Regional patterns of agricultural land use and deforestation in Colombia

Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment

Volumn 114, Issue 2-4, 2006, Pages 369-386

  Etter, Andrés ^a,b   McAlpine, Clive ^a   Wilson, Kerrie ^a   Phinn, Stuart ^a   Possingham, Hugh ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

^b PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD JAVERIANA   (Colombia)

Author keywords

Agriculture; Colombia; Deforestation; Hotspots; Land cover change; Modeling; Regional variability; Spatial footprint

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL LAND; DEFORESTATION; ECOLOGICAL IMPACT; HABITAT CONSERVATION; LAND USE CHANGE; REGIONAL PATTERN;

COLOMBIA; SOUTH AMERICA;

EID: 33645234345     PISSN: 01678809     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.013     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. F. Achard, H. Eva, H.-J. Stibig, P. Mayaux, J. Gallego, T. Richards, and J.-P. Malingreau Determination of deforestation rates of the World's humid tropical forests Science 297 9 August 2002 999 1002
2. D. Armenteras, F. Gast, and H. Villareal Andean forest fragmentation and the representativeness of protected natural areas in the eastern Andes Colombia Biol. Conserv. 113 2 2003 245 256
3. M.E. Chaves N. Arango Informe Nacional Sobre el Estado de la Biodiversidad en Colombia-1997 1998 I.A. von Humboldt Bogota
4. G. Colmenares Historia Economica y Social de Colombia 1 1999 TM Editores Bogota
5. Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadistica-DANE, 1993. Censo Nacional de Poblacion. http://www.dane.gov.co/inf_est/poblacion.
6. A. Etter, and A. Andrade Seguimiento al proceso de colonizacion en la Amazonia Colombiana Proceedings of the IV Latin American Remote Sensing Symposium (Memorias del IV Simposio Latinoamericano de Sensores Remotos) IGAC, Bogotá 1987 84 92
7. A. Etter Mapa general de ecosistemas de Colombia (1:2,000,000). M.E. Chaves N. Arango Informe Nacional Sobre el ESTado de la Biodiversidad en Colombia-1997 1998 Instituto Alexander von Humboldt Bogotá
8. A. Etter, M.T. Fandino, and W. Van Wyngaarden Mapa de ecosistemas originales Analysis de la Representatividad de los Ecosistemas de la region Andina en Colombia (Informe Final) 1999 Javeriana University-UNDP-Instituto A. von Humboldt Bogotá
9. A. Etter, and W. van Wyngaarden Patterns of landscape transformation in Colombia with emphasis in the Andean region Ambio 29 7 2000 432 439
10. Etter, A., McAlpine, C., Phinn, S., Pullar, D., Possingham, H., 2005a. Unplanned land clearing of Colombian rainforests: spreading like disease? Landsc. Urban Plann. (doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2005.03.002 ), in press.
11. Etter, A., McAlpine, C., Pullar, D., Possingham, H., 2005b. Modeling the conversion of Colombian lowland ecosystems since 1940: drivers, patterns and rates. J. Environ. Manage. (doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2005.05.017 ), in press.
12. R.T.T. Forman Land Mosaics: The Ecology of Landscapes and Regions 1995 Cambridge U.P. N.Y.
13. Garcia, J., 2002. Estudio de la transformacion de los escosistemas secos de la baja Guajira (1940-1997), Colombia. BSc Thesis, PUJ, Bogota.
14. Geist, H.J., Lambin, E.F., 2001. What drives tropical deforestation? A meta-analysis of proximate and underlying causes of deforestation based on subnational case study evidence (http://www.geo.ucl.ac.be/LUCC/lucc.html ). LUCC Report Series, 4. CIACO, Louvain-la-Neuve.
15. R.H. Green Sampling Design and Statistical Methods for Environmental Biologists. 1979 Wiley New York
16. J. Hernández, R. Ortiz, T. Walschburger, and A. Hurtado Estado de la Biodiversidad en Colombia. La Diversidad Biológica de Iberoamérica 1992 I. CYTED Mexico, DF 146 pp
17. Herrera, M., 2000. Ordenamiento territorial y control politico en las Llanuras del Caribe y en los Andes Centrales Neogranadinos, Siglo XVIII. PhD Thesis, U. of Syracuse, N.Y.
18. D.W. Hosmer, and S. Lemeshow Applied Logistic Regression. 2000 John Wiley & Sons Inc. New York 373 pp
19. R.A. Houghton The worldwide extent of land-use change: in the last few centuries, and particularly in the last several decades, effects of land-use change have become global Bioscience 44 5 1994 305 313
20. Insightful-Corporation, 2002. S-Plus 6.1 for Windows, Seattle, Washington.
21. Instituto Geográfico Agustín Codazzi, 1992. La Poblacion en el proceso de formacion del Pais. IGAC, Bogota.
22. Instituto Geográfico Agustín Codazzi, 1983. Mapa general de suelos de Colombia (1:1 500 000). IGAC, Bogotá.
23. Instituto Geográfico Agustín Codazzi, 2000. Mapas topopgráficos (1:1 500 000). IGAC, Bogotá.
24. Instituto Geográfico Agustín Codazzi, 1985. Mapa Agroecologico de Colombia. IGAC, Bogotá.
25. E.F. Lambin, H.J. Geist, and E. Lepers Dynamics of land-use and land-cover change in tropical regions Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. 28 205-241 2003
26. W.F. Laurance, A.K. Albernaz, G. Schroth, P.M. Fearnside, S. Bergen, E.M. Venticinque, and C. Da Costa Predictors of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon J. Biogeogr. 29 2002 737 748
27. E. Lepers, E.F. Lambin, A.C. Janetos, R. Defries, F. Achard, N. Ramankutty, and R.J. Scholes A synthesis of information on rapid land-cover change for the period 1981-2000 Bioscience 55 2 2005 115 124
28. Lewis, R.J., 2000. An Introduction to Classification and Regression Tree (CART) Analysis, 2000 Annual Meeting of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine. (http://www.saem.org/download/lewis1.pdf ). San Francisco, California.
29. M. Linkie, R.J. Smith, and N. Leader-Williams Mapping and predicting deforestation patterns in the lowlands of Sumatra Biodivers. Conserv. 13 10 2004 1809 1818
30. J. Loh, and D. Harmon A global index of biocultural diversity Ecol. Indicators 5 3 2005 231 241
31. A.K. Ludeke, R.C. Maggio, and L.M. Reid An analysis of anthropogenic deforestation using logistic regression and GIS J. Environ. Manage. 31 1990 247 259
32. C. McAlpine, R.J. Fensham, and D.E. Temple-Smith Biodiversity conservation and vegetation clearing in Queensland: principles and thresholds Rangeland J. 24 1 2002 36 55
33. McDonald, R.I., Urban, D.L., 2004. Spatially varying rules of landscape change: lessons from a case study. Landsc. Urban Plann., corrected proof, in press.
34. J.E. Mendoza, and A. Etter Multitemporal analysis (1940-1996) of land cover changes in the south-western Bogota highplain (Colombia) Landsc. Urban Plann. 59 2002 147 158
35. B. Mertens, and E. Lambin Modelling land cover dynamics: integration of fine-scale land cover data with landscape attributes Int. J. Appl. Earth Observ. Geoinform. 1 1 1999 48 52
36. B. Mertens, D. Kaimowitz, A. Puntodewo, J. Vanclay, and Mendez Modelling deforestation at distinct geographic scales and time periods in Santa Cruz, Bolivia Int. Region. Sci. Rev. 27 3 2004 271 296
37. C.E. Metz Basic principles of ROC analysis Semin. Nucl. Med. 8 1978 283 298
38. Ministry of Environment (Colombia), 2000. Mapas de las areas protegidas de Colombia (1:1 500 000). Bogotá.
39. H. Nagendra, J. Southworth, and C.J. Tucker Accessibility as a determinant of landscape transformation in western Honduras: linking pattern and process Landsc. Ecol. 18 2 2003 141 158
40. G. Palacios La Naturaleza en Disputa: Historia Ambiental de Colombia 1850-2000. 2001 Ediciones Universidad Nacional-Colciencias Bogota
41. R.G. Pontius Jr. Quantification error versus location error in comparison of categorical maps Photogramm. Eng. Rem. Sens. 66 8 2000 1011 1016
42. R.G. Pontius Jr., J.D. Cornell, and C.A.S. Hall Modeling the spatial pattern of land-use change with GEOMOD2: application and validation for Costa Rica Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 85 1-3 2001 191 203
43. R.G. Pontius Jr., and K. Batchu Using the relative operating characteristic to quantify certainty in prediction of location of land cover change in India Trans. GIS 7 4 2003 467 484
44. R.L. Pressey, C.J. Humphries, C.R. Margules, R.I. Vane-Wright, and P.H. Williams Beyond opportunism: key principles for systematic reserve selection Trends Ecol. Evol. 8 4 1993 124 128
45. N. Ramankutty, J.A. Foley, and N.J. Olejniczak People on the land: changes in global population and croplands during the 20th century Ambio 31 3 2002 251 257
46. S.A. Sader, and A.T. Joyce Deforestation rates and trends in Costa Rica 1940-1983 Biotropica 20 1 1988 11 19
47. S. Serneels, and E.F. Lambin Proximate causes of land-use change in Narok District, Kenya: a spatial statistical model Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 85 1-3 2001 65 81
48. J. Southworth, and C.J. Tucker The influence of accessibility, local institutions and socioeconomic factors on forest cover change in the mountains of western Honduras Mt. Res. Dev. 21 3 2001 276 283
49. E. Veldkamp, A.M. Weitz, I.G. Staritsky, and E.J. Huising Deforestation trends in the Atlantic zone of Costa Rica: a case study Land Degrad. Rehab. 3 1992 71 84
50. P.H. Verburg, K.G.H.J. de, K. Kok, A. Veldkamp, and J. Bouma A spatial explicit allocation procedure for modelling the pattern of land use change based upon actual land use Ecol. Model. 116 1 1999 45 61
51. A. Viña, and J. Cavelier Deforestación en el piedemonte llanero (1940-1990) Biotropica 30 1 1998 37 48
52. A. Viña, F. Echavarria, and D.C. Rundquist Satellite change detection analysis of deforestation rates and patterns along the Colombia-Ecuador border Ambio 33 3 2004 118 125
53. M. Wackernagel, and W.E. Rees Our Ecological Footprint: Reducing Human Impact on the Earth. 1996 New Society Gabrioala Island, BC
54. M. Wackernagel, N.B. Schulz, D. Deumling, A.C. Linares, M. Jenkins, V. Kapos, C. Monfreda, J. Loh, N. Myers, R. Norgaard, and J. Randers Tracking the ecological overshoot of the human economy PNAS 99 14 2002 9266 9271
55. K. Wilson, A. Newton, C. Echeverria, C. Weston, and M. Burgman A vulnerability analysis of the temperate forests of south central Chile Biol. Conserv. 122 2005 9 21
56. K. Wilson, R.L. Pressey, A. Newton, M. Burgman, H. Possingham, and C. Weston Measuring and incorporating vulnerability into conservation planning Environ. Manage. 35 5 2005 527 543