Predicting the impact of new health technologies on average length of stay: Development of a prediction framework

International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care

Volumn 21, Issue 4, 2005, Pages 487-491

  Simpson, Sue ^a   Packer, Claire ^a   Stevens, Andrew ^a   Raftery, James ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Forecasting; Health care technology; Length of stay

Indexed keywords

CLINICAL PRACTICE; HEALTH CARE TECHNOLOGY; HEALTH MANAGEMENT INFORMATION CONSORTIUM DATABASES; LENGTH OF STAY;

BIOTECHNOLOGY; DATABASE SYSTEMS; HOSPITALS; INFORMATION MANAGEMENT; PATIENT TREATMENT; TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

HEALTH CARE;

ARTICLE; CASE MIX; CLINICAL PRACTICE; DATA BASE; DIAGNOSTIC PROCEDURE; HEALTH CARE; HEALTH CARE MANAGEMENT; HOSPITAL PATIENT; HUMAN; LENGTH OF STAY; MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY; PREDICTION; TECHNOLOGY;

BIOMEDICAL TECHNOLOGY; ENGLAND; FORECASTING; HUMANS; LENGTH OF STAY;

EID: 27844529564     PISSN: 02664623     EISSN: 14716348     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0266462305050671     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Health Management Information Consortium database. Available at: www.hsmc.bham.ac.uk/library/. Accessed December 24, 2004.
2. Aranki SF, Shaw DP, Adams DH, et al. Predictors of atrial fibrillation after coronary artery surgery. Current trends and impact on hospital resources. Circulation. 1996;94:390-397.
3. Bates DW, Spell N, Cullen DJ, et al. The costs of adverse drug events in hospitalized patients. JAMA. 1997;277:307-311.
4. Bloom BS, de Pouvourville N, Libert S, Fendrick AM. Surgeon predictions on growth of minimal invasive therapy: The difficulty of estimating technologic diffusion. Health Policy. 2000;54:201-207.
5. Chrischilles E, Delgado DJ, Stolshek BS, et al. Impact of age and colony-stimulating factor use on hospital length of stay for febrile neutropenia in CHOP-treated non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Cancer Control. 2002;9:203-211.
6. Classen DC, Pestotnik SL, Evans RS, Lloyd JF, Burke JP. Adverse drug events in hospitalized patients. Excess length of stay, extra costs, and attributable mortality. JAMA. 1997;277:301-306.
7. Combier E, Levacher S, Letoumelin P, et al. Cost-effectiveness analysis of the terlipressin-glycerin trinitrate combination in the pre-hospital management of acute gastro-intestinal haemorrhage in cirrhotic patients. Intensive Care Med. 1999;25:364-370.
8. Creed F, Tomenson P, Anthony P, Tramner M. Predicting length of stay in psychiatry. Psychol Med. 1997;27:961-966.
9. Department of Health. Hospital episode statistics. Available at: www.dh.gov.uk/publicationsandstatistics/statistics/hospital-episodestatistics/ fs/en. Accessed December 24, 2004.
10. Fleszler F, Friedenberg F, Krevsky B, Friedel D, Braitman LE. Abdominal computed tomography prolongs length of stay and is frequently unnecessary in the evaluation of acute pancreatitis. Am J Med Sci. 2003;325:251-255.
11. Foster C, Murphy M, Nicholas JJ, Pignone M, Bazian Ltd. Cardiovascular disorders: Primary prevention. In: Clinical evidence, vol 11. London: BMJ Publishing Group; 2004:163-196.
12. Gelijns A, Rosenberg N. The dynamics of technological change in medicine. Health Aff. 1994;13:28.
13. Grady KL, Haller KB, Grusk BB, Corliss JW. Predictors of hospital length of stay after heart transplantation. J Heart Transplant. 1990;9:92-96.
14. Lee-Lewandrowski E, Corboy D, Lewandrowski K, et al. Implementation of a point-of-care satellite laboratory in the emergency department of an academic medical center: Impact on test turnaround time and patient emergency department length of stay. Arch Pathol Lab Med. 2003;127:456-460.
15. Lichtenberg FR. Do (more and better) drugs keep people out of hospitals? Health Econ. 1996;86:384-388.
16. Lindqvist R, Moller TR, Stenbeck M, Diderichsen F. Do changes in surgical procedures for breast cancer have consequences for hospital mean length of stay? A study of women operated on for breast cancer in Sweden, 1980-95. Int J Technol Assess Health Care. 2002;18:566-575.
17. Lukish JR, Eichelberger MR, Newman KD, et al. The use of a bioactive skin substitute decreases length of stay for pediatric burn patients. J Pediatr Surg. 2001;36:1118-1121.
18. Milligan M. Curtain down on period drama. Health Serv J. 2003;113:27.
19. Mohr P, Mueller C, Neumann P, et al. The impact of medical technology on future health care costs. Maryland: Project Hope Center for Health Affairs: 2001.
20. Morgan M, Beech R. Variations in length of stay and rates of day case surgery: Implications for the efficiency of surgical management. J Epidemiol Community Health. 1990:44:90-105.
21. National Institute for Clinical Excellence. Interventional procedure overview - minimally invasive two-incision surgery for total hip replacement. Available at: www.nice.org.uk/pdf/ip/240overview.pdf. Accessed September 20, 2004.
22. O'Connor H, Broadbent JAM, Magos AL, McPherson K. Medical Research Council randomised trial of endometrial resection versus hysterectomy in management of menorrhagia. Lancet. 1997;349:897-901.
23. Roberts R, Zalenski RJ, Mensah EK, Rydman RJ. Costs of an emergency department-based accelerated diagnostic protocol vs hospitalization in patients with chest pain: A randomized controlled trial. JAMA. 1997;278:1670-1676.
24. Rowsell M, Bello M, Hemingway DM. Circumferential mucosectomy (stapled haemorrhoidectomy) versus conventional haemorrhoidectomy: Randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2000;355:779-781.
25. Sloan FA, Valvona J. Why has hospital length of stay declined? An evaluation of alternative theories. Soc Sci Med. 1986;22:63-73.
26. Stempel DA, Yancey SW. Addition of salmeterol decreases hospitalization, length of stay and does not add to direct costs of asthma care. J Allergy Clin Immunol. 1999;103:860.
27. Stoskopf C, Horn SD. Predicting length of stay for patients with psychosis. Health Serv Res. 1992;26:743-766.
28. Willke RJ, Glick HA, Li JZ, Rittenhouse BE. Effects of linezolid on hospital length of stay compared with vancomycin in treatment of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus infections. An application of multivariate survival analysis. Int J Technol Assess Health Care. 2002;18:540-554.
29. Xiao J, Douglas D, Lee AH, Vemuri SR. A Delphi evaluation of the factors influencing length of stay in Australian hospitals. Int J Health Plann Manage. 1997;12:207-218.