메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 29, Issue 10, 2005, Pages 2633-2654

A test for rational bubbles in the NASDAQ stock index: A fractionally integrated approach

Author keywords

Fractional integration; Mean reversion; NASDAQ; Stock market bubbles

Indexed keywords


EID: 23844523472     PISSN: 03784266     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2004.10.003     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (81)

References (53)
  • 1
    • 84993911790 scopus 로고
    • Cointegration, fractional cointegration and exchange rate dynamics
    • R.T. Baillie T. Bollerslev Cointegration, fractional cointegration and exchange rate dynamics Journal of Finance 49 1994 737-745
    • (1994) Journal of Finance , vol.49 , pp. 737-745
    • Baillie, R.T.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 2
    • 0015894045 scopus 로고
    • An exponential model in the spectrum of a scalar time series
    • P. Bloomfield An exponential model in the spectrum of a scalar time series Biometrika 60 1973 217-226
    • (1973) Biometrika , vol.60 , pp. 217-226
    • Bloomfield, P.1
  • 3
    • 0038712428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Periodically collapsing bubbles in the US stock market?
    • M.T. Bohl Periodically collapsing bubbles in the US stock market? International Review of Economics and Finance 12 2003 385-397
    • (2003) International Review of Economics and Finance , vol.12 , pp. 385-397
    • Bohl, M.T.1
  • 5
    • 0000007521 scopus 로고
    • The dividend-price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors
    • J. Campbell R.J. Shiller The dividend-price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors Review of Financial Studies 1 1988 195-227
    • (1988) Review of Financial Studies , vol.1 , pp. 195-227
    • Campbell, J.1    Shiller, R.J.2
  • 9
    • 0032236399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock price effects of permanent and transitory shocks
    • B. Crowder M. Wohar Stock price effects of permanent and transitory shocks Economic Inquiry 36 1998 540-552
    • (1998) Economic Inquiry , vol.36 , pp. 540-552
    • Crowder, B.1    Wohar, M.2
  • 10
    • 21344443034 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal spectral bandwidth for long memory
    • M.A. Delgado P.M. Robinson Optimal spectral bandwidth for long memory Statistica Seneca 6 1996 97-112
    • (1996) Statistica Seneca , vol.6 , pp. 97-112
    • Delgado, M.A.1    Robinson, P.M.2
  • 11
  • 12
    • 85036258669 scopus 로고
    • Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root
    • D.A. Dickey W.A. Fuller Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root Journal of the American Statistical Association 74 1979 427-431
    • (1979) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.74 , pp. 427-431
    • Dickey, D.A.1    Fuller, W.A.2
  • 13
    • 0000289304 scopus 로고
    • On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives
    • F.S. Diebold G. Rudebusch On the power of Dickey-Fuller tests against fractional alternatives Economics Letters 35 1991 155-160
    • (1991) Economics Letters , vol.35 , pp. 155-160
    • Diebold, F.S.1    Rudebusch, G.2
  • 14
    • 0032376684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum-likelihood estimation of fractional cointegration with an application to US and Canadian bond rates
    • M. Dueker R. Startz Maximum-likelihood estimation of fractional cointegration with an application to US and Canadian bond rates Review of Economics and Statistics 80 1998 420-426
    • (1998) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.80 , pp. 420-426
    • Dueker, M.1    Startz, R.2
  • 15
    • 0000738539 scopus 로고
    • Intrinsic bubbles: The case of stock prices
    • K. Froot M. Obstfeld Intrinsic bubbles: The case of stock prices American Economic Review 81 1991 1189-1214
    • (1991) American Economic Review , vol.81 , pp. 1189-1214
    • Froot, K.1    Obstfeld, M.2
  • 17
    • 84986759400 scopus 로고
    • The estimation and application of long memory time series models
    • J. Geweke S. Porter-Hudak The estimation and application of long memory time series models Journal of Time Series Analysis 4 1983 221-238
    • (1983) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.4 , pp. 221-238
    • Geweke, J.1    Porter-Hudak, S.2
  • 18
    • 0042572218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing of fractional cointegration in macroeconomic time series
    • L.A. Gil-Alana Testing of fractional cointegration in macroeconomic time series Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 65 4 2003 517-529
    • (2003) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , vol.65 , Issue.4 , pp. 517-529
    • Gil-Alana, L.A.1
  • 19
    • 30244432554 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing of unit roots and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series
    • L.A. Gil-Alana P.M. Robinson Testing of unit roots and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series Journal of Econometrics 80 1997 241-268
    • (1997) Journal of Econometrics , vol.80 , pp. 241-268
    • Gil-Alana, L.A.1    Robinson, P.M.2
  • 20
    • 23844499332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee
    • Available from:
    • Greenspan, A., 1996. Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee. Available from: .
    • (1996)
    • Greenspan, A.1
  • 21
    • 21344476815 scopus 로고
    • On the power of unit root tests against fractional alternatives
    • U. Hassler J. Wolters On the power of unit root tests against fractional alternatives Economics Letters 45 1994 1-5
    • (1994) Economics Letters , vol.45 , pp. 1-5
    • Hassler, U.1    Wolters, J.2
  • 22
    • 0040374314 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information technology and the US economy
    • D.W. Jorgenson Information technology and the US economy American Economic Review 91 2001 1-21
    • (2001) American Economic Review , vol.91 , pp. 1-21
    • Jorgenson, D.W.1
  • 23
    • 23844525412 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rational bubbles or persistent deviations from market fundamentals?
    • in press
    • Koustas, Z., Serletis, A., 2005. Rational bubbles or persistent deviations from market fundamentals? Journal of Banking and Finance, in press
    • (2005) Journal of Banking and Finance
    • Koustas, Z.1    Serletis, A.2
  • 24
    • 0000845598 scopus 로고
    • Discrimination between monotonic trends and long-range dependence
    • H. Künsch Discrimination between monotonic trends and long-range dependence Journal of Applied Probability 23 1986 1025-1030
    • (1986) Journal of Applied Probability , vol.23 , pp. 1025-1030
    • Künsch, H.1
  • 25
    • 0000337210 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earnings and expected returns
    • O. Lamont Earnings and expected returns Journal of Finance 53 1998 1563-1587
    • (1998) Journal of Finance , vol.53 , pp. 1563-1587
    • Lamont, O.1
  • 26
    • 0008725023 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A semiparametric two-step estimator for a multivariate long memory process
    • I.N. Lobato A semiparametric two-step estimator for a multivariate long memory process Journal of Econometrics 90 1999 129-153
    • (1999) Journal of Econometrics , vol.90 , pp. 129-153
    • Lobato, I.N.1
  • 28
    • 0002690876 scopus 로고
    • Long range linearity, locally Gaussian process, H-spectra and infinite variance
    • B.B. Mandelbrot Long range linearity, locally Gaussian process, H-spectra and infinite variance International Economic Review 10 1969 82-111
    • (1969) International Economic Review , vol.10 , pp. 82-111
    • Mandelbrot, B.B.1
  • 29
    • 1542402160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock prices and the dividend discount model: Did their relation break down in the 1990s?
    • A. Nasseh J. Strauss Stock prices and the dividend discount model: Did their relation break down in the 1990s? The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 44 2003 191-207
    • (2003) The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance , vol.44 , pp. 191-207
    • Nasseh, A.1    Strauss, J.2
  • 30
    • 21844524550 scopus 로고
    • Testing for unit roots in flow data sampled at different frequencies
    • S. Ng Testing for unit roots in flow data sampled at different frequencies Economics Letters 47 1995 237-242
    • (1995) Economics Letters , vol.47 , pp. 237-242
    • Ng, S.1
  • 32
    • 0142188086 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dot com mania: The rise and the fall of internet stock prices
    • E. Ofek M. Richardson Dot com mania: The rise and the fall of internet stock prices Journal of Finance 58 2003 1113-1137
    • (2003) Journal of Finance , vol.58 , pp. 1113-1137
    • Ofek, E.1    Richardson, M.2
  • 33
    • 0002662032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The resurgence of growth in the late 1990s: Is information technology the story?
    • S.D. Oliner D.E. Sichel The resurgence of growth in the late 1990s: Is information technology the story? Journal of Economic Perspectives 14 4 2000 3-22
    • (2000) Journal of Economic Perspectives , vol.14 , Issue.4 , pp. 3-22
    • Oliner, S.D.1    Sichel, D.E.2
  • 34
    • 0000308535 scopus 로고
    • Time series regression with a unit root
    • P.C.B. Phillips Time series regression with a unit root Econometrica 55 1987 277-301
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 277-301
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1
  • 35
    • 77956888124 scopus 로고
    • Testing for a unit root in a time series regression
    • P.C.B. Phillips P. Perron Testing for a unit root in a time series regression Biometrika 75 1988 335-346
    • (1988) Biometrika , vol.75 , pp. 335-346
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1    Perron, P.2
  • 37
    • 21344487840 scopus 로고
    • Semiparametric analysis of long memory time series
    • P.M. Robinson Semiparametric analysis of long memory time series Annals of Statistics 22 1994 515-539
    • (1994) Annals of Statistics , vol.22 , pp. 515-539
    • Robinson, P.M.1
  • 38
    • 21344446855 scopus 로고
    • Gaussian semiparametric estimation of long range dependence
    • P.M. Robinson Gaussian semiparametric estimation of long range dependence Annals of Statistics 23 1995 1630-1661
    • (1995) Annals of Statistics , vol.23 , pp. 1630-1661
    • Robinson, P.M.1
  • 39
    • 0000668540 scopus 로고
    • Log-periodogram regression of time series with long range dependence
    • P.M. Robinson Log-periodogram regression of time series with long range dependence Annals of Statistics 23 1995 1048-1072
    • (1995) Annals of Statistics , vol.23 , pp. 1048-1072
    • Robinson, P.M.1
  • 40
    • 0042490810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cointegration in fractional systems with unknown integration orders
    • Preprint, LSE
    • Robinson, P.M., Hualde, J., 2002. Cointegration in fractional systems with unknown integration orders. Preprint, LSE
    • (2002)
    • Robinson, P.M.1    Hualde, J.2
  • 41
    • 0242667148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Root-N - Consistent estimation of weak fractional cointegration
    • P.M. Robinson J. Hualde Root-N - consistent estimation of weak fractional cointegration Econometrica 71 2003 1727-1766
    • (2003) Econometrica , vol.71 , pp. 1727-1766
    • Robinson, P.M.1    Hualde, J.2
  • 42
    • 0035731731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Narrow band analysis of nonstationary processes
    • P.M. Robinson D. Marinucci Narrow band analysis of nonstationary processes Annals of Statistics 29 2001 947-986
    • (2001) Annals of Statistics , vol.29 , pp. 947-986
    • Robinson, P.M.1    Marinucci, D.2
  • 43
    • 23844482736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determination of cointegrating rank in fractional systems
    • Suntory and Toyota International Centre for Economics and Related Disciplines. London School of Economics EM/01/423
    • Robinson, P.M., Yajima, Y., 2001. Determination of cointegrating rank in fractional systems. Suntory and Toyota International Centre for Economics and Related Disciplines. London School of Economics EM/01/423
    • (2001)
    • Robinson, P.M.1    Yajima, Y.2
  • 44
    • 0242429979 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determination of cointegrating rank in fractional systems
    • P.M. Robinson Y. Yajima Determination of cointegrating rank in fractional systems Journal of Econometrics 106 2002 217-241
    • (2002) Journal of Econometrics , vol.106 , pp. 217-241
    • Robinson, P.M.1    Yajima, Y.2
  • 46
    • 0004179594 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
    • R.J. Shiller Irrational Exuberance 2001 Princeton University Press Princeton, NJ
    • (2001) Irrational Exuberance
    • Shiller, R.J.1
  • 47
    • 44049120475 scopus 로고
    • Modelling long run behaviour with the fractional ARIMA model
    • F. Sowell Modelling long run behaviour with the fractional ARIMA model Journal of Monetary Economics 29 1992 277-302
    • (1992) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.29 , pp. 277-302
    • Sowell, F.1
  • 49
    • 0001436323 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential pitfalls for the purchasing-power-parity puzzle. Sampling and specification biases in mean-reversion tests of the law of one price
    • A.M. Taylor Potential pitfalls for the purchasing-power-parity puzzle. Sampling and specification biases in mean-reversion tests of the law of one price Econometrica 69 2001 473-498
    • (2001) Econometrica , vol.69 , pp. 473-498
    • Taylor, A.M.1
  • 51
    • 84983874533 scopus 로고
    • Cointegration tests of present value models with a time-varying discount factor
    • A. Timmermann Cointegration tests of present value models with a time-varying discount factor Journal of Applied Econometrics 10 1995 17-31
    • (1995) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.10 , pp. 17-31
    • Timmermann, A.1
  • 52
    • 0034373542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Non-Gaussian log-periodogram regression
    • C. Velasco Non-Gaussian log-periodogram regression Econometric Theory 16 2000 44-79
    • (2000) Econometric Theory , vol.16 , pp. 44-79
    • Velasco, C.1
  • 53
    • 0000304809 scopus 로고
    • Note on the correlation of first differences of averages in a random chain
    • H. Working Note on the correlation of first differences of averages in a random chain Econometrica 28 1960 916-918
    • (1960) Econometrica , vol.28 , pp. 916-918
    • Working, H.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.