ENSO and PDO variability affect drought-induced fire occurrence in rocky mountain subalpine forests

Ecological Applications

Volumn 15, Issue 6, 2005, Pages 2000-2014

  Schoennagel, Tania ^a   Veblen, Thomas T ^a   Romme, W H ^b   Sibold, J S ^a   Cook, E R ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^b Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences   (United States)

^c Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate; Drought; El Ni o Southern Oscillation; Fire ecology; Pacific Decadal Oscillation; Subalpine forests

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE VARIATION; DROUGHT; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; FOREST FIRE; MONTANE FOREST; PACIFIC DECADAL OSCILLATION; SUBALPINE ENVIRONMENT;

EID: 30944454635     PISSN: 10510761     EISSN: 10510761     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/04-1579     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Biondi, F., A. Gershunov, and D. Cayan. 2001. North Pacific Decadal Climate Variability since 1661. Journal of Climate 14:5-10.
2. Brown, P. M., and C. H. Seig. 1996. Fire history in interior ponderosa pine communities of the Black Hills, South Dakota. International Journal of Wildland Fire 6:97-105.
3. Buechling, A., and W. L. Baker. 2004. A fire history from tree rings in a high-elevation forest of Rocky Mountain National Park. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 34:1259-1273.
4. Cayan, D., M. Dettinger, H. Diaz, and N. Graham. 1998. Decadal variability of precipitation over Western North America. Journal of Climate 11:3148-3166.
5. Cook, E. 2000. Niño3 Index Reconstruction. IGBP PAGES/World Data Center-A for Paleoclimatology Data Contribution Series #2000-052. International Tree-Ring Data Bank, NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder, Colorado, USA.
6. Cook, E., D. Meko, D. Stahle, and M. Cleaveland. 1996. Tree-ring reconstructions of past drought across the coterminous United States: tests of a regression method and calibration/verification results. Pages 155-169 in J. Dean, D. Meko, and T. Swetnam, editors. Tree rings, environment and society. Radiocarbon, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
7. Cook, E., D. Meko, D. Stahle, and M. Cleaveland. 1999. Drought reconstructions for the Continental United States. Journal of Climate 12:1145-1162.
8. Daniels, L., and T. Veblen. 2000. ENSO effects on temperature and precipitation of the Patagonian-Andean region: implications for biogeography. Physical Geography 21:223-243.
9. D'Arrigo, R., R. Villalba, and G. Wiles. 2001. Tree-ring estimates of Pacific decadal climate variability. Climate Dynamics 18:219-224.
10. Dettinger, M., D. Cayan, H. Diaz, and D. Meko. 1998. North-south precipitation in western North America on interannual-to-decadal timescales. Journal of Climate 11:3095-3111.
11. Diaz, H., and V. Markgraf, editors. 2000. El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: multiscale variability and global and regional impacts. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
12. Donnegan, J. A., T. T. Veblen, and J. S. Sibold. 2001. Climatic and human influences on fire history in Pike National Forest, central Colorado. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 31:1526-1539.
13. Gedalof, Z., N. J. Mantua, and D. L. Peterson. 2002. A multi-century perspective of variability in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation: new insights from tree rings and coral. Geophysical Research Letters 29:57-51, 57-54.
14. Gedalof, Z., D. L. Peterson, and N. J. Mantua. 2005. Atmospheric, climatic and ecological controls on extreme wildfire years in the northwestern United States. Ecological Applications 15:154-174.
15. Gershunov, A., and T. Barnett. 1998. Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 79:2715-2725.
16. Gray, S., J. Betancourt, C. Fastie, and S. Jackson. 2003. Patterns and sources of multidecadal oscillations in drought-sensitive tree-ring records from the central and southern Rocky Mountains. Geophysical Research Letters 30: 49-41, 49-44.
17. Grissino-Mayer, H. 1995. Tree-ring reconstructions of climate and fire history at El Malpais National Monument, New Mexico. Dissertation. University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
18. Grissino-Mayer, H., W. Romme, M. Floyd, and D. Hanna. 2004. Long-term climatic and human influences on fire regimes of the San Juan National Forest, southwestern Colorado, USA. Ecology 85:1708-1724.
19. Grissino-Mayer, H., and T. W. Swetnam. 2000. Century-scale climate forcing of fire regimes in the American Southwest. Holocene 10:213-220.
20. Haurwitz, M. W., and G. W. Brier. 1981. A critique of the superposed epoch analysis method - its application to solar weather relations. Monthly Weather Review 109:2074-2079.
21. Heinselman, M. L. 1973. Fire in the virgin forests of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area, Minnesota. Quaternary Research 3:329-382.
22. Hessburg, P., E. Kuhlman, and T. Swetnam. 2005. Examining the recent climate through the lens of ecology: inferences from temporal pattern analysis. Ecological Applications 15:440-457.
23. Hessl, A., D. McKenzie, and R. Schellhaas. 2004. Drought and Pacific Decadal Oscillation linked to fire occurrence in the Inland Pacific Northwest. Ecological Applications 14:425-442.
24. Heyerdahl, E. K., L. B. Brubaker, and J. K. Agee. 2001. Spatial controls of historical fire regimes: a multiscale example from the interior west, USA. Ecology 82:660-678.
25. Heyerdahl, E. K., L. B. Brubaker, and J. K. Agee. 2002. Annual and decadal climate forcing of historical fire regimes in the interior Pacific Northwest, USA. Holocene 12:597-604.
26. Johnson, E. A., K. Miyanishi, and S. R. J. Bridge. 2001. Wildfire regime in the boreal forest and the idea of suppression and fuel buildup. Conservation Biology 15:1554-1557.
27. Johnson, E. A., and D. R. Wowchuk. 1993. Wildfires in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains and their relationship to mid-tropospheric anomalies. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 23:1213-1222.
28. Keeley, J. E. 2004. Impact of antecedent climate on fire regimes in coastal California. International Journal of Wildland Fire 13:173-182.
29. Kipfmueller, K. F., and W. L. Baker. 2000. A fire history of a subalpine forest in south-eastern Wyoming, USA. Journal of Biogeography 27:71-85.
30. Kipfmuller, K. F., and T. W. Swetnam. 2000. Fire-climate interactions in the Selway-BitterrootWilderness Area. Pages 270-275 in D. N. Cole, S. F. McCool, W. T. Borrow, and J. O'Laughlin, editors. Wilderness science in a time of change. Volume 5. Wilderness ecosystems, threats and management. U.S.D.A. Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Missoula, Montana, USA.
31. Kittel, T., P. Thornton, J. Royle, and T. Chase. 2003. Climates of the Rocky Mountains: historical and future patterns. Pages 59-82 in J. Baron, editor. Rocky Mountain futures: an ecological perspective. Island Press, Washington, D.C., USA.
32. Kitzberger, T., T. W. Swetnam, and T. T. Veblen. 2001. Inter-hemispheric synchrony of forest fires and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Global Ecology and Biogeography 10:315-326.
33. Kitzberger, T., T. T. Veblen, and R. Villalba. 1997. Climatic influences on fire regimes along a rainforest-to-xeric woodland gradient in northern Patagonia, Argentina. Journal of Biogeography 24:35-47.
34. Mantua, N. J., and S. R. Hare. 2002. The Pacific decadal oscillation. Journal of Oceanography 58:35-44.
35. Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis. 1997. A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 78:1069-1079.
36. McBride, J. R. 1983. Analysis of tree rings and fire scars to establish fire history. Tree-ring Bulletin 43:51-66.
37. McCabe, G. J., and M. D. Dettinger. 1999. Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western United States. International Journal of Climatology 19:1399-1410.
38. McCabe, G., M. Palecki, and J. Betancourt. 2004. Pacific and Atlantic ocean influences on multidecadal drought frequency in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (USA) 101:4136-4141.
39. Mote, P., W. Keeton, and J. Franklin. 1999. Decadal variations in forest fire activity in the Pacific Northwest. Pages 155-156 in 11th Conference on applied climatology. American Meteorological Society, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
40. Norman, S., and A. Taylor. 2003. Tropical and north Pacific teleconnections influence fire regimes in pine-dominated forests of north-eastern California, USA. Journal of Biogeography 30:1081-1092.
41. Peet, R. K. 2000. Forests of the Rocky Mountains. Pages 63-101 in M. B. Barbour and W. D. Billings, editors. North American terrestrial vegetation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
42. Prager, M. H., and J. M. Hoenig. 1989. Superposed epoch analysis - a randomization test of environmental effects on recruitment with application to chub mackerel. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 118:608-618.
43. Rajagopalan, B., and E. Cook. 2000. Spatiotemporal variability of ENSO and SST teleconnections to summer drought over the United States during the twentieth century. Journal of Climate 13:4244-4255.
44. Rollins, M. G., P. Morgan, and T. Swetnam. 2002. Landscape-scale controls over 20th century fire occurrence in two large Rocky Mountain (USA) wilderness areas. Landscape Ecology 17:539-557.
45. Romme, W. H., and D. G. Despain. 1989. Historical perspective on the Yellowstone fires of 1988. BioScience 39:695-699.
46. Schoennagel, T., M. G. Turner, and W. H. Romme. 2003. The influence of fire interval and serotiny on postfire lodgepole pine density in Yellowstone National Park. Ecology 84:2967-2978.
47. Schoennagel, T., T. T. Veblen, and W. H. Romme. 2004. The interaction of fire, fuels and climate across Rocky Mountain forests. BioScience 54:661-676.
48. Sherriff, R. L., T. T. Veblen, and J. S. Sibold. 2001. Fire history in high elevation subalpine forests in the Colorado Front Range. Ecoscience 8:369-380.
49. Sibold, J. S., T. T. Veblen, and M. Gonzales. In press. Sub-alpine forest fire regimes of the southern Rockies. Journal of Biogeography.
50. Simard, A., D. Haines, and W. Main. 1985. Relations between El Niño/Southern Oscillation anomalies and wild land fire activity in the United States. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 36:93-104.
51. Stenseth, N., A. Mysterud, G. Ottersen, J. Hurrell, K.-S. Chan, and M. Lima. 2002. Ecological effects of climate fluctuations. Science 297:1292-1296.
52. Stenseth, N., G. Ottersen, J. Hurrell, A. Mysterud, M. Lima, K.-C. Chan, N. Yoccoz, and B. Adlandsvik. 2003. Studying climate effects on ecology through the use of climate indices: the North Atlantic Oscillation, El Niño Southern Oscillation and beyond. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London 270:2087-2096.
53. Swetnam, T. W., and C. H. Baisan. 1996. Historical fire regime patterns in the southwestern United States since AD 1700. Pages 11-32 in C. D. Allen, editor. Proceedings of the second La Mesa fire symposium. RM-GTR-286. USDA Forest Service, Los Alamos, New Mexico, USA.
54. Swetnam, T. W., and J. L. Betancourt. 1990. Fire-southern oscillation relations in the southwestern United States. Science 249:1017-1249.
55. Swetnam, T. W., and J. L. Betancourt. 1998. Mesoscale disturbance and ecological response to decadal climatic variability in the American southwest. Journal of Climate 11: 3128-3147.
56. Tande, G. F. 1979. Fire history and vegetation pattern of coniferous forests in Jasper National Park, Alberta. Canadian Journal of Botany 57:1912-1931.
57. Tinker, D. B., W. H. Romme, and D. G. Despain. 2003. Historic range of variability in landscape structure in subalpine forests of the Greater Yellowstone area. Landscape Ecology 18:427-439.
58. Veblen, T. T., T. Kitzberger, and J. Donnegan. 2000. Climatic and human influences on fire regimes in ponderosa pine forests in the Colorado Front Range. Ecological Applications 10:1178-1195.
59. Veblen, T. T., T. Kitzberger, R. Villalba, and J. Donnegan. 1999. Fire history in northern Patagonia: the roles of humans and climatic variation. Ecological Monographs 69: 47-67.
60. Westerling, A., A. Gershunov, T. Brown, D. Cayan, and M. Dettinger. 2003a. Climate and wildfire in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84:595-604.
61. Westerling, A., A. Gershunov, and D. R. Cayan. 2003b. Statistical forecasts of the 2003 Western wildfire season using canonical correlation analysis. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin 12:49-53.
62. Westerling, A., A. Gershunov, D. Cayan, and T. Barnett. 2002. Long lead statistical forecasts of area burned in western US wildfires by ecosystem province. International Journal of Wildland Fire 11:257-266.
63. Westerling, A., and T. Swetnam. 2003. Interannual to decadal drought and wildfire in the western United States. EOS 84: 545-560.