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Lincoln and the patronage
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Ronald P. Formisano, 'Deferential-Participant Politics: The Early Republic's Political Culture, 1789-1840', American Political Science Review, 68 (1974), 473-87;
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Formisano, R.P.1
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Federalists and republicans: Parties, yes - System, no
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Paul Kleppner, ed. Westport, Conn.: Greenwood Press
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Ronald P. Formisano, 'Federalists and Republicans: Parties, Yes - System, No', in Paul Kleppner, ed., The Evolution of American Party Systems (Westport, Conn.: Greenwood Press, 1981), pp. 33-76;
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is the title of the concluding chapter in Silbey
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While my choice of 1897 to begin the Progressive Era might seem unconventional, it is not unreasonable. First, the origins of Western Progressivism are directly rooted in the Populist agitation of the 1880s and 1890s, a political movement that climaxed in the dramatic presidential election of 1896. Second, recent scholarship on William McKinley has recast him in many ways as 'the first modern president', exercising effective leadership over Congress, anticipating Theodore Roosevelt and Woodrow Wilson in their use of the press and public opinion, and showing himself to be more reform minded that previously scholarship had allowed. (It was, after all, the great Progressive reformer Robert M. La Follette, himself a 'devoted admirer' of McKinley, who remarked that the president 'represented "the newer view," and "on the great questions arising was generally on the side of the public against the private interests."') On William McKinley's presidency, see Margaret Leech, In the Days of McKinley (New York: Harper, 1959);
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note
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The Appendix provides a fuller discussion of the construction of my dependent variable.
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Washington, D.C.: CQ Press Inc.
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Principal data sources used in the construction of my independent variables are Guide to U.S. Elections (Washington, D.C.: CQ Press Inc., 1975);
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Taking time seriously: Time-series-cross-section analysis with a binary dependent variable
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Walter Dean Burnham, 'The Appearance and Disappearance of the American Voter', in Burnham, ed., The Current Crisis in American Politics (New York: Oxford University Press, 1982), pp. 121-65.
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Edward L. Mayo, 'Republicanism, Antipartyism, and Jacksonian Party Politics: A View from the Nation's Capitol', American Quarterly, 31 (1979), 3-20;
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Nathaniel Beck, 'Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models', American Journal of Political Science, 27 (1983), 557-600, p. 568;
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Put simply, estimates for each coefficient are based on sub-periods, for example periods 1 through 8, 2 through 9, 3 through 10, etc. For other applications of moving regression, see Larry W. Isaacs and Larry J. Griffin, 'Ahistoricism in Time-Series Analyses of Historical Process: Critique, Redirection, and Illustrations from U.S. Labor History', American Sociological Review, 54 (1989), 873-900;
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and John T. Woolley, 'Partisan Manipulation of the Economy: Another Look at Monetary Policy with Moving Regression', Journal of Politics, 50 (1988), 335-60.
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The seminal article is R. L. Brown, J. Durbin and J. M. Evans, 'Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships over Time', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B), 37 (1975), 149-63.
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Brown, R.L.1
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Evans, J.M.3
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99
-
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29144445493
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note
-
I have also run the analysis using subsets of three and five administrations with no substantive change in my conclusions.
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100
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29144533645
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note
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John Bell ran as the presidential candidate of the Constitutional Union party.
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-
-
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101
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0004140613
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New York: Simon & Schuster
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David Herbert Donald, Lincoln (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1995).
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Donald, D.H.1
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102
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29144451663
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note
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Those three states were Mississippi, Texas and Virginia.
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