Modelling the risk of windthrow for better forestry decisions

Management Information Systems

Volumn , Issue , 2000, Pages 73-82

  Blennow, Kristina ^a   Sallnäs, Ola ^a  

^a SWEDISH UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES   (Sweden)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; FORESTRY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SPEED CONTROL; WIND;

CLIMATIC CONDITIONS; FORESTRY PLANNING; WIND DAMAGE; WINDTHROW;

DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS;

EID: 2642566882     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (21)

1. Valinger, E. & Fridman, J. Modelling probability of snow and wind damage in Scots pine stands using tree characteristics. Forest Ecology and Management, 97, pp. 215-222, 1997.
2. Swedish Board of Forestry. Distributed fax message, December 8, 1999. (In Swedish.)
3. SWECLIM. Regional climate simulations for the Nordic region - first results from SWECLIM. Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden, 1998.
4. Blennow, K., Rummukainen, M. & Sallnäs, O. Modelling the risk of windthrow in forestry under changing climatic conditions. Proceedings of the workshop ECLAT-2, "Climate scenarios for agricultural, ecosystem and biological impact", Potsdam, Germany, October 13-15, 1999. In press.
5. Quine, C., Coutts, M., Gardiner, B. & Pyatt, G. Forests and wind: Management to minimize damage. Bulletin 114. HMSO, London, pp. 27, 1995.
6. Anon. General declaration and resolution adopted. The third ministerial conference on the protection of forests in Europe. Ministry of Agriculture, Rural development and Fisheries of Portugal, Lisbon. Portugal, 1998.
7. Lohmander, P. & Helles, F. Windthrow probability as a function of stand characteristics and shelter. Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research, 2, pp. 227-238, 1987.
8. Fridman, J. & Valinger, E. Modelling probability of snow and wind damage using tree, stand, and site characteristics from Pinus sylvestris sample plots. Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research, 13, pp. 348-356, 1998.
9. Jellesmark Thorsen, B. & Helles, F. Optimal stand management with endogenous risk of sudden destruction. Forest Ecology and Management, 108, pp. 287-299, 1998.
10. Peltola, H., Kellomäki, S., Väisänen, H. & Ikonen, V. -P. A mechanistic model for assessing the risk of wind and snow damage to single trees and stands of Scots pine, Norway spruce, and birch. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 29, pp. 647-661, 1999.
11. Gardiner, B. A., Peltola, H., & Kellomäki, S. The development and testing of two models to predict the critical wind speeds required to damage coniferous trees. Submitted to Ecological Modelling.
12. Gärdenfors, P., & Sahlin, N. -E. Unreliable probabilities, risk taking, and decision making. Synthese, 53, pp. 361-386, 1982.
13. Gärdenfors, P. Dynamic models as tools for forecasting and planning: a presentation and some methodological aspects. Theory and Decision, 14, pp. 237-273, 1982.
14. Bartell, S. M. Ecological/environmental risk assessment. Principles and practices. Risk Assessment and Management Handbook, eds. R. V. Kolluru, S. M. Bartell, R. M. Pitblado & R. S. Stricoff, McGraw-Hill, Inc., New York, USA, pp. 3-59, 1996.
15. Granö, J., G. Reine Geographie. (In German..), 1929.
16. Gardiner, B. A., Stacey, G. R., Belcher, R. E. & Wood, C. J. Field and wind tunnel assessments of the implications of respacing and thinning for tree stability. Forestry, 70, pp. 233-252, 1997.
17. Mayhead, G. J. Some drag coefficients for British forest trees derived from wind tunnel studies. Agricultural Meteorology, 12, pp.123-130, 1973.
18. Raupach, M. R. Drag and drag partition on rough surfaces. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 60, pp. 375-395, 1992.
19. Raupach, M. R. Simplified expressions for vegetation roughness length and zero-plane displacement as functions of canopy height and area index. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 71, pp. 211-216, 1994.
20. Mortensen, N. G., Landberg, L., Troen, I. & Petersen, E. L. Wind Atlas Analysis and Application Program (WASP). Risø National Laboratory, Roskilde, Denmark, 1998.
21. Carlsson, M. (ed.), 2000. Sustainable forestry at the landscape level - case study Asa. Report from the MISTRA programme Sustainable Forestry in Southern Sweden (SUFOR). c/o Programme secretary Kurt Olsson, Department of Plant Ecology, Lund University, Sweden.