Evaluation of a kilo-member ensemble for track forecasting

26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Volumn , Issue , 2004, Pages 160-161

  Vigh, Jonathan ^a,b  

^a Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences   (United States)

^b Engineering Research Center and Hydraulics Laboratory   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW; GLOBAL FORECASTING SYSTEM (GFS); MULTIGRID BAROTROPIC VORTICITY EQUATION MODEL (MBAR); TRACK FORECASTING;

BAROMETERS; CLIMATOLOGY; CORRELATION METHODS; DEGREES OF FREEDOM (MECHANICS); ERROR ANALYSIS; MAPPING; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MATHEMATICAL TRANSFORMATIONS; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; PERTURBATION TECHNIQUES; PROBABILITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL METHODS; STORMS;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 3042793890     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (6)

1. Fulton, S. R., 2001: An adaptive multigrid barotropic tropical cyclone track model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 138-151.
2. Cheung, K. K. W. and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion using a barotropic model. Part I: Perturbations of the environment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 1229-1243.
3. Cheung, K. K. W., and J. C. L. Chan, 1999: Ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclone motion using a barotropic model. Part II: Perturbations of the vortex. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2617-2640.
4. Jolliffe, I. T., and D. B. Stephenson, 2003: Forecast verification: A practitioner's guide in atmospheric science. Wiley and Sons Ltd.
5. Vigh, J., 2002: Track Forecasting of 2001 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Using a Kilo-Member Ensemble. Preprints, 25th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 212-213.
6. Vigh, J., S. R. Fulton, M. DeMaria, and W. H. Schubert, 2003: Evaluation of a Multigrid Barotropic Cyclone Track Model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1629-1636.