An ensemble data assimilation system to estimate CO2 surface fluxes from atmospheric trace gas observations

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Volumn 110, Issue 24, 2005, Pages 1-18

  Peters, Wouter ^a,b   Miller, J B ^a,b   Whitaker, J ^a,b   Denning, A S ^c   Hirsch, A ^a,b   Krol, M C ^d   Zupanski, D ^e   Bruhwiler, L ^a   Tans, P P ^a  

^a NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^b Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences ^*  (United States)

^c Engineering Research Center and Hydraulics Laboratory   (United States)

^d SRON NETHERLANDS INSTITUTE FOR SPACE RESEARCH   (Netherlands)

^e Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR POLLUTION; APPROXIMATION THEORY; ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; CARBON DIOXIDE; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MATRIX ALGEBRA; VECTORS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

ATMOSPHERIC GAS; CARBON DIOXIDE; DATA ASSIMILATION; SURFACE FLUX; TRACE GAS;

EID: 31644446376     PISSN: 01480227     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2005JD006157     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Andres, R. J., G. Marland, I. Fung, and E. Matthews (1996), A 1 degrees × 1 degrees distribution of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel consumption and cement manufacture, 1950-1990, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 10(3), 419-429.
2. Bousquet, P., P. Peylin, P. Ciais, C. Le Quere, P. Friedlingstein, and P. P. Tans (2000), Regional changes in carbon dioxide fluxes of land and oceans since 1980, Science, 290(5495), 1342-1346.
3. Brenkert, A. L. (1998), Carbon dioxide emission estimates from fossil-fuel burning, hydraulic cement production, and gas flaring for 1995 on a one degree grid cell basis, http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/epubs/ ndp/ndp058a/ndp058a.html, Carbon Dioxide Inf. Anal. Cent., Oak Ridge Natl. Lab., Oak Ridge, Tenn.
4. Bruhwiler, L., A. M. Michalak, W. Peters, D. Baker, and P. P. Tans (2005), An improved Kalman filter for atmospheric inversions, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Disc., 5, 1891-1923.
5. 2 as inferred by delta-C-13 measurements from the NOAA Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory global air sampling network, J. Geophys. Res., 100(D3), 5051-5070.
6. Cohn, S. E., N. S. Sivakumaran, and R. Todling (1994), A fixed-lag Kalman smoother for retrospective data assimilation, Mon. Weather Rev., 122(12), 2838-2867.
7. Conway, T. J., P. P. Tans, L. S. Waterman, and K. W. Thoning (1994), Evidence for interannual variability of the carbon-cycle from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory Global Air Sampling Network, J. Geophys. Res., 99(D11), 22,831-22,855.
8. 2 due to seasonal exchange with land biota, Nature, 376(6537), 240-243.
9. 2 over a Wisconsin forest using a coupled ecosystem-atmosphere model, Global Change Biol., 9(9), 1241-1250.
10. Enting, I. (2002), Inverse Problems in Atmospheric Constituent Transport, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.
11. Eskes, H. J., P. F. J. Van Velthoven, P. J. M. Valks, and H. M. Kelder (2003), Assimilation of GOME total-ozone satellite observations in a three-dimensional tracer-transport model, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 129(590), 1663-1681.
12. Evensen, G. (1994), Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using Monte Carlo methods to forecast error statistics, J. Geophys. Res., 99(C5), 10,143-10,162.
13. Fan, S., M. Gloor, J. Mahlman, S. Pacala, J. Sarmiento, T. Takahashi, and P. Tans (1998), A large terrestrial carbon sink in North America implied by atmospheric and oceanic carbon dioxide data and models. Science, 282(5388), 442-446.
14. Francey, R. J., P. P. Tans, C. E. Allison, I. G. Enting, J. W. C. White, and M. Trolier (1995), Changes in oceanic and terrestrial carbon uptake since 1982, Nature, 373(6512), 326-330.
15. Gaspari, G., and S. E. Cohn (1999), Construction of correlation functions in two and three dimensions, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125(554). 723-757.
16. 2 sources and sinks using atmospheric transport models, Nature, 415(6872), 626-630.
17. Hartley, D., and R. Prinn (1993), Feasibility of determining surface emissions of trace gases using an inverse method in a three-dimensional chemical transport model, J. Geophys. Res. 98(D3), 5183-5198.
18. Houtekamer, P. L., and H. L. Mitchell (1998). Data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter technique, Mon. Weather Rev, 126(3), 796-811.
19. Houweling, S., T. Kaminski, F. Dentener, J. Lelieveld, and M. Heimann (1999), Inverse modeling of methane sources and sinks using the adjoint of a global transport model, J. Geophys. Res., 104(D21), 26,137-26,160.
20. Ide, K., P. Courtier, M. Ghil, and A. C. Lorene (1997), Unified notation for data assimilation: Operational, sequential and variational, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 75(1B), 181-189.
21. 2 in the 1980s, J. Geophys. Res., 104(D15), 18,555-18,581.
22. 2 concentration, Nature, 381(6579), 218-221.
23. Khattatov, B. V., J. F. Lamarque, L. V. Lyjak, R. Menard, P. Levelt, X. X. Tie, G. P. Brasseur, and J. C. Gille (2000). Assimilation of satellite observations of long-lived chemical species in global chemistry transport models, J. Geophys. Res., 105(D23), 29,135-29,144.
24. Kleiman, G., and R. G. Prinn (2000), Measurement and deduction of emissions of trichloroethene, tetrachloroethcne, and trichloromethane (chlomform) in the northeastern United States and southeastern Canada, J. Geophys. Res., 105(D23), 28,875-28,893.
25. Krakauer, N. Y., T. Schneider, J. T. Randerson, and S. C. Olsen (2004), Using generalized cross-validation to select parameters in inversions for regional carbon fluxes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L19108, doi:10.1029/ 2004GL020323.
26. Krol, M. C., S. Houweling, B. Bregman, M. van den Broek, A. Segers, P. van Velthoven, W. Peters, F. J. Dentener, and P. Bergamaschi (2005), The two-way nested global chemistry-transport zoom model TM5: Algorithm and applications, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 417-432.
27. 2 data, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 4, 477-484.
28. 2 inversion intercomparison: 2. Sensitivity of annual mean results to data choices, Tellus, Ser. B, 55(2), 580-595.
29. Lorene, A. C. (2003), The potential of the ensemble Kalman filter for NWP - A comparison with 4D-Var, Q. J. R. Meworol. Soc., 129, 3183-3203.
30. Lyster, P. M., S. E. Cohn, R. Menard, L. P. Chang, S. J. Lin, and R. G. Olsen (1997), Parallel implementation of a Kalman filter for constituent data assimilation, Mon. Weather Rev., 125(7), 1674-1686.
31. 2 flux estimates by transport model inversions, Tellus, Ser. B, 55(2), 522-529.
32. Masarie, K. A., and P. P. Tans (1995), Extension and integration of atmospheric carbon-dioxide data into a globally consistent measurement record, J. Geophys. Res., 100(D6), 11,593-11,610.
33. 2 flux variability in the equatorial Pacific and the North Atlantic, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 18, GB2011. doi:10.1029/ 2003GB002179.
34. Menard. R., S. E. Cohn, L. P. Chang, and P. M. Lyster (2000), Assimilation of stratospheric chemical tracer observations using a Kalman filter. part I: Formulation, Mon. Weather Rev., 128(8), 2654-2671.
35. Michalak, A. M., L. Bruhwiler, and P. P. Tans (2004), A geostatistical approach to surface flux estimation of atmospheric trace gases, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D14109, doi:10.1029/2003JD004422.
36. Michalak, A. M., A. Hirsch, L. Bruhwiler, K. R. Gurney, W. Peters, J. B. Miller, and P. P. Tans (2005), Maximum likelihood estimation of covariarce parameters for Bayesian atmospheric trace gas surface flux inversions, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2005JD005970, in press.
37. Miller, S. M., H. E. Snell. and J. L. Moncet (1999), Simultaneous retrieval of middle atmospheric temperature and trace gas species volume mixing ratios from Cryogenie Infrared Radiance Instrumentation for Shuttle (CIRRIS 1A), J. Geophys. Rev, 104(D15), 18,697-18,714.
38. Patil, D. J., B. R. Hunt, E. Kalnay, J. A. Yorke, and E. Ott (2001), Local low dimensionality of atmospheric dynamics, Phys. Rev. Lett., 86(26), 5878-5881.
39. 6, J. Geophys. Res., 109, D19314, doi:10.1029/2004JD005020.
40. Pétron, G.. C. Grainer, B. Khattatov, V. Yudin, J. F. Lamarque, L. Emmons, J. Gille, and D. P. Edwards (2004), Monthly CO surface sources inventory based oil the 2000-2001 MOPITT satellite data, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L21107, doi:10.1029/2004GL020560.
41. 2 data, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D19), 4385, doi:10.1029/2001JD000857.
42. 2 flux estimates over Europe from continuous atmospheric measurements: 1: Inverse methodology, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Disc., 5, 1647-1678.
43. Randerson, J. T., M. V. Thompson, T. J. Conway, I. Y. Fung, and C. B. Field (1997), The contribution of terrestrial sources and sinks to trends in the seasonal cycle of atmospheric carbon dioxide, Global Biogeochem. Cicles, 11(4), 535-560.
44. Rayner, P. J., and R. M. Law (1999), The interannual variability of the global carbon cycle, Tellus, Ser. B, 51(2), 210-212.
45. 2 from space, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D21), 4557, doi:10.1029/ 2001JD000618.
46. 2 flux history 1982-2001 inferred from atmospheric data using a global inversion of atmospheric transport, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 3, 1919-1964.
47. Stajner, I., and K. Wargan (2004), Antarctic stratospheric ozone from the assimilation of occultation data, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L18108, doi:10.1029/2004GL020846.
48. 2, and seasonal biological and temperature effects, Deep Sea Res., Part II, 49(9-10), 1601-1622.
49. 2 budget, Science, 247(4949), 1431-1438.
50. Tarantola, A. (2004), Liverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation Soc. for Ind. and Appl. Math., Philadelphia, Pa.
51. Whitaker, J. S., and T. M. Hamill (2002), Ensemble data assimilation without perturbed observations, Mon. Weather Rev., 130(7), 1913-1924.
52. Wofsy, S. C., and R. C. Harriss (2002), The North American Carbon Program (NACP), report, 75 pp., U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, D. C.
53. Yudin, V. A., G. Pétron, J. F. Lamarque, B. V. Khattatov, P. G. Hess, L. V. Lyjak, J. C. Gille, D. P. Edwards, M. N. Deeter, and L. K. Emmons (2004), Assimilation of the 2000-2001 CO MOPITT retrievals with Optimized surface emissions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L20105, doi:10.1029,2004GL021037.