The significance of Jacob Bernoulli's Ars Conjectandi for the philosophy of probability today

Journal of Econometrics

Volumn 75, Issue 1, 1996, Pages 15-32

  Shafer, Glenn ^a  

^a RUTGERS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Frequentism; Interpretation of probability; Multivalence; Subjectivism

Indexed keywords

EID: 30244568424     PISSN: 03044076     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/0304-4076(95)01766-6     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. Arnauld, Antoine and Pierre Nicole, 1662, l'Art de penser (Paris). Widely used as a textbook, with many editions and translations, this book is often referred to as the Port Royal Logic.
2. Daston, Lorraine, 1988, Classical probability in the enlightenment (Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ).
3. Dawid, A.P., 1984, Statistical theory: The prequential approach, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A 147, 278-292.
4. Edwards, A.W.F., 1987, Pascal arithmetic triangle (Oxford University Press, New York, NY).
5. Hacking, Ian, 1975, The emergence of probability (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge).
6. Hald, Anders, 1990, A history of probability and statistics and their applications before 1750 (Wiley, New York, NY).
7. Porter, Theodore M., 1986, The rise of statistical thinking. 1820-1900 (Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ).
8. Shafer, Glenn, 1978, Non-additive probabilities in the work of Bernoulli and Lambert, Archive for History of Exact Sciences 19, 309-370.
9. Shafer, Glenn, 1990, Perspectives on the theory and practice of belief functions, International Journal of Approximate Reasoning 4. 323-362.
10. Shafer, Glenn, 1992, Can the various meanings of probability be reconciled?, in: G. Keren and C. Lewis, eds., A handbook for data analysis in the behavioral sciences: Methodological issues (Lawrence Erlbaum, Hillsdale, NJ) 165-196.
11. Shafer, Glenn, 1996, The art of causal conjecture (MIT Press, Cambridge, MA).
12. Shapiro, Barbara J., 1983, Probability and certainty in seventeenth-century England: A study of the relationships between natural science, religion, history, law, and literature (Princeton University Press, Princeon, NJ).
13. Stigler, Stephen M., 1986, The history of statistics: The measurement of uncertainty before 1900 (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA).
14. van der Waerden, B.L., 1975, Die Werke von Jakob Bernoulli, Band 3, edited by Naturforschende Gesellschaft in Basel (Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel).
15. Vovk, V.G., 1993, The logic of probability, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 55, 317-351.
16. Zabell, Sandy L., 1988, The probabilistic analysis of testimony, Journal of Planning and Inference 20, 327-354.