Mortality forecasting and trend shifts: An application of the Lee-Carter model to Swedish mortality data

International Statistical Review

Volumn 72, Issue 1, 2004, Pages 37-50

  Lundström, Hans ^a   Qvist, Jan ^a  

^a STATISTICS SWEDEN   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Forecasting; Lee Carter model; Mortality; Trend shifts

Indexed keywords

EID: 3042633604     PISSN: 03067734     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1751-5823.2004.tb00222.x     Document Type: Article

References (5)

1. Booth, H., Maindonald, J. & Smith, L. (2002). Age-time interactions in mortality projection: Applying Lee-Carter to Australia. Working Papers in Demography. Revised 2 August 2002, Demography and Sociology Program, Research School of Social Sciences, The Australian National University.
2. Carter, L. & Prskawetz, A. (2001). Examining Structural Shifts in Mortality Using the Lee-Carter Method. MPIDR Working Paper WP 2001-007, March 2001. Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock.
3. Good, I.J. (1969). Some Applications of the Singular Decomposition of a Matrix. Technometrics, 11(4), 823-831.
4. Lee, R.D. & Carter, L.R. (1992). Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 87(419), 659-671.
5. Wilmoth, J. (1993). Computational Methods for Fitting and Extrapolating the Lee-Carter Model of Mortality Change. Technical Report, Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley.