According to the polls: The influence of opinion polls on expectations

Public Opinion Quarterly

Volumn 66, Issue 1, 2002, Pages 92-104

  Irwin, Galen A ^a,b   Van Holsteyn, Joop J M ^a  

^a LEIDEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b Department of Political Science ^*  (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 23044532994     PISSN: 0033362X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1086/338632     Document Type: Review

References (29)

1. Abramowitz, Alan I. 1987. "Candidate Choice before the Convention: The Democrats in 1984." Political Behavior 9:49-61.
2. _. 1989. "Viability, Electability, and Candidate Choice in a Presidential Primary Election: A Test of Competing Models." Journal of Politics 51:977-92.
3. Andeweg, Rudy B., and Galen A. Irwin. 1993. Dutch Government and Politics. Houndsmills: Macmillan.
4. Babad, Elisha. 1995. "Can Accurate Knowledge Reduce Wishful Thinking in Voters' Predictions of Election Outcomes?" Journal of Psychology 129:285-300.
5. _. 1997. "Wishful Thinking among Voters' Motivational and Cognitive Influences." International Journal of Public Opinion Research 9:105-25.
6. Babad, Elisha, Michael Hills, and Michael O'Driscoll. 1992. "Factors Influencing Wishful Thinking and Predictions of Election Outcomes." Basic and Applied Social Psychology 13: 461-76.
7. Babad, Elisha, and Eitan Yacobos. 1993. "Wish and Reality in Voters' Predictions of Election Outcomes." International Society of Political Psychology 14:37-54.
8. Bartels, Larry M. 1987. "Candidate Choice and the Dynamics of the Presidential Nominating Process." American Journal of Political Science 31:1-30.
9. _. 1988. Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
10. Brady, Henry A., and Richard Johnston. 1987. "What's the Primary Message: Horse Race or Issue Journalism?" In Media and Momentum: The New Hampshire Primary and Nomination Politics, ed. G. R. Orren and N. W. Polls, pp. 127-86. Chatham: Chatham House.
11. Broughton, David. 1995. Public Opinion Polling and Politics in Britain. London: Prentice-Hall.
12. Catt, Helena. 1996. Voting Behaviour: A Radical Critique. London: Leicester University Press.
13. Couper, Mick P., and William L. Nicholls II. 1998. "The History and Development of Computer Assisted Survey Information Collection Methods." In Computer Assisted Survey Information Collection, ed. Mick P. Couper et al., pp. 1-21. New York: Wiley.
14. Gladdish, Ken. 1991. Governing from the Centre: Politics and Policy-Making in the Netherlands. London: Hurst.
15. Granberg, Donald, and Edward Brent. 1983. "When Prophecy Bends: The Preference-Expectation Link in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1952-1980." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 45:477-91.
16. Granberg, Donald, and Soeren Holmberg. 1986. "Preference, Expectations, and Voting in Sweden's Referendum on Nuclear Power." Social Science Quarterly 67:379-92.
17. Irwin, Galen A. 1995. "Tussen de verkiezingen." In De Nederlandse Kiezer 1994, ed. Joop J. M. van Holsteyn and Broer Niemoeller, pp. 9-26. Leiden: DSWO.
18. Irwin, Galen A., and Joop J. M. Van Holsteyn. 1989a. "Decline of the Structured Model of Electoral Competition." West European Politics 12:21-41.
19. _. 1989b. "Towards a More Open Model of Competition." West European Politics 12: 112-38.
20. _. 1997. "Where to from Here? Revamping Electoral Politics in the Netherlands." West European Politics 20:93-118.
21. Johnston, Richard, Henry E. Brady, Andre Biais, and Jean Crete. 1992. Letting the People Decide: Dynamics of a Canadian Election. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
22. Kinder, Donald R. 1978. "Political Person Perception: The Asymmetrical Influence of Sentiment and Choice on Perceptions of Presidential Candidates." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 36:859-71.
23. Lavrakas, Paul J., Jack K. Holley, and Peter V. Miller. 1991. "Public Reactions to Polling News during the 1988 Presidential Election Campaign." In Polling and Presidential Election Coverage, ed. Paul J. Lavrakas and Jack K. Holley, pp. 151-83. Newbury Park, CA: Sage.
24. Lemert, James B. 1986. "Picking the Winners: Politician vs. Voter Predictions of Two Controversial Ballot Measures." Public Opinion Quarterly 50:208-21.
25. Lewis-Beck, Michael S., and Andrew Skalaban, 1989. "Citizen Forecasting: Can Voters See into the Future?" British Journal of Political Science 19:146-53.
26. Nadeau, Richard, Richard G. Niemi, and Timothy Amato. 1994. "Expectations and Preferences in British General Elections." American Political Science Review 88:371-83.
27. Saris, Willem. 1998. "Ten Years of Interviewing without Interviewers: The Telepanel." In Computer Assisted Survey Information Collection, ed. Mick P. Couper et al., pp. 409-29. New York: Wiley.
28. Teer, Frank, and James D. Spence. 1973. Political Opinion Polls. London: Hutchinson University Library.
29. Waller, Robert. 1995. "The Polls and the 1992 General Election." In Political Communication: The General Election Campaign of 1992, ed. Ivor Crewe and Brian Gosschalk, pp. 177-91. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.