메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 191, Issue 2, 2006, Pages 304-314

Causasilty among wildfire, ENSO, timber harvest, and urban sprawl: The vector autoregression approach

Author keywords

Granger causality; Impulse response function; Vector autoregression; Wildfire activity; Wildfire mitigation

Indexed keywords

HARVESTING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

EID: 28544448714     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.05.013     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (10)

References (51)
  • 1
    • 0013275630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land use dynamics involving forestland: Trends in the U.S. South
    • K. Abt R. Abt North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA
    • R. Alig, M. Dicks, and R. Moulton Land use dynamics involving forestland: Trends in the U.S. South K. Abt R. Abt Proceedings of the 1998 Southern Forest Economics Workshop North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA 1999 9 15
    • (1999) Proceedings of the 1998 Southern Forest Economics Workshop , pp. 9-15
    • Alig, R.1    Dicks, M.2    Moulton, R.3
  • 3
    • 2242437706 scopus 로고
    • Southern oscillation anomalies and their relation to Florida wildfires
    • J. Brenner Southern oscillation anomalies and their relation to Florida wildfires Fire Manage. Notes 52 1 1991 28 32
    • (1991) Fire Manage. Notes , vol.52 , Issue.1 , pp. 28-32
    • Brenner, J.1
  • 4
    • 0034065327 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Urban sprawl: Diagnosis and remedies
    • J. Brueckner Urban sprawl: diagnosis and remedies Int. Reg. Sci. Rev. 23 2 2000 160 171
    • (2000) Int. Reg. Sci. Rev. , vol.23 , Issue.2 , pp. 160-171
    • Brueckner, J.1
  • 7
    • 0036622761 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fragmentation and sprawl: Evidence from interregional analysis
    • J. Carruthers, and G. Ulfarsson Fragmentation and sprawl: evidence from interregional analysis Growth Change 33 2002 312 340
    • (2002) Growth Change , vol.33 , pp. 312-340
    • Carruthers, J.1    Ulfarsson, G.2
  • 8
    • 0010725548 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Center for Water and Wildland Resources University of California Davis, CA, USA
    • Center for Water and Wildland Resources Summary of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project Report 1996 University of California Davis, CA, USA
    • (1996) Summary of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Project Report
  • 9
    • 0036013689 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fire-climate relationships and long-lead seasonal wildfire prediction for Hawaii
    • P. Chu, W. Yan, and F. Fujioka Fire-climate relationships and long-lead seasonal wildfire prediction for Hawaii Int. J. Wildland Fire 11 1 2002 25 31
    • (2002) Int. J. Wildland Fire , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 25-31
    • Chu, P.1    Yan, W.2    Fujioka, F.3
  • 10
    • 85036258669 scopus 로고
    • Distribution of the estimates for autoregressive time series with a unit root
    • D. Dickey, and W. Fuller Distribution of the estimates for autoregressive time series with a unit root J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 74 1979 427 431
    • (1979) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.74 , pp. 427-431
    • Dickey, D.1    Fuller, W.2
  • 11
    • 0000472488 scopus 로고
    • Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root
    • D. Dickey, and W. Fuller Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root Econometrica 49 1981 1057 1072
    • (1981) Econometrica , vol.49 , pp. 1057-1072
    • Dickey, D.1    Fuller, W.2
  • 14
    • 0022183752 scopus 로고
    • Some factors influencing wildfire occurrence and measurement of fire prevention effectiveness
    • L. Donoghue, and W. Main Some factors influencing wildfire occurrence and measurement of fire prevention effectiveness J. Environ. Manage. 20 2 1985 87 96
    • (1985) J. Environ. Manage. , vol.20 , Issue.2 , pp. 87-96
    • Donoghue, L.1    Main, W.2
  • 17
    • 28544435840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • FAOSTAT
    • Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2003. FAOSTAT, http://apps.fao.org/page/collections?subset=forestry.
    • (2003)
  • 18
    • 0000351727 scopus 로고
    • Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods
    • C. Granger Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods Econometrica 37 1969 424 438
    • (1969) Econometrica , vol.37 , pp. 424-438
    • Granger, C.1
  • 19
    • 0003410290 scopus 로고
    • Princeton University Press Princeton, NJ, USA
    • J. Hamilton Time Series Analysis 1994 Princeton University Press Princeton, NJ, USA
    • (1994) Time Series Analysis
    • Hamilton, J.1
  • 20
    • 28544445417 scopus 로고
    • Local Planning Considerations for the Wildland-structural Intermix in the Year 2000
    • PSW-101, Albany, CA, USA.
    • Irwin, R., 1987. Local Planning Considerations for the Wildland-structural Intermix in the Year 2000. USDA Forest Service Genetic Technical Report, PSW-101, Albany, CA, USA.
    • (1987) USDA Forest Service Genetic Technical Report
    • Irwin, R.1
  • 21
    • 0033546213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reexamining fire suppression impacts on brushland fire regimes
    • J. Keeley, C. Fotheringham, and M. Morais Reexamining fire suppression impacts on brushland fire regimes Science 284 5421 1999 1829 1832
    • (1999) Science , vol.284 , Issue.5421 , pp. 1829-1832
    • Keeley, J.1    Fotheringham, C.2    Morais, M.3
  • 22
    • 0034973533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inter-hemispheric synchrony of forest fires and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
    • T. Kitzberger, T.W. Swetnam, and T.T. Veblen Inter-hemispheric synchrony of forest fires and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 10 3 2001 315 326
    • (2001) Global Ecol. Biogeogr. , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 315-326
    • Kitzberger, T.1    Swetnam, T.W.2    Veblen, T.T.3
  • 23
    • 0002002429 scopus 로고
    • The optimal rotation of a flammable forest stand
    • D. Martell The optimal rotation of a flammable forest stand Can. J. Forest Res. 10 1 1980 30 34
    • (1980) Can. J. Forest Res. , vol.10 , Issue.1 , pp. 30-34
    • Martell, D.1
  • 24
    • 28544447695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fire
    • Human Influences on Forest Ecosystems: The Southern Wildland-Urban Interface Assessment. SRS-55. Asheville, NC, USA
    • Monroe, M., 2003. Fire. In: Human Influences on Forest Ecosystems: The Southern Wildland-Urban Interface Assessment. USDA Forest Service Genetic Technical Report, SRS-55. Asheville, NC, USA, pp. 33-150.
    • (2003) USDA Forest Service Genetic Technical Report , pp. 33-150
    • Monroe, M.1
  • 25
    • 4043173783 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Interagency Fire Center, 2003. Wildland Fires Statistics, http://www.nifc.gov/stats/wildlandfirestats.html.
    • (2003) Wildland Fires Statistics
  • 26
    • 78449260985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2003. Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI), http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/∼kew/MEI/mei.html.
    • (2003) Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI)
  • 27
    • 0035136295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GIS analysis of spatial and temporal patterns of human-caused wildfires in the temperate rain forest of Vancouver Island
    • K. Pew, and C. Larsen GIS analysis of spatial and temporal patterns of human-caused wildfires in the temperate rain forest of Vancouver Island Can. Forest Ecol. Manage. 140 2001 1 18
    • (2001) Can. Forest Ecol. Manage. , vol.140 , pp. 1-18
    • Pew, K.1    Larsen, C.2
  • 28
    • 0031410273 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fire policy at the wildland-urban interface: A local responsibility
    • S. Plevel Fire policy at the wildland-urban interface: a local responsibility J. Forestry 95 10 1997 12 17
    • (1997) J. Forestry , vol.95 , Issue.10 , pp. 12-17
    • Plevel, S.1
  • 29
    • 0036845152 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding broadscale wildfire risks in a human-dominated landscape
    • J. Prestemon, J. Pye, D. Butry, T. Holmes, and D. Mercer Understanding broadscale wildfire risks in a human-dominated landscape Forest Sci. 48 4 2002 685 693
    • (2002) Forest Sci. , vol.48 , Issue.4 , pp. 685-693
    • Prestemon, J.1    Pye, J.2    Butry, D.3    Holmes, T.4    Mercer, D.5
  • 30
    • 0021442512 scopus 로고
    • The effect of the risk of fire on the optimal rotation of a forest
    • W. Reed The effect of the risk of fire on the optimal rotation of a forest J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 11 3 1984 180 190
    • (1984) J. Environ. Econ. Manage. , vol.11 , Issue.3 , pp. 180-190
    • Reed, W.1
  • 31
    • 0025656801 scopus 로고
    • Alternate expressions for the economic theory of forest fire management
    • D. Rideout, and P. Omi Alternate expressions for the economic theory of forest fire management Forest Sci. 36 3 1990 614 624
    • (1990) Forest Sci. , vol.36 , Issue.3 , pp. 614-624
    • Rideout, D.1    Omi, P.2
  • 32
    • 0022831511 scopus 로고
    • North American precipitation and temperature patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
    • C. Ropelewski, and M. Halpert North American precipitation and temperature patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Mon. Weather Rev. 114 12 1986 2352 2362
    • (1986) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.114 , Issue.12 , pp. 2352-2362
    • Ropelewski, C.1    Halpert, M.2
  • 34
    • 0007707201 scopus 로고
    • Predicting changes in chaparral flammability
    • R. Rothermel, and C. Philpot Predicting changes in chaparral flammability J. Forestry 71 1973 640 643
    • (1973) J. Forestry , vol.71 , pp. 640-643
    • Rothermel, R.1    Philpot, C.2
  • 36
    • 0003107401 scopus 로고
    • Relations between El Niño/Southern oscillation anomalies and wildland fire activity in the United States
    • A. Simard, D. Haines, and W. Main Relations between El Niño/Southern oscillation anomalies and wildland fire activity in the United States Agric. Forestry Meteorol. 36 2 1985 93 104
    • (1985) Agric. Forestry Meteorol. , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 93-104
    • Simard, A.1    Haines, D.2    Main, W.3
  • 37
    • 0001462080 scopus 로고
    • Money, income, and causality
    • C. Sims Money, income, and causality Am. Econ. Rev. 62 1972 540 552
    • (1972) Am. Econ. Rev. , vol.62 , pp. 540-552
    • Sims, C.1
  • 38
    • 0000997472 scopus 로고
    • Macroeconomics and reality
    • C. Sims Macroeconomics and reality Econometrica 48 1980 1 49
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 1-49
    • Sims, C.1
  • 39
    • 0025691799 scopus 로고
    • Fire-southern oscillation relations in the southern United States
    • T. Swetnam, and J. Betancourt Fire-southern oscillation relations in the southern United States Science 249 4972 1990 1017 1020
    • (1990) Science , vol.249 , Issue.4972 , pp. 1017-1020
    • Swetnam, T.1    Betancourt, J.2
  • 40
    • 0035389483 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal and spatial dynamics of coarse woody debris in harvested and unharvested lodgepole pine forests
    • D. Tinker, and D. Knight Temporal and spatial dynamics of coarse woody debris in harvested and unharvested lodgepole pine forests Ecol. Model. 141 2001 125 149
    • (2001) Ecol. Model. , vol.141 , pp. 125-149
    • Tinker, D.1    Knight, D.2
  • 41
    • 0003399375 scopus 로고
    • 1990 CPH-2-1. Washington, DC, USA.
    • US Census Bureau, 1993. 1990 Census of Population and Housing, 1990 CPH-2-1. Washington, DC, USA.
    • (1993) 1990 Census of Population and Housing
  • 43
    • 28544436433 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Washington, DC
    • US Census Bureau, 2003. Census 2000 Data for the United States. Washington, DC, http://www.census.gov/census2000/states/us.html.
    • (2003) Census 2000 Data for the United States
  • 44
    • 0003613615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Washington, DC, USA.
    • US Department of Housing and Urban Development, 1999. The State of the Cities, 1999. Washington, DC, USA.
    • (1999) The State of the Cities, 1999
  • 45
    • 0043255356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Major Uses of Land in the United States, 1997
    • Washington, DC, USA
    • Vesterby, M., Krupa, K., 2001. Major Uses of Land in the United States, 1997. USDA ERS Statistical Bulletin No. 973. Washington, DC, USA, http://www.ers.usda.gov/data/majorlanduses/spreadsheets/urban.xls.
    • (2001) USDA ERS Statistical Bulletin No. 973
    • Vesterby, M.1    Krupa, K.2
  • 46
    • 0033613118 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • El Niño and the related phenomenon Southern Oscillation (ENSO): The largest signal in interannual climate variation
    • H. Wang, R. Zhang, J. Cole, and F. Chavez El Niño and the related phenomenon Southern Oscillation (ENSO): The largest signal in interannual climate variation Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 96 1999 11071 11072
    • (1999) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. , vol.96 , pp. 11071-11072
    • Wang, H.1    Zhang, R.2    Cole, J.3    Chavez, F.4
  • 47
    • 0037840590 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Disturbances and sustainability of long-term site productivity in lodgepole pine forests in the central interior of British Columbia - An ecosystem modeling approach
    • X. Wei, J.P. Kimmins, and G. Zhou Disturbances and sustainability of long-term site productivity in lodgepole pine forests in the central interior of British Columbia - an ecosystem modeling approach Ecol. Model. 164 2003 239 256
    • (2003) Ecol. Model. , vol.164 , pp. 239-256
    • Wei, X.1    Kimmins, J.P.2    Zhou, G.3
  • 48
    • 0037421185 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional synchroneity in fire regimes of western Oregon and Washington
    • P. Weisberg, and F. Swanson Regional synchroneity in fire regimes of western Oregon and Washington Forest Ecol. Manage. 172 1 2003 17 28
    • (2003) Forest Ecol. Manage. , vol.172 , Issue.1 , pp. 17-28
    • Weisberg, P.1    Swanson, F.2
  • 49
  • 50
    • 0030239170 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of catastrophic risk on forest investment decisions
    • R. Yin, and D. Newman The effect of catastrophic risk on forest investment decisions J. Environ. Econ. Manag. 31 2 1996 186 197
    • (1996) J. Environ. Econ. Manag. , vol.31 , Issue.2 , pp. 186-197
    • Yin, R.1    Newman, D.2
  • 51
    • 0037321086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling forest fire probabilities in the south central United States using FIA data
    • Y. Zhai, I. Munn, and D. Evans Modeling forest fire probabilities in the south central United States using FIA data South J. Appl. Forestry 27 1 2003 11 17
    • (2003) South J. Appl. Forestry , vol.27 , Issue.1 , pp. 11-17
    • Zhai, Y.1    Munn, I.2    Evans, D.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.