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (39)

References (19)
  • 1
    • 0034484835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-lead prediction of Pacific SSTs via Bayesian dynamic modeling
    • Berliner, L. M., C. K. Wilke, and N. Cressie, 2000: Long-lead prediction of Pacific SSTs via Bayesian dynamic modeling. J. Climate, 13, 3953-3968.
    • (2000) J. Climate , vol.13 , pp. 3953-3968
    • Berliner, L.M.1    Wilke, C.K.2    Cressie, N.3
  • 3
    • 0037106797 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale circulation features associated with decadal variations of tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific
    • Chu, P.-S., 2002: Large-scale circulation features associated with decadal variations of tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific. J. Climate, 15, 2678-2689.
    • (2002) J. Climate , vol.15 , pp. 2678-2689
    • Chu, P.-S.1
  • 4
    • 12344325020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian change-point analysis of tropical cyclone activity: The central North Pacific case
    • Chu, P.-S., and X. Zhao, 2004: Bayesian change-point analysis of tropical cyclone activity: The central North Pacific case. J. Climate, 17, 4893-4901.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 4893-4901
    • Chu, P.-S.1    Zhao, X.2
  • 5
    • 0036595026 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual variation of tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific
    • Clark, J. D., and P.-S. Chu, 2002: Interannual variation of tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80, 403-418.
    • (2002) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.80 , pp. 403-418
    • Clark, J.D.1    Chu, P.-S.2
  • 6
    • 0034477713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local environmental conditions related to seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the northeast Pacific basin
    • Collins, J. M., and I. M. Mason, 2000: Local environmental conditions related to seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the northeast Pacific basin. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 3881-3884.
    • (2000) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.27 , pp. 3881-3884
    • Collins, J.M.1    Mason, I.M.2
  • 8
    • 4444259428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pacific interdecadal climate variability: Linkages between the Tropics and the North Pacific during boreal winter since 1900
    • Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, and J. W. Hurrell, 2004: Pacific interdecadal climate variability: Linkages between the Tropics and the North Pacific during boreal winter since 1900. J. Climate, 17, 3109-3124.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 3109-3124
    • Deser, C.1    Phillips, A.S.2    Hurrell, J.W.3
  • 9
    • 0035676576 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of U.S. hurricane climate
    • Elsner, J. B., and B. H. Bossak, 2001: Bayesian analysis of U.S. hurricane climate. J. Climate, 14, 4341-4350.
    • (2001) J. Climate , vol.14 , pp. 4341-4350
    • Elsner, J.B.1    Bossak, B.H.2
  • 10
    • 4043064161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hierarchical Bayesian approach to seasonal hurricane modeling
    • Elsner, J. B., and T. H. Jagger, 2004: A hierarchical Bayesian approach to seasonal hurricane modeling. J. Climate, 17, 2813-2827.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 2813-2827
    • Elsner, J.B.1    Jagger, T.H.2
  • 11
    • 3843110240 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting shifts in hurricane rates using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach
    • Elsner, J. B., X. Niu, and T. H. Jagger, 2004: Detecting shifts in hurricane rates using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach. J. Climate, 17, 2652-2666.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 2652-2666
    • Elsner, J.B.1    Niu, X.2    Jagger, T.H.3
  • 13
    • 0000539315 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian model choice: Asymptotics and exact calculations
    • Gelfand, A. E., and D. Dey, 1994: Bayesian model choice: Asymptotics and exact calculations. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B, 56, 501-514.
    • (1994) J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B , vol.56 , pp. 501-514
    • Gelfand, A.E.1    Dey, D.2
  • 15
    • 0035919625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications
    • Goldenberg, S. B., C. W. Landsea, A. M. Mestas-Nunez, and W. M. Gray, 2001: The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications. Science, 293, 474-479.
    • (2001) Science , vol.293 , pp. 474-479
    • Goldenberg, S.B.1    Landsea, C.W.2    Mestas-Nunez, A.M.3    Gray, W.M.4
  • 16
    • 0034825384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An application of MCMC methods for multiple change-points problem
    • Lavielle, M., and M. Labarbier, 2001: An application of MCMC methods for multiple change-points problem. Signal Process., 81, 39-53.
    • (2001) Signal Process. , vol.81 , pp. 39-53
    • Lavielle, M.1    Labarbier, M.2
  • 19
    • 0031429698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between sea surface temperatures and maximum intensities of tropical cyclone intensities in the eastern North Pacific
    • Whitney, L. D., and J. S. Hobgood, 1997: The relationship between sea surface temperatures and maximum intensities of tropical cyclone intensities in the eastern North Pacific. J. Climate, 10, 2921-2930.
    • (1997) J. Climate , vol.10 , pp. 2921-2930
    • Whitney, L.D.1    Hobgood, J.S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.