Using Bayesian network models to incorporate uncertainty in the economic analysis of pollution abatement measures under the water framework directive

Water Science and Technology: Water Supply

Volumn 5, Issue 6, 2005, Pages 95-104

  Barton, D N ^a   Saloranta, T ^a   Bakken, T H ^a   Solheim, A Lyche ^a   Moe, J ^a   Selvik, J R ^a   Vagstad, N ^a  

^a NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE FOR WATER RESEARCH   (Norway)

Author keywords

Benefit cost analysis; Disproportionate costs; Eutrophication; Programme of measures

Indexed keywords

COST EFFECTIVENESS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBABILITY; WATER; WATER QUALITY;

DISPROPORTIONATE COSTS;

WATER SUPPLY SYSTEMS;

COST EFFECTIVENESS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBABILITY; WATER; WATER QUALITY; WATER SUPPLY SYSTEMS;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS; ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; EUTROPHICATION; POLLUTION CONTROL; WATER POLLUTION; WATER QUALITY;

BAYES THEOREM; BIOPHYSICS; BUDGET; CONFERENCE PAPER; COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS; COST EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS; DECISION MAKING; DOCUMENTATION; ECONOMIC EVALUATION; EUTROPHICATION; MONTE CARLO METHOD; NORWAY; PROBABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; WATER POLLUTION; WATER QUALITY;

EID: 31344444133     PISSN: 16069749     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2166/ws.2005.0054     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (15)

1. Borsuk, M.E., Stow, C.A. and Reckhow, K.H. (2004). A Bayesian network of eutrophication models for synthesis, prediction, and uncertainty analysis. Ecological Modelling, 173, 219-239.
2. EU (2000). Council Directive of 23 October 2002. Establishing a framework for community action in the field of water policy (2000/60/EC). Official Journal of the European Communities, L327, 22 December.
3. Interconsult (2002). Utviklingen i Vannsjø. Konsekvenser for vannforsyningen, MOVAR.
4. Larsen, D.P. and Mercier, H.T. (1976). Phosphorus retention capacity of lakes. J. Fish. Res. Board Can., 33, 1742-1750.
5. Lyche Solheim, A., Vagstad, N., Kraft, P., Løvstad, Ø, Skoglund, S., Turtumøygard, S. and Selvik, J. (2001). Tiltaksanalyse for Morsa. Vannsjø-Hobøl Vassdraget. Sluttrapport, NIVA, Jordforsk, Limnoconsult. NIVA rapport 4377-2001.
6. Lyche Solheim, A., Borgvang, S.A., Vagstad, N., Barton, D., Øygarden, L., Turtumøygrad, S., Braband, Å. and Røhr, P.K. (2003). Demonstrasjonsprosjekt for implementering av EUs Vanndirektiv i Vansjø-Hobøl. Fase 2: Skisse til veildere for karakteriseringsoppgavene i 2004, samt forslag til overvåkningsprogram. NIVA rapport 4737-2003, 107 s.
7. Lyche Solheim, A., Andersen, T., Brettum, P., Bækken, T., Bongard, T., Moy, F., Kroglund, T., Olsgard, F., Rygg, B. and Oug, E. (2004). BIOKLASS - Klassifisering av økologisk statu i norske vannforekomster: forslag til aktuelle kriterier og foreløpige grenseverdier mellom god og moderat økologisk status for utvalgte elementer og påvirkninger. NIVA Rapport Lnr. 4860.
8. Magnussen, K., Bergland, O. and Navrud, S. (1995). Overføring av nytte-estimater: status i Norge og utprøving knyttet til vannkvalitet. Del II Utprøving knyttet til vannkvalitet, NIVA.
9. Diesen, K.G., Lauritzen, S.L. and Jensen, F.V. (1992). aHugin: A system creating adaptive causal probabilistic networks. Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, D. Dubois et al. (eds.), Stanford, California, Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, July 17-19, pp. 223-229.
10. Raiffa, H. (1968). Decision Analysis, Introductory Lectures on Choices under Uncertainty, Addison-Wesley, Reading, Massachusetts.
11. Saloranta, T. and Andersen, T. (2004). MyLake (v.1.1): Technical model documentation and user's guide for version 1.1. NIVA Rapport Snr. 4838.
12. Skiple, I.A., Barton, D.N., Lindholm, O., Vagstad, N.H., Iversen, E. and Berge, D. (2004). Systematisk gjennomgang av ulike miljøforbedrende tiltak og forslag til forbedring av metodikken ved tiltaksanalyser i lys av "Rammedirektivet for vann". NIVA Rapport Nr. 4777-2004.
13. Vans, O. and Kuikka, S. (1999). Learning Bayesian decision analysis by doing environmental and natural resources management. Ecological Modelling, 119, 177-195.
14. Vose, D. (1996). Quantitative Risk Analysis, A Guide to Monte Carlo Simulation Modelling, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
15. WATECO (2000). Economics and the Environment, The implementation challenge of the Water Framework Directive. A Guidance Document, WATECO Working Group.