메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 13, Issue 3, 2000, Pages 307-327

How do investors make predictions? Insights from analogical reasoning research

Author keywords

Analogical reasoning; Investor decision making; Prediction

Indexed keywords


EID: 23744457930     PISSN: 08943257     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/1099-0771(200007/09)13:3<307::AID-BDM354>3.0.CO;2-3     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (16)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 38249031180 scopus 로고
    • A comparative analysis of information search and evaluation behavior of professional and non-professional financial analysts
    • Anderson, M. J. 'A comparative analysis of information search and evaluation behavior of professional and non-professional financial analysts', Accounting Organizations and Society, 13 (1988), 431-446.
    • (1988) Accounting Organizations and Society , vol.13 , pp. 431-446
    • Anderson, M.J.1
  • 2
    • 21844482009 scopus 로고
    • Object-based representations: Transfer between cases of continuous and discrete models of change
    • Bassok, M. and Olseth, K. 'Object-based representations: transfer between cases of continuous and discrete models of change', Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 21 (1995), 1522-1538.
    • (1995) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , vol.21 , pp. 1522-1538
    • Bassok, M.1    Olseth, K.2
  • 3
    • 0028935342 scopus 로고
    • Judging a book by its cover: Interpretive effects of content on problem-solving transfer
    • Bassok, M., Wu, L. and Olseth, K. 'Judging a book by its cover: interpretive effects of content on problem-solving transfer', Memory and Cognition, 23 (1995), 354-367.
    • (1995) Memory and Cognition , vol.23 , pp. 354-367
    • Bassok, M.1    Wu, L.2    Olseth, K.3
  • 4
    • 84972027170 scopus 로고
    • Investment returns and present values
    • November/December
    • Bauman, W. S. 'Investment returns and present values', Financial Analysts Journal, November/December (1969), 75-89.
    • (1969) Financial Analysts Journal , pp. 75-89
    • Bauman, W.S.1
  • 5
    • 0011556642 scopus 로고
    • Social inference: Inductions, deductions, and analogies
    • Wyer, R. and Srull, T. (eds), Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates
    • Beike, D. and Sherman, S. 'Social inference: inductions, deductions, and analogies', in Wyer, R. and Srull, T. (eds), Handbook of Social Cognition, 2nd edn (pp. 209-285), Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1994.
    • (1994) Handbook of Social Cognition, 2nd Edn , pp. 209-285
    • Beike, D.1    Sherman, S.2
  • 6
    • 0001063076 scopus 로고
    • Financial analysts' information search in the assessment of corporate earning power
    • Biggs, S. F. 'Financial analysts' information search in the assessment of corporate earning power', Accounting, Organizations and Society, 9 (1984), 313-324.
    • (1984) Accounting, Organizations and Society , vol.9 , pp. 313-324
    • Biggs, S.F.1
  • 7
    • 0001822953 scopus 로고
    • How do financial analysts make decisions? A process model of the investment screening decision
    • Bouwman, M., Frishkoff, P. and Frishkoff, P. 'How do financial analysts make decisions? A process model of the investment screening decision', Accounting, Organizations, and Society, 12 (1987), 1-29.
    • (1987) Accounting, Organizations, and Society , vol.12 , pp. 1-29
    • Bouwman, M.1    Frishkoff, P.2    Frishkoff, P.3
  • 8
    • 0001895196 scopus 로고
    • The relevance of GAAP-based information: A case study exploring some uses and limitations
    • Bouwman, M., Frishkoff, P. and Frishkoff, P. 'The relevance of GAAP-based information: a case study exploring some uses and limitations', Accounting Horizons, 9 (1995), 22-47.
    • (1995) Accounting Horizons , vol.9 , pp. 22-47
    • Bouwman, M.1    Frishkoff, P.2    Frishkoff, P.3
  • 10
    • 85037461300 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rockerfeller and gates: Playing monopoly
    • 22 June
    • Chernow, R. 'Rockerfeller and Gates: playing Monopoly', Fortune (22 June 1998), 164-166.
    • (1998) Fortune , pp. 164-166
    • Chernow, R.1
  • 11
    • 0002560207 scopus 로고
    • Systematicity as a selection constraint in analogical mapping
    • Clement, C. and Gentner, D. 'Systematicity as a selection constraint in analogical mapping', Cognitive Science, 15 (1991), 89-132.
    • (1991) Cognitive Science , vol.15 , pp. 89-132
    • Clement, C.1    Gentner, D.2
  • 13
    • 84980134248 scopus 로고
    • Arguments in the practical reasoning underlying constructed probability responses
    • Curley, S., Browne, G., Smith, G. and Benson, P. G. 'Arguments in the practical reasoning underlying constructed probability responses', Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 8 (1995), 1-20.
    • (1995) Journal of Behavioral Decision Making , vol.8 , pp. 1-20
    • Curley, S.1    Browne, G.2    Smith, G.3    Benson, P.G.4
  • 15
    • 0001245224 scopus 로고
    • The mechanisms of analogical transfer
    • Vosniadou, S. and Ortony, A. (eds), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Gentner, D. 'The mechanisms of analogical transfer', in Vosniadou, S. and Ortony, A. (eds), Similarity and Analogical Reasoning (pp. 199, 124), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989.
    • (1989) Similarity and Analogical Reasoning , pp. 199
    • Gentner, D.1
  • 16
    • 0003081266 scopus 로고
    • Schema induction and analogical transfer
    • Gick, M. L. and Holyoak, K. J. 'Schema induction and analogical transfer', Cognitive Psychology, 15 (1983), 1-38.
    • (1983) Cognitive Psychology , vol.15 , pp. 1-38
    • Gick, M.L.1    Holyoak, K.J.2
  • 17
    • 0010425833 scopus 로고
    • Do contrasting examples facilitate schema acquisition and analogical transfer?
    • Gick, M. and Paterson, K. 'Do contrasting examples facilitate schema acquisition and analogical transfer?' Canadian Journal of Psychology, 46 (1992), 539-550.
    • (1992) Canadian Journal of Psychology , vol.46 , pp. 539-550
    • Gick, M.1    Paterson, K.2
  • 19
    • 85037479777 scopus 로고
    • Investment clubs may be mired in stagnant stocks
    • 28 July Cl.
    • Gottschalk, E. C. 'Investment clubs may be mired in stagnant stocks', Wall Street Journal, (28 July 1994), Cl.
    • (1994) Wall Street Journal
    • Gottschalk, E.C.1
  • 20
    • 0031506495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consumer learning by analogy: A model of internal knowledge transfer
    • Gregan-Paxton, J. and John, D. R. 'Consumer learning by analogy: a model of internal knowledge transfer', Journal of Consumer Research, 24 (1997), 266-284.
    • (1997) Journal of Consumer Research , vol.24 , pp. 266-284
    • Gregan-Paxton, J.1    John, D.R.2
  • 22
    • 0023374611 scopus 로고
    • Surface and structural similarity in analogical transfer
    • Holyoak, K. and Koh, K. 'Surface and structural similarity in analogical transfer', Memory and Cognition, 15 (1987), 332-340.
    • (1987) Memory and Cognition , vol.15 , pp. 332-340
    • Holyoak, K.1    Koh, K.2
  • 23
    • 0003162879 scopus 로고
    • Judgment and decision-making research in financial accounting: A review and analysis
    • Ashton, R. H. and Ashton, A. H. (eds), New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Maines, L. A. 'Judgment and decision-making research in financial accounting: a review and analysis', in Ashton, R. H. and Ashton, A. H. (eds), Judgment and Decision-Making Research in Accounting and Auditing, New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995.
    • (1995) Judgment and Decision-Making Research in Accounting and Auditing
    • Maines, L.A.1
  • 26
    • 84970302248 scopus 로고
    • A parsimonious description of individual differences in financial analyst judgment
    • Mear, R. and Firth, M. 'A parsimonious description of individual differences in financial analyst judgment', Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance, 5 (1988), 501-526.
    • (1988) Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance , vol.5 , pp. 501-526
    • Mear, R.1    Firth, M.2
  • 27
    • 0003020002 scopus 로고
    • Psychological essentialism
    • Vosniadou, S. and Ortony, A. (eds), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
    • Medin, D. and Ortony, A. 'Psychological essentialism', in Vosniadou, S. and Ortony, A. (eds), Similarity and Analogical Reasoning (pp. 179-195), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989.
    • (1989) Similarity and Analogical Reasoning , pp. 179-195
    • Medin, D.1    Ortony, A.2
  • 28
    • 0011046276 scopus 로고
    • Common stock valuation - Principles, tables, and applications
    • March/April
    • Molodovsky, N. 'Common stock valuation - principles, tables, and applications', Financial Analysts Journal, March/April (1965), 36-48.
    • (1965) Financial Analysts Journal , pp. 36-48
    • Molodovsky, N.1
  • 30
    • 0000945172 scopus 로고
    • Contingent decision behavior
    • Payne, J. 'Contingent decision behavior', Psychological Bulletin, 92 (1982), 382-402.
    • (1982) Psychological Bulletin , vol.92 , pp. 382-402
    • Payne, J.1
  • 32
    • 0000953346 scopus 로고
    • Once is enough: Critical reasoning from a single instance
    • Read, S. 'Once is enough: critical reasoning from a single instance', Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 45 (1983), 323-334.
    • (1983) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.45 , pp. 323-334
    • Read, S.1
  • 33
    • 0000292941 scopus 로고
    • Similarity and causality in the use of social analogies
    • Read, S. 'Similarity and causality in the use of social analogies', Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 23 (1984), 189-207.
    • (1984) Journal of Experimental Social Psychology , vol.23 , pp. 189-207
    • Read, S.1
  • 34
    • 0003133829 scopus 로고
    • Analogical reasoning in social judgment: The importance of causal theories
    • Read, S. J. 'Analogical reasoning in social judgment: the importance of causal theories', Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 46 (1987), 14-25.
    • (1987) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.46 , pp. 14-25
    • Read, S.J.1
  • 35
  • 36
    • 0001147815 scopus 로고
    • Pattern recognition and categorization
    • Reed, S. 'Pattern recognition and categorization', Cognitive Psychology, 3 (1972), 382-407.
    • (1972) Cognitive Psychology , vol.3 , pp. 382-407
    • Reed, S.1
  • 37
    • 12044255054 scopus 로고
    • The role of content and abstract information in analogical transfer
    • Reeves, L. and Weisberg, R. 'The role of content and abstract information in analogical transfer', Psychological Bulletin, 115 (1994), 381-400.
    • (1994) Psychological Bulletin , vol.115 , pp. 381-400
    • Reeves, L.1    Weisberg, R.2
  • 38
    • 0000975183 scopus 로고
    • This is like that: The use of earlier problems and the separation of similarity effects
    • Ross, B. 'This is like that: the use of earlier problems and the separation of similarity effects', Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 13 (1987), 629-639.
    • (1987) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , vol.13 , pp. 629-639
    • Ross, B.1
  • 40
    • 0031531736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of principle explanation and superficial similarity on analogical mapping in problem solving
    • Ross, B. and Kilbane, M. 'Effects of principle explanation and superficial similarity on analogical mapping in problem solving', Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 23 (1997), 427-440.
    • (1997) Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition , vol.23 , pp. 427-440
    • Ross, B.1    Kilbane, M.2
  • 41
    • 0000098990 scopus 로고
    • Commentary on analysts' forecasts
    • December
    • Schipper, K. 'Commentary on analysts' forecasts', Accounting Horizons, December (1991), 105-121.
    • (1991) Accounting Horizons , pp. 105-121
    • Schipper, K.1
  • 42
    • 0000933783 scopus 로고
    • The perils of averaging data over strategies: An example from children's addition
    • Siegler, R. The perils of averaging data over strategies: an example from children's addition', Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 116 (1987), 250-264.
    • (1987) Journal of Experimental Psychology: General , vol.116 , pp. 250-264
    • Siegler, R.1
  • 44
    • 0007316015 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • HP pictures the future
    • 7 July
    • Smith, G. 'HP pictures the future', Business Week, (7 July 1997), 100-109.
    • (1997) Business Week , pp. 100-109
    • Smith, G.1
  • 45
    • 0000745791 scopus 로고
    • If Saddam is Hitler then who is George Bush? Analogical mapping between systems of social roles
    • Spellman, B. and Holyoak, K. 'If Saddam is Hitler then who is George Bush? Analogical mapping between systems of social roles', Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 62 (1992), 913-933.
    • (1992) Journal of Personality and Social Psychology , vol.62 , pp. 913-933
    • Spellman, B.1    Holyoak, K.2
  • 46
    • 0022779774 scopus 로고
    • Context-dependent effects on analogical transfer
    • Spencer, R. M. and Weisberg, R. 'Context-dependent effects on analogical transfer', Memory and Cognition, 14 (1986), 442-449.
    • (1986) Memory and Cognition , vol.14 , pp. 442-449
    • Spencer, R.M.1    Weisberg, R.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.