A physically based parameter for lightning prediction and its calibration in ensemble forecasts

85th AMS Annual Meeting, American Meteorological Society - Combined Preprints

Volumn , Issue , 2005, Pages 5699-5709

  Bright, David R ^a,c   Wandishin, Matthew S ^b   Jewell, Ryan E ^a   Weiss, Steven J ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA   (United States)

^c NOAA EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 30044449766     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (9)

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2. Du, J., J. McQueen, G. DiMego, T. Black, H. Juang, E. Rogers, B. Ferrier, B. Zhou, Z. Toth and M. S. Tracton, 2004: The NOAA/NWS/NCEP short-range ensemble forecast (SREF) system: evaluation of an initial condition vs. multi-model physics ensemble approach. Preprints, 16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, Washington, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM (21.3)
3. Emanuel, K. A., 1994: Atmospheric Convection. Oxford University Press, 580 pp.
4. Houze, R. A., Jr., 1993: Cloud Dynamics. Academic Press, 573 pp.
5. MacGorman, D. R., and W. D. Rust, 1998: The Electrical Nature of Storms. Oxford University Press, 422 pp.
6. Mason, I., 1982: A model for assessment of weather forecasts. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 30, 291-303.
7. Van Den Broeke, M. S., D. M. Schultz, R. H. Johns, J. S. Evans, and J. E. Hales, 2004: Cloud-to-ground lightning production in strongly forced, low-instability convective lines associated with damaging wind. Wea. Forecasting, Submitted.
8. Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, 476 pp.
9. Zipser, E.J., and K. Lutz, 1994: The vertical profile of radar reflectivity of convective cells: A strong indicator of storm intensity and lightning probability? Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 1751-1759.