Impact of climate change on UK flooding and future predictions

Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Water Management

Volumn 158, Issue 4, 2005, Pages 135-140

  Dale, M ^a  

^a CH2M HILL   (United States)

Author keywords

Floods floodworks; Hydrology water resource

Indexed keywords

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; FLOODS; FORECASTING; HYDROLOGY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RAIN; WATER RESOURCES;

CLIMATE CHANGE MODELING; FLOODING EVENTS; FLOODWORKS; OROGRAPHY;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; FLOODS; FORECASTING; HYDROLOGY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RAIN; WATER RESOURCES;

CLIMATE CHANGE; FLOODING;

EID: 33244456577     PISSN: 17417589     EISSN: 17517729     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1680/wama.2005.158.4.135     Document Type: Article

References (19)

1. WILLOWS R. I. and CONNELL R. K. (eds) Climate Adaptation: Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-making. UK Climate Impacts Programme, Oxford, 2003.
2. KAY A. L., REYNARD N. S. and JONES R. G. RCM rainfall for UK flood frequency estimation. I. Method and validation. Journal of Hydrology, 2005, in press.
3. HAND W. A Historical Study of Extreme Events in the 20th Century. Met Office Forecasting Research, London, 2002, Technical Report No. 384.
4. FAULKNER D. Rainfall frequency estimation. In The Flood Estimation Handbook, Vol. 2, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, 1999.
5. NATURAL ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH COUNCIL. Flood Studies Report, Vol. 2, NERC, London, 1975.
6. METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE. Meteorological Glossary, 6th edn, HMSO, London, 1991.
7. JENKINS G. and LOWE J. Handling Uncertainties in the UKCIP02 Scenarios of Climate Change. Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, 2003, Technical Note 44.
8. HULME M., JENKINS G. J., LU X., TURNPENNY J. R., MITCHELL T. D., JONES R. G., LOWE J., MURPHY J. M., HASSELL D., BOORMAN P., MCDONALD R. and HILL S. Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich, 2002, UKCIP02 Scientific Report.
9. HUNTINGFORD C., JONES R. G., PRUDHOMME C., LAMB R. and GASH J. H. C. Regional climate model predictions of extreme rainfall for a changing climate. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2003, 129, No. 590, 1607-1621.
10. DALE M., GALLANI M. and HOLLIS, D. Climate Change Report: UKWIR project CL/10, Vol. 1, 2002. See http://www.ukwir.org/templates/UKWIRSite/ukwir_frame. asp for further details.
11. VAN MONTFORT M. A. J. and WITTER J. V. The generalised Pareto distribution applied to rainfall depths. Hydrological Science Journal, 1986, 31, No. 2, 151-162.
12. WANG Q. J. The POT model described by the generalised Pareto distribution with Poisson arrival rate. Journal of Hydrology, 1991, 129, Nos 1-4, 263-280.
13. COLLIER C. G., Fox N. I. and HAND W. H. Extreme Rainfall Event Recognition. DEFRA/Environment Agency Flood and Coastal Defence R&D Programme, 2002, R&D Technical Report FD2201 (Phase 1).
14. HOLTON J. R. An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology, 3rd edn, Academic Press, London, 1992.
15. BOORMAN P., SENIOR C. and BROWN S. Report on the Ability of the Regional Model to Produce Climatologies of Fog, Lightning and Hail, and Potential Changes in the Future. Report produced for DEFRA, September 2003.
16. MET OFFICE. Boscastle and North Cornwall Post Flood Event Study-Meteorological Analysis of the Conditions Leading to Flooding on 16 August 2004. Report produced for the Environment Agency, 2005.
17. ALEXANDER L. V., TETT S. F. B. and JONSSON T. Recent observed changes in severe storms over the United Kingdom and Iceland. Geophysical Research Letters, 2005, 32, No. 13, L13704.
18. MET OFFICE HADLEY CENTRE. Climate Change-Observations and Predictions. Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, 2003.
19. MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE, FISHERIES AND FOOD (DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT, FOOD AND RURAL AFFAIRS). To What Degree Can the Oct/Nov 2000 Floods be Attributed to Climate Change? CEH/Met Office, London, 2001, Report FD2304.