What future for Mediterranean agriculture? A proposal to integrate socio-economics in climate change scenarios

Climate Change in the Mediterranean: Socio-economic Perspectives of Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation

Volumn , Issue , 2003, Pages 133-158

  Rosato, Paolo ^a,b   Giupponi, Carlo ^b,c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TRIESTE   (Italy)

^b FONDAZIONE ENI ENRICO MATTEI   (Italy)

^c UNIVERSITY OF MILAN   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 33644695157     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.4337/9781781950258.000020     Document Type: Chapter

References (40)

1. Alcamo, J., Leemans, R. and Krieleman, E. (eds) (1998). Global Change Scenarios for the 21st Century. Results from the IMAGE 2.1 Model. Elsevier, London.
2. Audsley, E. (1993). 'Labour, machinery and cropping planning'. In: E. Annevelink, R.K. Oving and H.W. Vos (eds) Farm Planning. Labour and Labour Conditions. Computers in Agricultural Management. Proceedings XXV CIOSTACIGR V Congress Wageningen, The Netherlands. Wageningen Pers, pp. 83-88.
3. Barrow, E. and Hulme, M. (1995). 'Construction of regional scenarios'. In: R. Harrison, A.R. Butterfield and T.E. Downing (eds) Climate Change and Agriculture in Europe. Assessment of Impacts and Adaptations. Environmental Change Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, pp. 21-30.
4. Berkhout, F., Hertin, J., Lorenzoni, I., Jordan, A., Turner, K., O'Riordan, T., Cobb, D., Ledoux, L., Tinch, R., Hulme, M., Palutikof, J. and Skea, J. (1999). Nonclimate Futures Study. Socio-economic Futures Scenarios for Climate Impact Assessment. Final Report. SPRU, Brighton.
5. Bonazzi, M. and Gomez y Paloma, S. (2000). CAP and the Euro-Mediterranean Free Trade Area: Regional Lessons. http://www.jrc.es/iptsreport/vol25/english/MED6E256.htm
6. Brochier, F. and Ramieri, E. (2001). 'Climate change impacts on the Mediterranean coastal zones'. FEEM Note di Lavoro 27, 81.
7. Carter, T.R. (1996). 'Developing scenarios of atmosphere, weather and climate for northern regions'. Agricultural and Food Science in Finland 5, 235-249.
8. Carter, T.R., Hulme, M. and Viner, D. (1999). Representing Uncertainty in Climate Change Scenarios and Impact Studies. ECLAT-2 Workshop Report No. 1, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich.
9. CIHEAM (Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes) (2000). Development and Agri-food Policies in the Mediterranean Region. Extracts from Annual Reports 1998, 1999, 2000. CIHEAM, Zaragoza.
10. Cubasch, U., Von Storch, H. Waszkewitz, H. and Zorita, E. (1996). 'Estimates of climate change in Southern Europe derived from dynamical climate model output'. Climate Research 7, 129-149.
11. FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) (2000). Agriculture Towards 2015/30, Technical Interim Report, April 2000. http://www.fao.org/es/esd/at2015/toc-e.htm.
12. Giupponi, C., Rosato, P. and Rounsevell, M. (1998). 'Integrated model to predict European land use: climate change and land use in the Venice Lagoon Watershed'. In: T. Tempesta and M. Thiene (eds) Proceedings of the 6th Joint Conference on Food, Agriculture and the Environment. U. Padova-U. Minnesota, Padova, 271-287.
13. Greenpeace (1997). Climate Change and the Mediterranean Region. http://www.greenpeace.org/~climate/science/reports/desertification.html.
14. Houghton, J.T., Callender B.A. and Varney, S.K. (eds) (1992). Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to the IPCC Scientific Assessment, Working Group I. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
15. Houghton, J.T., Jenkins G.J. and Ephraums, J.J. (eds) (1990). Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
16. Houghton, J.T., Meira Filho, L.G., Callender, B.A., Harris, N., Kattenberg, A. and Maskell, K. (eds) (1996). Climate Change 1995: The Sciences of Climate Change, Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of IPCC. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
17. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2000). Summary for Policymakers: Emission Scenarios. WMO-UNEP.
18. Jeftic, L., Keckes, S. and Pernetta, J.C. (1996). Climate Change and the Mediterranean. Vol. 2. Edward Arnold, London.
19. McCarthy, J.J., Canziani, O.F., Leary, N.A., Dokken, D.J. and White, K.S. (2001). Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
20. MAP (Mediterranean Action Plan) (2000). Water, Population and the Environment in the Mediterranean for the 21st Century. Plan Bleu-UNEP.
21. Odingo, R.S. (1998). 'The likely impacts of global warming and climate change on the agricultural resources of the Mediterranean Basin'. In: Proceeding of 'The International Conference on the Impacts of Climate Change on the Mediterranean Countries'.
22. Openshaw, S. and Turner, A. (2000). Forecasting Global Climatic Change Impacts on Mediterranean Agricultural Land Use in the 21st Century. http://www.geog.leeds.ac.uk/people/a.turner/papers/21stC/21stC.html.
23. Palutikof, J.P., Goodess, C.M. and Guo, X. (1994). 'Climate change, potential evapotranspiration and moisture availability in the Mediterranean basin'. International Journal of Climatology 14, 853-869.
24. Palutikof, J.P., Guo, X.,Wigley, T.M.L. and Gregory, J.Y. (1992). 'Regional changes in climate in the Mediterranean basin due to global greenhouse gas warming'. UNEP-MAP Technical Report Series (66).
25. Palutikof, J.P. and Wigley, T.M.L. (1996). 'Developing climate change scenarios for the Mediterranean region'. In: L. Jeftic, S.Keckes and J.C. Pernetta (eds) Climate Change and the Mediterranean, Vol. 2. Edward Arnold, London, pp. 27-56.
26. Parry, M. (ed.) (2000). Scenarios of Climate Change for Europe: The Europe ACACIA Project. University of East Anglia, Norwich.
27. Parry, M.L., Hossell, J.E., Jones, P.J., Rehman, P.J., Tranter, R.B., Marsh, J.S., Rosenzweig, C., Fisher, G., Carson, I.G. and Bunce, R.G.H. (1996). 'Integrating global and regional analyses of the effects of climate change: a case study of land use in England and Wales'. Climatic Change 32, 185-198.
28. Piervitali, E., Colacino,M. and Conte,M. (1997). 'Signals of climatic change in the central western Mediterranean basin'. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 58, 211-219.
29. Reilly, J. (1996). 'Climate change, global agriculture and regional vulnerability'. In: F. Bazzaz and W. Sombroek (eds) Global Climate Change and Agricultural Production. Direct and Indirect Effects of Changing Hydrological, Pedological and Plant Physiological Processes. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, pp. 237-265.
30. Rosenzweig, C. and Hillel, D. (1995). Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Food Supply. http://www.gcrio.org/CONSQUENCES/summer 95/agriculture.html.
31. Rosenzweig C. and Parry, M.L. (1994). 'Potential impacts of climate changes on world food supply'. Nature 367, 133-138.
32. Rosenzweig, C. and Tubiello, F.N. (1997). 'Impacts of global climate change on Mediterranean agriculture: current methodologies and future directions. An introductory essay'. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 1(3), 219-232.
33. Rotmans, J., van Asselt, M., Anastasi, C., Greeuw, S., Mellors J., Peters, S., Rothman, D. and Rijkens, N. (2000). 'Vision for a sustainable Europe'. Futures 32, 809-831.
34. Rounsevell, M. (ed.) (1999). Spatial Modelling of the Response and Adaptation of Soils and Land Use Systems to Climate Change-An Integrated Model to Predict European Land Use (IMPEL). Project Summary.
35. Saaty, T.L. (1980). The Analytic Hierarchy Process. New York, McGraw-Hill.
36. UK National Foresight Programme (1999). Environmental Futures. Office of Science and Technology, Department of Trade and Industry, London.
37. UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme) (1997). Climate Change Information Kit. UNEP.
38. Watson, T.R., Zinyovera, M.C. and Moss, R.H. (1994). IPCC Special Report on the Regional Impacts of Climate Change. An Assessment of Vulnerability. UNEPWMO-IPCC.
39. Winters, P., Murgai R., de Janvry, A., Sadoulet, E., Frisvold, G. and Kuhn, B. (1998). 'Climate change and agriculture: effects on developing countries'. In: A. de Janvry and G. Frisvold (eds) Global Environmental Change and Agriculture: Assessing the Impacts. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham UK and Lyme, USA, pp. 239-296.
40. WCED (World Commission on Environment and Development) (1987). Our Common Future. Oxford University Press, Oxford.