메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 51, Issue 4, 2004, Pages 277-296

Cyclone induced storm surge and flood forecasting in the northern Bay of Bengal

Author keywords

Cyclone forecasting; Data assimilation; Flood forecasting; Prediction uncertainty; Storm surge

Indexed keywords

FLOODS; FORECASTING; HYDRODYNAMICS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; STATISTICAL METHODS; STORMS; WIND EFFECTS;

EID: 2942718516     PISSN: 03783839     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2004.03.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (120)

References (42)
  • 1
    • 0031185966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Negative surges in the Meghna Estuary in Bangladesh
    • As-Salek J.A. Negative surges in the Meghna Estuary in Bangladesh Mon. Weather Rev. 125 1997 1638-1648
    • (1997) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 1638-1648
    • As-Salek, J.A.1
  • 2
    • 0000130560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coastal trapping and funnelling effects on storm surges in the Meghna Estuary in relation to cyclones hitting Noakhali-Cox's Bazar coast of Bangladesh
    • As-Salek J.A. Coastal trapping and funnelling effects on storm surges in the Meghna Estuary in relation to cyclones hitting Noakhali-Cox's Bazar coast of Bangladesh J. Phys. Oceanogr. 28 1998 227-249
    • (1998) J. Phys. Oceanogr. , vol.28 , pp. 227-249
    • As-Salek, J.A.1
  • 3
    • 0028973717 scopus 로고
    • Comparative study of the storm surge models proposed for Bangladesh: Last developments and research needs
    • As-Salek J.A. Yasuda T. Comparative study of the storm surge models proposed for Bangladesh: last developments and research needs J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. 54/55 1995 595-610
    • (1995) J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. , vol.54-55 , pp. 595-610
    • As-Salek, J.A.1    Yasuda, T.2
  • 4
    • 0002158924 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Genetic programming as a model induction engine
    • Babovic V. Keijzer M. Genetic programming as a model induction engine J. Hydroinform. 2 1 2000 35-60
    • (2000) J. Hydroinform. , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 35-60
    • Babovic, V.1    Keijzer, M.2
  • 5
    • 2942750643 scopus 로고
    • Cyclone '91
    • R. Haider, A. A. Rahman, & S. Huq (Eds.), Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Studies
    • Bangladesh Centre for Advanced Studies Cyclone '91 Haider R. Rahman A.A. Huq S. An Environmental and Perceptional Study 1991 Dhaka, Bangladesh 91 pp.
    • (1991) an Environmental and Perceptional Study , pp. 91
  • 6
    • 0031128210 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Progress and recent developments in storm surge modelling
    • Bode L. Hardy T.A. Progress and recent developments in storm surge modelling J. Hydraul. Eng., ASCE 123 4 1997 315-331
    • (1997) J. Hydraul. Eng., ASCE , vol.123 , Issue.4 , pp. 315-331
    • Bode, L.1    Hardy, T.A.2
  • 7
    • 0343072902 scopus 로고
    • Air-sea interaction
    • B. A. Warren, & C. Wunsch (Eds.), Cambridge, MA: MIT Press third edition
    • Charnock H. Air-sea interaction Warren B.A. Wunsch C. Evolution of Physical Oceanography third edition 1987 482-503 MIT Press Cambridge, MA
    • (1987) Evolution of Physical Oceanography , pp. 482-503
    • Charnock, H.1
  • 8
    • 1542756355 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of maximum wind speed in cyclones in the Bay of Bengal-a preliminary investigation
    • Choudhury A.M. Ali M.A. Prediction of maximum wind speed in cyclones in the Bay of Bengal-a preliminary investigation Nucl. Sci. Appl. 7 B 1974 109-113
    • (1974) Nucl. Sci. Appl. , vol.7 , Issue.B , pp. 109-113
    • Choudhury, A.M.1    Ali, M.A.2
  • 9
    • 2942754479 scopus 로고
    • Cyclone Protection Project II (FAP 7), Feasibility and Design Studies
    • CPP, (2 vols.), Bangladesh Water Development Board Component. Joint venture of Kampsax International, BCEOM and Danish Hydraulic Institute in association with Design Development Consultants. Addendum: simulation of April 1991 Cyclone, 1992
    • CPP, 1991. Cyclone Protection Project II (FAP 7), Feasibility and Design Studies. Hydraulic Studies (2 vols.), Bangladesh Water Development Board Component. Joint venture of Kampsax International, BCEOM and Danish Hydraulic Institute in association with Design Development Consultants. Addendum: simulation of April 1991 Cyclone, 1992.
    • (1991) Hydraulic Studies
  • 10
    • 2942715552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CSPS, Stage 1: feasibility phase, final report. Supporting volume 1: mathematical modelling of cyclone surge and related flooding. European Commission, Directorate General External Economic Relations, Technical Unit for Asia. Sener Ingennieria y Sistemas in association with Mott MacDonald, Danish Hydraulic Institute, Bangladesh Consultants, Engineering Science, Resource Planning and Management Consultants, and Bangladesh Disaster Preparedness Centre
    • CSPS, 1998. Cyclone Shelter Preparatory Study (Cyclone Risk Area Development Project). Stage 1: feasibility phase, final report. Supporting volume 1: mathematical modelling of cyclone surge and related flooding. European Commission, Directorate General External Economic Relations, Technical Unit for Asia. Sener Ingennieria y Sistemas in association with Mott MacDonald, Danish Hydraulic Institute, Bangladesh Consultants, Engineering Science, Resource Planning and Management Consultants, and Bangladesh Disaster Preparedness Centre.
    • (1998) Cyclone Shelter Preparatory Study (Cyclone Risk Area Development Project)
  • 11
    • 2942746893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summary of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center tropical cyclone track and intensity guidance models,
    • DeMaria, M, 1997. Summary of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center tropical cyclone track and intensity guidance models, http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.
    • (1997)
    • DeMaria, M.1
  • 12
    • 0028667886 scopus 로고
    • A statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic basin
    • DeMaria M. Kaplan J. A statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic basin Weather Forecast. 9 1994 209-220
    • (1994) Weather Forecast. , vol.9 , pp. 209-220
    • DeMaria, M.1    Kaplan, J.2
  • 14
    • 0026445234 scopus 로고
    • Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models
    • Duan Q. Sorooshian S. Gupta V. Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall-runoff models Water Resour. Res. 28 4 1992 1015-1031
    • (1992) Water Resour. Res. , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 1015-1031
    • Duan, Q.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Gupta, V.3
  • 15
    • 0008455641 scopus 로고
    • A real time storm surge prediction system. An application to east coast of India
    • Dube S.K. Rao A.D. Sinha P.C. Chittibabu P. A real time storm surge prediction system. An application to east coast of India Proc. Indian Natl. Sci. Acad. 60 A1 1994 157-170
    • (1994) Proc. Indian Natl. Sci. Acad. , vol.60 , Issue.A1 , pp. 157-170
    • Dube, S.K.1    Rao, A.D.2    Sinha, P.C.3    Chittibabu, P.4
  • 16
    • 0001498511 scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone intensity analysis and forecasting from satellite imagery
    • Dvorak V.F. Tropical cyclone intensity analysis and forecasting from satellite imagery Mon. Weather Rev. 103 1975 421-430
    • (1975) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.103 , pp. 421-430
    • Dvorak, V.F.1
  • 17
    • 0033554673 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thermodynamic control of hurricane intensity
    • Emanuel K.A. Thermodynamic control of hurricane intensity Nature 401 1999 665-669
    • (1999) Nature , vol.401 , pp. 665-669
    • Emanuel, K.A.1
  • 18
    • 0028561365 scopus 로고
    • A storm surge prediction model for the northern Bay of Bengal with application to the cyclone disaster in April 1991
    • Flather R.A. A storm surge prediction model for the northern Bay of Bengal with application to the cyclone disaster in April 1991 J. Phys. Oceanogr. 24 1994 172-190
    • (1994) J. Phys. Oceanogr. , vol.24 , pp. 172-190
    • Flather, R.A.1
  • 20
    • 0024656259 scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic estimates for multivariate analysis
    • Harr M.E. Probabilistic estimates for multivariate analysis Appl. Math. Model. 13 1989 313-319
    • (1989) Appl. Math. Model. , vol.13 , pp. 313-319
    • Harr, M.E.1
  • 21
    • 0019146966 scopus 로고
    • An analytical model of the wind and pressure profiles in hurricanes
    • Holland G.J. An analytical model of the wind and pressure profiles in hurricanes Mon. Weather Rev. 108 1980 1212-1218
    • (1980) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.108 , pp. 1212-1218
    • Holland, G.J.1
  • 23
    • 1542744610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison and further development of parametric tropical cyclone models for storm surge modelling
    • Jakobsen F. Madsen H. Comparison and further development of parametric tropical cyclone models for storm surge modelling J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. 92 2004 375-391
    • (2004) J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. , vol.92 , pp. 375-391
    • Jakobsen, F.1    Madsen, H.2
  • 24
    • 0036806554 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Residual flow in the Meghna Estuary on the coastline of Bangladesh
    • Jakobsen F. Azam M.H. Kabir M.U. Residual flow in the Meghna Estuary on the coastline of Bangladesh Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. 55 2002 587-597
    • (2002) Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci. , vol.55 , pp. 587-597
    • Jakobsen, F.1    Azam, M.H.2    Kabir, M.U.3
  • 26
    • 2942726720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • JTWC, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, USA,
    • JTWC, 2003. Tropical cyclone best track data, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, USA, http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/products/jtwc/best_tracks.
    • (2003) Tropical Cyclone Best Track Data
  • 28
    • 2942700580 scopus 로고
    • Standing problems in countermeasures for cyclone disaster: How is it possible for Bangladesh to help itself
    • United Nations Centre for Regional Development
    • Matsuda I. Standing problems in countermeasures for cyclone disaster: how is it possible for Bangladesh to help itself Cyclone Damage in Bangladesh 1991 9-37 United Nations Centre for Regional Development
    • (1991) Cyclone Damage in Bangladesh , pp. 9-37
    • Matsuda, I.1
  • 29
    • 0001995809 scopus 로고
    • Reliability estimation
    • V. P. Singh (Ed.), Colorado: Water Resources Publications
    • Melching C.S. Reliability estimation Singh V.P. Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology 1995 69-118 Water Resources Publications Colorado
    • (1995) Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology , pp. 69-118
    • Melching, C.S.1
  • 30
    • 0008430197 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of maximum wind speeds in tropical cyclones occurring in the Indian Seas
    • Mishra D.K. Gupta G.R. Estimation of maximum wind speeds in tropical cyclones occurring in the Indian Seas Indian J. Meteorol. Hydrol. Geophys. 27 3 1976 285-290
    • (1976) Indian J. Meteorol. Hydrol. Geophys. , vol.27 , Issue.3 , pp. 285-290
    • Mishra, D.K.1    Gupta, G.R.2
  • 32
    • 0001337422 scopus 로고
    • Statistical prediction of tropical storm motion over the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea
    • Neumann C.J. Mandal G.S. Statistical prediction of tropical storm motion over the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Indian J. Meteorol. Hydrol. Geophys. 29 3 1978 487-500
    • (1978) Indian J. Meteorol. Hydrol. Geophys. , vol.29 , Issue.3 , pp. 487-500
    • Neumann, C.J.1    Mandal, G.S.2
  • 33
    • 0000237627 scopus 로고
    • The variation of track forecast difficulty among tropical cyclone basins
    • Pike A.C. Neumann C.J. The variation of track forecast difficulty among tropical cyclone basins Weather Forecast. 2 1987 237-241
    • (1987) Weather Forecast. , vol.2 , pp. 237-241
    • Pike, A.C.1    Neumann, C.J.2
  • 34
    • 0001449455 scopus 로고
    • The hurricane's inner core region: I. Symmetric and asymmetric structure
    • Shea J.S. Gray W.M. The hurricane's inner core region: I. Symmetric and asymmetric structure J. Atmos. Sci. 30 1973 1544-1564
    • (1973) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.30 , pp. 1544-1564
    • Shea, J.S.1    Gray, W.M.2
  • 36
    • 0001525472 scopus 로고
    • Skill assessment of an operational hydrodynamic forecast system for the North Sea and Danish Belts
    • Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union
    • Vested H.J. Nielsen H.R. Jensen H.R. Kristensen K.B. Skill assessment of an operational hydrodynamic forecast system for the North Sea and Danish Belts Coastal and Estuarine Studies vol. 47 1995 373-396 American Geophysical Union Washington, DC
    • (1995) Coastal and Estuarine Studies , vol.47 , pp. 373-396
    • Vested, H.J.1    Nielsen, H.R.2    Jensen, H.R.3    Kristensen, K.B.4
  • 38
    • 0006528515 scopus 로고
    • WMO, Tropical Cyclone Programme, Report No. TCP-38, WMO/TD-No. 693, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
    • WMO, 1995. Global perspectives on tropical cyclones, Tropical Cyclone Programme, Report No. TCP-38, WMO/TD-No. 693, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
    • (1995) Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones
  • 39
    • 2942702487 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WMO, Operational plan for the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea, Tropical Cyclone Programme, Report No. TCP-21, WMO/TD-No. 84, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
    • WMO, 2001. Tropical Cyclone. Operational plan for the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea, Tropical Cyclone Programme, Report No. TCP-21, WMO/TD-No. 84, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
    • (2001) Tropical Cyclone
  • 40
    • 0001469102 scopus 로고
    • Wind-stress coefficients over sea surface from breeze to hurricane
    • Wu J. Wind-stress coefficients over sea surface from breeze to hurricane J. Geophys. Res. 87 C12 1982 9704-9706
    • (1982) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.87 , Issue.C12 , pp. 9704-9706
    • Wu, J.1
  • 41
    • 0030295174 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hurricane generated waves as observed by satellite
    • Young I.R. Burchell G.P. Hurricane generated waves as observed by satellite Ocean Eng. 23 8 1996 761-776
    • (1996) Ocean Eng. , vol.23 , Issue.8 , pp. 761-776
    • Young, I.R.1    Burchell, G.P.2
  • 42
    • 2942735682 scopus 로고
    • James Cook University of North Queensland, Townville, Dept. of Civil and Systems Eng., Research Bulletin No. CS20
    • Young, I.R., Sobey, R.J., 1981. The numerical prediction of tropical cyclone wind-waves. James Cook University of North Queensland, Townville, Dept. of Civil and Systems Eng., Research Bulletin No. CS20.
    • (1981) The Numerical Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Wind-waves
    • Young, I.R.1    Sobey, R.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.