Certainty and mortality prediction in critically ill children

Journal of Medical Ethics

Volumn 30, Issue 3, 2004, Pages 304-307

  Marcin, James P ^a   Pretzlaff, R K ^a   Pollack, M M ^b   Patel, K M ^b   Ruttimann, U E ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^b GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AND HEALTH SCIENCES   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; ARTICLE; CHILD; CHILDHOOD MORTALITY; COHORT ANALYSIS; CONTROLLED STUDY; CRITICAL ILLNESS; HOSPITAL ADMISSION; HUMAN; INTENSIVE CARE UNIT; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; PEDIATRICS; PREDICTION; PROGNOSIS; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SURVIVAL RATE; TREATMENT PLANNING;

DEATH AND EUTHANASIA; EMPIRICAL APPROACH; HEALTH CARE AND PUBLIC HEALTH; PROFESSIONAL PATIENT RELATIONSHIP;

CHILD; CLINICAL COMPETENCE; CRITICAL ILLNESS; HOSPITAL MORTALITY; HUMANS; INTENSIVE CARE UNITS, PEDIATRIC; MEDICAL STAFF, HOSPITAL; PROGNOSIS; PROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 3042808743     PISSN: 03066800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1136/jme.2002.001537     Document Type: Article

References (19)

1. Pollack MM, Patel KM, Ruttimann UE. PRISM III: an updated Pediatric Risk of Mortality score. Crit Care Med 1996;24:743-52.
2. Knaus WA, Wagner DP, Draper EA, et al. The APACHE III prognostic system. Risk prediction of hospital mortality for critically ill hospitalized adults. Chest 1991;100:1619-36.
3. Marcin JP, Pollack MM, Patel KM, et al. Combining physician's subjective and physiology-based objective mortality risk predictions. Crit Care Med 2000;28:2984-90.
4. Christensen C, Cottrell JJ, Murakami J, et al. Forecasting survival in the medical intensive care unit: a comparison of clinical prognoses with formal estimates. Methods Inf Med 1993;32:302-8.
5. Kruse JA, Thill-Baharozian MC, Carlson RW. Comparison of clinical assessment with APACHE II for predicting mortality risk in patients admitted to a medical intensive care unit. JAMA 1988;260:1739-42.
6. McClish DK, Powell SH. How well can physicians estimate mortality in a medical intensive care unit? Med Decis Making 1989;9:125-32.
7. Poses RM, Bekes C, Copare FJ, et al. The answer to "What are my chances, doctor?" depends on whom is asked: prognostic disagreement and inaccuracy far critically ill patients. Crit Care Med 1989;17:827-33.
8. Poses RM, McClish DK, Bekes C, et al. Ego bias, reverse ago bias, and physicians' prognostic. Crit Care Med 1991;19:1533-9.
9. Marcin JP, Pollock MM, Patel KM, et al. Prognostication and certainty in the pediatric intensive care unit. Pediatrics 1999;104:868-73.
10. Rich BA, Defining and delineating a duty to prognosticate. Theor Med Bioeth 2001;22:177-92.
11. Christakis NA. Prognostication and bioethics. Daedalus 1999;128:197-214.
12. Christakis NA, Iwashyna TJ. Attitude and self-reported practice regarding prognostication in a national sample of internists. Arch Intern Med 1998;158:2389-95.
13. Christakis NA, Lamont EB. Extent mid determinants of error in doctors' prognoses in terminally ill patients: prospective cohort study. BMJ 2000;320:469-72.
14. Christakis NA. The ellipsis of prognosis in modern medical thought. Soc Sci Med 1997;44:301-15.
15. Poses RM, Bekes C, Winkler RL, et al. Are two (inexperienced) heads better than one (experienced) head? Averaging house officers' prognostic judgments for critically ill patients. Arch Intern Med 1990;150:1874-8.
16. Lynn J, Harrell F Jr, Cohn F, et al. Prognoses of seriously ill hospitalized patients on the days before death: implications for patient care and public policy. New Horiz 1997;5:56-61.
17. Stevens SM, Richardson DK, Gray JE, et al. Estimating neonatal mortality risk: an analysis of clinicians' judgments. Pediatrics 1994;93:945-50.
18. Perkins HS, Jonsen AR, Epstein WV. Providers as predictors: using outcome predictions in intensive care. Crit Care Med 1986;14:105-10.
19. Sharp MC, Strauss RP, Lorch SC. Communicating medical bad news: parents' experiences and preferences. J Pediatr 1992;121:539-46.