Differentiating future commitments on the basis of countries' relative historical responsibility for climate change: Uncertainties in the 'Brazilian Proposal' in the context of a policy implementation

Climatic Change

Volumn 71, Issue 3, 2005, Pages 277-301

  Den Elzen, Michel G J ^a   Schaeffer, Michiel ^a   Lucas, Paul L ^a  

^a NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC HEALTH AND THE ENVIRONMENT   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

GREENHOUSE EFFECT; PUBLIC POLICY;

CLIMATE REGIME; CLIMATE TARGETS; EMISSION REDUCTION;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

CLIMATE CHANGE; EMISSION CONTROL; GREENHOUSE GAS; KYOTO PROTOCOL; POLICY IMPLEMENTATION;

BRAZIL; SOUTH AMERICA; WESTERN HEMISPHERE; WORLD;

EID: 24744443535     PISSN: 01650009     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-005-5382-9     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Andranova, N. and Schlesinger, M. E.: 2004, 'Importance of sulfate aerosol in evaluating the relative contributions of regional emissions to the historical global temperature change', Mitigation Adaptation Strat. Global Change (forthcoming).
2. Berk, M. M. and den Elzen, M. G. J.: 2001, 'Options for differentiation of future commitments in climate policy: How to realise timely participation to meet stringent climate goals?' Clim. Policy 1(4), 465-480.
3. Blanchard, O.: 2002, 'Scenarios for Differentiating Commitments', in Perkaus, J. F. (ed.), Options for Protecting the Climate. WRI, Washington.
4. Cubasch, U., Meehl, G. A., Boer, G. J., Stouffer, R. J., Dix, M., Noda, A., Senior, C. A., Raper, S., and Yap, K. S.: 2001. 'Projections of future climate change', in Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K. and Johnson, C. A. (eds.), Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., p. 892.
5. den Elzen, M. G. J.: 2002, 'Exploring climate regimes for differentiation of future commitments to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations', Int. Assess. 3(4), 343-359.
6. den Elzen, M. G. J., Berk, M. M., Schaeffer, M., Olivier, O. J., Hendriks, C., and Metz, B.: 1999, 'The Brazilian proposal and other options for international burden sharing: An evaluation of methodological and policy aspects using the FAIR model', RIVM-report 728001011, Bilthoven, The Netherlands, (www.rivm.nl/ieweb).
7. den Elzen, M. G. J. and Lucas, P.: 2003, 'FAIR 2.0: A decision-support model to assess the environmental and economic consequences of future climate regimes', RIVM-report 550015001, Bilthoven, The Netherlands. www.rivm.nl/fair.
8. den Elzen, M. G. J. and Schaeffer, M.: 2002, 'Responsibility for past and future global warming: Uncertainties in attributing anthropogenic climate change', Clim. Change 54, 29-73.
9. den Elzen, M. G. J., Schaeffer, M., and Eickhout, B.: 2002, 'Responsibility for past and future global warming: Time horizon and non-linearities in the climate system', RIVM-report 728001022, Bilthoven.
10. Eickhout, B., den Elzen, M. G. J., and van Vuuren, D. P.: 2003, 'Multi-gas emission profiles for stabilising greenhouse gas concentrations', RIVM-report 728001026, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
11. Enting, I. G.: 1998, 'Attribution of greenhouse gas emission, concentrations and radiative forcing', CSIRO Atmospheric Research Technical Paper No. 38, Aspendale Victoria, Australia.
12. Enting, I. G. and Law, R. M.: 2002, 'Characterising historical responsbility for the greenhouse effect', CSIRO Atmospheric Research Technical Paper No. 41, CSIRO, Aspendale Victoria, Australia.
13. Filho, M. L. G. and Miguez, M.: 1998, 'Time dependent relationship between emissions of greenhouse gases and climate change', Ministry of Science and Technology, Brasilia, Brazil.
14. Höhne, N. and Blok, K.: 2004, 'Calculating historical contributions to climate change discussing the Brazilian proposal', Clim. Change (forthcoming).
15. 2 Greenhouse Gases, Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on (NCGG-3) Maastricht, Milpress, Rotterdam.
16. IMAGE-team: 2001, 'The IMAGE 2.2 implementation of the SRES scenarios: A comprehensive analysis of emissions', Climate Change and Impacts in the 21st Century, CD-ROM publication 481508018, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
17. Joos, F., Bruno, M., Fink, R., Siegenthaler, U., Stocker, T. F., Quéré, C. L., and Sarmiento, J. L.: 1996, 'An efficient and accurate representation of complex oceanic and biospheric models of anthropogenic carbon uptake', Tellus 48B, 397-417.
18. 2', Science 284, 464-467.
19. Kim, Y.-G. and Baumert, K. A.: 2002, 'Reducing uncertainty through dual-intensity targets', in Baumert, K. A., Blanchard, O., Llose, S., and Perkaus, J. F. (eds.), Building on the Kyoto Protocol: Options for Protecting the Climate. World Resource Institue, Washington DC.
20. Nakicenovic, N. et al.: 2000, 'Special Report on Emissions Scenarios', IPCC Special Reports, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
21. Prentice, I. C., Farquhar, G., Fasham, M. J. R., Goulden, M. L., Heimann, M., Jaramillo, V. J., Kheshgi, H. S., Le Quere, C., Scholes, R. J., and Wallace, D. W. R.: 2001, 'The carbon cycle and atmospheric carbon dioxide', in Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K. and Johnson, C. A. (eds.), Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., pp. 892.
22. Ramaswamy, V., Boucher, O., Haigh, J., Hauglusataine, D., Haywood, J., Myhre, G., Nakajima, T., Shi, G. Y., and Solomon, S.: 2001, 'Atmospheric chemistry and greenhouse gases', in Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K. and Johnson, C. A. (eds.), IPCC Third Assessment - Climate Change 2001, The Scientific Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
23. Ringius, L., Torvanger, A., and Underdal, A.: 2002, 'Burden sharing in international climate policy: Principles of fairness in theory and practice', Int. Environ. Agreements Politics, Law Econ. 2, 1-22.
24. Rosa, L. P., Muylaert, M. S., and Campos, C. P. D.: 2003, 'The Brazilian Proposal and its scientific and methodological aspects International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD)', (www.iisd.org).
25. Rovere, E. L., Ribeiro, S. K., and Baumert, K. A.: 2002, 'The Brazilian Proposal on relative responsibility for global warming' in: Baumert, K. A., Blanchard, O., Llose, S., and Perkaus, J. F. (eds.), Options for protecting the climate. World Resource Institute (WRI), Washington.
26. Trudinger, C. M. and Enting, I. G.: 2004, 'Comparison of formalisms for attributing responsibility for climate change: Non-linearities in the Brazilian Proposal', Clim. Change (forthcoming).
27. UNFCCC: 1997, 'Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change', FCCC/CP/L7/Add.1, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Bonn, Germany.
28. UNFCCC: 1999, 'Report on the expert meeting on the Brazilian proposal: Scientific aspects and data availability' (http://unfccc.int/sessions/workshop/ 010528/mrep1999.pdf).
29. UNFCCC: 2001, 'Scientific and methodological aspects of the proposal by Brazil, Progress report on the review of the scientific and methodological aspects of the proposal by Brazil', FCCC/SBSTA/2001/INF.2 (http://www.unfccc. int).
30. UNFCCC: 2002a, 'Assessment of contributions to climate change, terms of reference' (http://unfccc.int/program/mis/brazil/index.html).
31. UNFCCC: 2002b, 'Methodological issues, scientific and methodological aspects of the proposal by Brazil', Draft conclusions proposed by the chair, FCCC/SBSTA/2002/L.24 (http://www.unfccc.int).
32. UNFCCC: 2002c, 'Methodologial issues, scientific and methodological assessment of contributions to climate change', Report of the expert meeting, Note by the secretariat, FCCC/SBSTA/2002/INF.14 (http://www.unfccc.int).
33. Van Aardenne, J. A., Dentener, F. J., Olivier, J. G. J., Klein Goldewijk, C. G. M., and Lelieveld, J.: 2001, 'A 1 x 1 degree resoultion dataset of historical anthropogenic trace gas emissions for the period 1890-1990', Global Biogeochem.l Cycles 15(4), 909-928.
34. WBGU: 2003, 'Climate Protection Strategies for the 21st Century - Kyoto and Beyond', German Advisory Council on Global Change, Berlin.