Encounter, survival, and movement probabilities from an atlantic puffin (Fratercula arctica) metapopulation

Ecological Monographs

Volumn 76, Issue 1, 2006, Pages 133-149

  Breton, André R ^a,b,c   Diamond, Antony W ^a   Kress, Stephen W ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEW BRUNSWICK   (Canada)

^b NATIONAL AUDUBON SOCIETY   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA FAIRBANKS   (United States)

Author keywords

Atlantic Puffin; Dispersal; Fratercula arctica; Gulf of Maine islands; K selected; Local population; Movement; Multistrata; Natal; Seabird; Subadult; Survival

Indexed keywords

DISPERSAL; METAPOPULATION; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SEABIRD;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; GULF OF MAINE;

ANIMALIA; FRATERCULA ARCTICA; LARIDAE;

EID: 33645104971     PISSN: 00129615     EISSN: 00129615     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/05-0704     Document Type: Article

References (70)

1. Anderson, D. R. 2001. The need to get the basics right in wildlife field studies. Wildlife Society Bulletin 29:1294-1297.
2. Anderson, D. R., K. P. Burnham, and G. C. White. 1994. AIC model selection in overdispersed capture-recapture data. Ecology 75:1780-1793.
3. Anderson, J. G. T., and C. M. Devlin. 1999. Restoration of a multi-species seabird colony. Biological Conservation 90: 175-181.
4. Andrewartha, H. G., and L. C. Birch. 1954. The distribution and abundance of animals. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
5. Arnason, A. N. 1972. Parameter estimates from mark-recapture experiments on two populations subject to migration and death. Researches on Population Ecology 13:97-113.
6. Arnason, A. N. 1973. The estimation of population size, migration rates and survival in a stratified population. Researches on Population Ecology 15:1-8.
7. Arnason, A. N., and K. H. Mills. 1981. Bias and loss of precision due to tag loss in Jolly-Seber estimates for mark-recapture experiments. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science 38:1077-1095.
8. Breton, A. R., A. W. Diamond, and S. W. Kress. 2005. Adult survival estimates from two Atlantic puffin (Fratercula arctica) colonies in the Gulf of Maine. Auk 122:773-782.
9. Breton, A. R., A. W. Diamond, and S. W. Kress. In press. Surface wear on Incoloy and Darvic bands applied to Atlantic puffin (Fratercula arctica) adults and chicks. Journal of Field Ornithology.
10. Brownie, C., J. E. Hines, J. D. Nichols, K. H. Pollock, and J. B. Hestbeck. 1993. Capture-recapture studies for multiple strata including non-markovian transitions. Biometrics 49:1173-1187.
11. Burnham, K. P., and D. R. Anderson. 2002. Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Second edition. Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA.
12. Burnham, K. P., and D. R. Anderson. 2004. Multimodel inference: understanding AIC and BIC in model selection. Sociological Methods and Research 33:261-304.
13. Cam, E., D. Oro, R. Pradel, and J. Jimenez. 2004. Assessment of hypotheses about dispersal in a long-lived seabird using multi-state capture-recapture models. Journal of Animal Ecology 73:723-736.
14. Choquet, R., A. M. Reboulet, R. Pradel, O. Gimenez, and J. D. Lebreton. 2003. User's manual for U-CARE. Technical Report, CEFE/CNRS, Montpelier, France. 〈http://ftp.cefe.cnrs.fr/biom/Soft-CR/〉
15. Clobert, J., and J.-D. Lebreton. 1991. Estimation of demographic parameters in bird populations. Pages 75-104 in C. M. Perrins, J.-D. Lebreton, and G. J. M. Hirons, editors. Bird population studies: their relevance to conservation and management. Oxford University Press, London, UK.
16. Conn, P. B., W. L. Kendall, and M. D. Samuel. 2004. A general model for the analysis of mark-resight, mark-recapture, and band-recovery data under tag loss. Biometrics 60:900-909.
17. Coulson, J. C. 1991. The population dynamics of culling herring gulls and lesser black-backed gulls. Pages 479-497 in C. M. Perrins, J.-D. Lebreton, and G. J. M. Hirons, editors. Bird population studies: their relevance to conservation and management. Oxford University Press, London, UK.
18. Croxall, J. P., and P. Rothery. 1991. Population regulation of seabirds: implications of their demography for conservation. Pages 272-296 in C. M. Perrins, J.-D. Lebreton, and G. J. M. Hirons, editors. Bird population studies: their relevance to conservation and management. Oxford University Press, London, UK.
19. Diamond, A. W., and C. M. Devlin. 2003. Seabirds as indicators of changes in marine ecosystems: ecological monitoring on Machias Seal Island. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 88:153-175.
20. Dobson, A. 1990. Survival rates and their relationship to life-history traits in some common British birds. Pages 115-146 in D. M. Power, editor. Current ornithology. Volume 7. Plenum Press, New York, New York, USA.
21. Doherty, P. F., Jr., E. A. Schreiber, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, W. A. Link, G. A. Schenk, and R. W. Schreiber. 2004. Testing life history predictions in a long-lived seabird: a population matrix approach with improved parameter estimation. Oikos 105:606-618.
22. Drury, W. H. 1973. Population changes in New England seabirds. Bird-Banding 44:267-313.
23. Franklin, A. B. 2001. Exploring ecological relationships in survival and estimating rates of population change using program MARK. Pages 290-296 in R. Field, R. J. Warren, H. Okarma, and P. R. Sievert, editors. Wildlife, land, and people: priorities for the 21st century. Proceedings of the Second International Wildlife Management Congress. Wildlife Society, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
24. Fretwell, S. D., and H. L. Lucas, Jr. 1970. On territorial behaviour and other factors influencing habitat distribution in birds. Acta Biotheoretica 19:16-36.
25. Gaillard, J.-M., M. Festa-Bianchet, and N. G. Yoccoz. 1998. Population dynamics of large herbivores: variable recruitment with constant adult survival. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 13:58-63.
26. Gaston, A. J., and I. L. Jones. 1998. The auks: Alcidae. Oxford University Press, London, UK.
27. Greenwood, P. J., and P. H. Harvey. 1982. The natal and breeding dispersal of birds. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 13:1-21.
28. Grosbois, V., and G. Tavecchia. 2003. Modeling dispersal with capture-recapture data: disentangling decisions of leaving and settlement. Ecology 84:1225-1236.
29. Hanski, I., and M. Gilpin. 1991. Metapopulation dynamics: brief history and conceptual domain. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society 42:3-16.
30. Harris, M. P. 1983. Biology and survival of the immature puffin Fratercula arctica. Ibis 125:56-73.
31. Harris, M. P. 1984. The puffin. Poyser, Calton, UK.
32. Harris, M. P., S. N. Freeman, S. Wanless, B. J. T. Morgan, and C. V. Wernham. 1997. Factors influencing the survival of puffins Fratercula arctica at a North Sea colony over a 20-year period. Journal of Avian Biology 28:287-295.
33. Harris, M. P., and S. Wanless. 1991. Population studies and conservation of puffins Fratercula arctica. Pages 230-248 in C. M. Perrins, J.-D. Lebreton, and G. J. M. Hirons, editors. Bird population studies: their relevance to conservation and management. Oxford University Press, London, UK.
34. Harris, M. P., S. Wanless, and P. Rothery. 2000. Adult survival rates of shag Phalacrocorax aristotelis, common guillemot Uria aalge, razorbill Alca torda, puffin Fratercula arctica and kittiwake Rissa tridactyla on the Isle of May 1986-96. Atlantic Seabirds 2:133-150.
35. Hestbeck, J. B., J. D. Nichols, and R. A. Malecki. 1991. Estimates of movement and site fidelity using mark-resight data of wintering Canada geese. Ecology 72:523-533.
36. Holl, S. A., V. C. Bleich, and S. G. Torres. 2004. Population dynamics of bighorn sheep in the San Gabriel Mountains, California, 1967-2002. Wildlife Society Bulletin 32:412-426.
37. Hudson, P. J. 1985. Population parameters for the Atlantic Alcidae. Pages 233-261 in D. N. Nettleship and T. R. Birkhead, editors. The Atlantic Alcidae: the evolution, distribution and biology of the auks inhabiting the Atlantic Ocean and adjacent water areas. Academic Press, New York, New York, USA.
38. Jouventin, P., and H. Weimerskirch. 1991. Changes in the population size and demography of southern seabirds: management implications. Pages 297-314 in C. M. Perrins, J.-D. Lebreton, and G. J. M. Hirons, editors. Bird population studies: their relevance to conservation and management. Oxford University Press, London, UK.
39. Kress, S. W. 1997. Using animal behavior for conservation: case studies in seabird restoration from the Maine Coast, USA. Journal of the Yamashina Institute for Ornithology 29:1-26.
40. Kress, S. W., and D. N. Nettleship. 1988. Re-establishment of Atlantic puffins (Fratercula arctica) at a former breeding site in the Gulf of Maine. Journal of Field Ornithology 59: 161-170.
41. Lack, D. 1954. The natural regulation of animal numbers. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
42. Lebreton, J.-D., K. P. Burnham, J. Clobert, and D. R. Anderson. 1992. Modeling survival and testing biological hypotheses using marked animals: a unified approach with case studies. Ecological Monographs 62:67-118.
43. Lebreton, J. D., J. E. Hines, R. Pradel, J. D. Nichols, and J. A. Spendelow. 2003. Estimation by capture-recapture of recruitment and dispersal over several sites. Oikos 101: 253-264.
44. Lebreton, J.-D., and R. Pradel. 2002. Multistate recapture models: modeling incomplete individual histories. Journal of Applied Statistics 29:353-369.
45. Lidicker, W. Z., Jr. 1975. The role of dispersal in the demography of small mammals. Pages 103-128 in F. B. Golley, K. Petrusewicz, and L. Ryszkowski, editors. Small mammals: their productivity and population dynamics. Cambridge University Press, London, UK.
46. Lin, Y. K., and G. O. Batzli. 2004. Movement of voles across habitat boundaries: effects of food and cover. Journal of Mammalogy 85:216-224.
47. Lindberg, M. S., J. S. Sedinger, D. V. Derksen, and R. F. Rockwell. 1998. Natal and breeding philopatry in a Black Brant, Branta bernicla nigricans, metapopulation. Ecology 79:1893-1904.
48. Loison, A., M. Festa-Bianchet, J.-M. Gaillard, J. T. Jorgenson, and J.-M. Jullien. 1999. Age-specific survival in five populations of ungulates: evidence of senescence. Ecology 80:2539-2554.
49. Lowther, P. E., A. W. Diamond, S. W. Kress, G. J. Robertson, and K. Russell. 2002. Atlantic Puffin (Fratercula arctica) in A. Poole and F. Gill, editors. Birds of North America. Number 709. Academy of Natural Sciences, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and American Ornithologists' Union, Washington, D.C., USA.
50. MacArthur, R. H., and E. O. Wilson. 1967. The theory of island biogeography. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
51. Nettleship, D. N., and T. R. Birkhead, editors. 1985. The Atlantic Alcidae: the evolution, distribution and biology of the auks inhabiting the Atlantic Ocean and adjacent water areas. Academic Press, New York, New York, USA.
52. Newton, I. 1995. The contribution of some recent research on birds to ecological understanding. Journal of Animal Ecology 64:675-696.
53. Oro, D., E. Cam, R. Pradel, and A. Martínez-Abraín. 2004. Influence of food availability on demography and local population dynamics in a long-lived seabird. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B 271:387-396.
54. Pollock, K. H., J. D. Nichols, C. Brownie, and J. E. Hines. 1990. Statistical inference for capture-recapture experiments. Wildlife Monographs 107:1-97.
55. Pradel, R., C. M. A. Wintrebert, and O. Gimenez. 2003. A proposal for a goodness-of-fit test to the Arnason-Schwarz multisite capture-recapture model. Biometrics 59:43-53.
56. Pulliam, H. R. 1988. Sources, sinks, and population regulation. American Naturalist 132:652-661.
57. Ricklefs, R. F. 1973. Fecundity, mortality, and avian demography. Pages 366-435 in D. S. Farmer, editor. Breeding biology of birds. National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., USA.
58. Romesburg, H. C. 1981. Wildlife science: gaining reliable knowledge. Journal of Wildlife Management 45:293-313.
59. Schreiber, E. A., P. F. Doherty, Jr., and G. A. Schenk. 2004. Dispersal and survival rates of adult and juvenile Red-tailed tropicbirds (Phaethon rubricauda) exposed to potential contaminants. Animal Biodiversity and Conservation 27: 531-540.
60. Schwarz, C. J., J. F. Schweigert, and A. N. Arnason. 1993. Estimating migration rates using tag-recovery data. Biometrics 49:177-193.
61. Serrano, D., and J. L. Tella. 2003. Dispersal within a spatially structured population of lesser kestrels: the role of spatial isolation and conspecific attraction. Journal of Animal Ecology 72:400-410.
62. Sibley, R. M., D. Collett, D. E. L. Promislow, D. J. Peacock, and P. H. Harvey. 1997. Mortality rates of mammals. Journal of Zoology, London 243:1-12.
63. Spendelow, J. A., and J. D. Nichols. 1989. Annual survival rates of breeding adult Roseate Terns. Auk 106:367-374.
64. Spendelow, J. A., J. D. Nichols, I. C. T. Nisbet, H. Hays, G. D. Cormons, J. Burger, C. Safina, J. E. Hines, and M. Gochfeld. 1995. Estimating annual survival and movement rates of adults within a metapopulation of Roseate Terns. Ecology 76:2415-2428.
65. Stamps, J. A. 1988. Conspecific attraction and aggregation in territorial species. American Naturalist 131:329-347.
66. Walters, J. R. 2000. Dispersal behavior: an ornithological frontier. Condor 102:479-481.
67. Weimerskirch, H. 2002. Seabird demography and its relationship with the marine environment. Pages 115-135 in E. A. Schreiber and J. Burger, editors. Biology of marine birds. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida, USA.
68. White, G. C., D. R. Anderson, K. P. Burnham, and D. L. Otis. 1982. Capture-recapture and removal methods for sampling closed populations. Los Alamos National Laboratory Report LA-8787-NERP, Los Alamos, New Mexico, USA.
69. White, G. C., and K. P. Burnham. 1999. Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study 46:S120-S138.
70. Wooller, R. D., J. S. Bradley, and J. P. Croxall. 1992. Long-term population studies of seabirds. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 7:111-114.