메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 5, Issue 1, 2005, Pages 9-24

Empirical modelling of contagion: A review of methodologies

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 22544487527     PISSN: 14697688     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/14697680500142045     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (327)

References (73)
  • 1
    • 0034079058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Financial contagion
    • Allen, F. and Gale, D., Financial contagion. J. Polit. Econ., 2000, 108, 1-33.
    • (2000) J. Polit. Econ. , vol.108 , pp. 1-33
    • Allen, F.1    Gale, D.2
  • 2
    • 0042788858 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new approach to measuring financial contagion
    • Bae, K.H., Karolyi, G.A. and Stulz, R.M., A new approach to measuring financial contagion. Rev. Financ. Stud., 2003, 16(3), 717-763.
    • (2003) Rev. Financ. Stud. , vol.16 , Issue.3 , pp. 717-763
    • Bae, K.H.1    Karolyi, G.A.2    Stulz, R.M.3
  • 3
    • 84874000770 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Russian default and the contagion to Brazil
    • IMF
    • Baig, T. and Goldfajn, I., The Russian default and the contagion to Brazil. IMF Working Paper WP/00/160, 2000 (IMF).
    • (2000) IMF Working Paper , vol.WP-00-160
    • Baig, T.1    Goldfajn, I.2
  • 5
    • 0348062881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Market integration and contagion
    • Bekaert, G., Harvey, C.R. and Ng, A., Market integration and contagion. J. Bus., 2005, 78(1), 39-69.
    • (2005) J. Bus. , vol.78 , Issue.1 , pp. 39-69
    • Bekaert, G.1    Harvey, C.R.2    Ng, A.3
  • 6
    • 84977718189 scopus 로고
    • Characteristing predictable components in excess returns on equity and foreign exchange markets
    • Bekaert, G. and Hodrick, R., Characteristing predictable components in excess returns on equity and foreign exchange markets. J. Finance, 1992, 47, 467-509.
    • (1992) J. Finance , vol.47 , pp. 467-509
    • Bekaert, G.1    Hodrick, R.2
  • 7
    • 0041857230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pitfalls in tests for changes in correlations
    • Federal Reserve Board, International Finance Division
    • Boyer, B.H., Gibson, M.S. and Loretan, M., Pitfalls in tests for changes in correlations. Working Paper 597R, 1999 (Federal Reserve Board, International Finance Division).
    • (1999) Working Paper , vol.597 R
    • Boyer, B.H.1    Gibson, M.S.2    Loretan, M.3
  • 8
    • 0036889359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are the gains from international portfolio diversification exaggerated? The influence of downside risk in bear markets?
    • Butler, K.C. and Joaquin, D.C., Are the gains from international portfolio diversification exaggerated? The influence of downside risk in bear markets? J. Int. Money Finance, 2002, 21, 981-1011.
    • (2002) J. Int. Money Finance , vol.21 , pp. 981-1011
    • Butler, K.C.1    Joaquin, D.C.2
  • 9
    • 0034035847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rational contagion and the globalization of securities markets
    • Calvo, S. and Mendoza, E., Rational contagion and the globalization of securities markets. J. Int. Econ., 2000, 51, 79-113.
    • (2000) J. Int. Econ. , vol.51 , pp. 79-113
    • Calvo, S.1    Mendoza, E.2
  • 10
    • 18944365130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for contagion: A conditional correlation analysis
    • Centre for Monetary and Financial Economics, South Bank University
    • Caporale, G.M., Cipollini, A. and Spagnolo, N., Testing for contagion: a conditional correlation analysis. Discussion Paper No. 01-2002, 2002 (Centre for Monetary and Financial Economics, South Bank University).
    • (2002) Discussion Paper No. 01-2002 , vol.1 , Issue.2002
    • Caporale, G.M.1    Cipollini, A.2    Spagnolo, N.3
  • 12
    • 0036889238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time varying risk preferences and emerging market covariances
    • Chue, T.K., Time varying risk preferences and emerging market covariances. J. Int. Money Finance, 2002, 21, 1053-1072.
    • (2002) J. Int. Money Finance , vol.21 , pp. 1053-1072
    • Chue, T.K.1
  • 13
    • 85008862602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Correlation structure of extreme stock returns
    • Cizeau, P., Potters, M. and Bouchard, J., Correlation structure of extreme stock returns. Quant. Finance, 2001, 1(2), 217-222.
    • (2001) Quant. Finance , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 217-222
    • Cizeau, P.1    Potters, M.2    Bouchard, J.3
  • 16
    • 84986408962 scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of exchange rate volatility: A multivariate latent-factor ARCH model
    • Diebold, F.X. and Nerlove, M., The dynamics of exchange rate volatility: a multivariate latent-factor ARCH model. J. Appl. Econometrics, 1989, 4, 1-22.
    • (1989) J. Appl. Econometrics , vol.4 , pp. 1-22
    • Diebold, F.X.1    Nerlove, M.2
  • 19
    • 84886274855 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unanticipated shocks and systemic influences: The impact of contagion in global equity markets in 1998
    • IMF
    • Dungey, M., Fry, R.A., González-Hermosillo, B. and Martin, V.L., Unanticipated shocks and systemic influences: the impact of contagion in global equity markets in 1998. IMF Working Paper WP/03/84, 2003a (IMF).
    • (2003) IMF Working Paper , vol.WP-03-84
    • Dungey, M.1    Fry, R.A.2    González-Hermosillo, B.3    Martin, V.L.4
  • 22
    • 22544454037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International contagion effects from the Russian crisis and the LTCM near-collapse
    • in the press
    • Dungey, M., Fry, R.A., González-Hermosillo, B. and Martin, V.L., International contagion effects from the Russian crisis and the LTCM near-collapse. J. Financ. Stability, 2005b (in the press).
    • (2005) J. Financ. Stability
    • Dungey, M.1    Fry, R.A.2    González-Hermosillo, B.3    Martin, V.L.4
  • 23
    • 84996147711 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equity transmission mechanisms from Asia to Australia: Interdependence or contagion?
    • Dungey, M., Fry, R.A., and Martin, V.L., Equity transmission mechanisms from Asia to Australia: interdependence or contagion? Aust. J. Manage., 2003b, 28(2), 157-182.
    • (2003) Aust. J. Manage. , vol.28 , Issue.2 , pp. 157-182
    • Dungey, M.1    Fry, R.A.2    Martin, V.L.3
  • 25
    • 85007700284 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multifactor model of exchange rates with unanticipated shocks: Measuring contagion in the east Asian currency crisis
    • Dungey, M. and Martin, V.L., A multifactor model of exchange rates with unanticipated shocks: measuring contagion in the east Asian currency crisis. J. Emerging Mark. Finance, 2004, 3(3), 305-330.
    • (2004) J. Emerging Mark. Finance , vol.3 , Issue.3 , pp. 305-330
    • Dungey, M.1    Martin, V.L.2
  • 26
    • 0034551268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multivariate latent factor decomposition of international bond yield spreads
    • Dungey, M., Martin, V.L. and Pagan, A.R., A multivariate latent factor decomposition of international bond yield spreads. J. Appl. Econometrics, 2000, 15(6), 697-715.
    • (2000) J. Appl. Econometrics , vol.15 , Issue.6 , pp. 697-715
    • Dungey, M.1    Martin, V.L.2    Pagan, A.R.3
  • 27
    • 0042047410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for contagion using correlations: Some words of caution
    • Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
    • Dungey, M. and Zhumabekova, D., Testing for contagion using correlations: some words of caution. Pacific Basin Working Paper PB01-09, 2001 (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco).
    • (2001) Pacific Basin Working Paper , vol.PB01-09
    • Dungey, M.1    Zhumabekova, D.2
  • 29
    • 0000424685 scopus 로고
    • Exchange market mayhem: The antecedents and aftermath of speculative attacks
    • Eichengreen, B., Rose, A.K. and Wyplosz, C., Exchange market mayhem: the antecedents and aftermath of speculative attacks. Econ. Policy, 1995, 21, 249-312.
    • (1995) Econ. Policy , vol.21 , pp. 249-312
    • Eichengreen, B.1    Rose, A.K.2    Wyplosz, C.3
  • 30
    • 0003359926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contagious currency crises
    • National Bureau of Economic Research
    • Eichengreen, B., Rose, A.K. and Wyplosz, C., Contagious currency crises. NBER Working Paper 5681, 1996 (National Bureau of Economic Research).
    • (1996) NBER Working Paper , vol.5681
    • Eichengreen, B.1    Rose, A.K.2    Wyplosz, C.3
  • 32
    • 0001659575 scopus 로고
    • Meteor showers or heat waves? Heteroskedastic intra-daily volatility in the foreign exchange market
    • Engle R.F., Ito, T. and Lin, W., Meteor showers or heat waves? Heteroskedastic intra-daily volatility in the foreign exchange market. Econometrica, 1990, 58, 525-542.
    • (1990) Econometrica , vol.58 , pp. 525-542
    • Engle, R.F.1    Ito, T.2    Lin, W.3
  • 33
    • 84974122247 scopus 로고
    • Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH
    • Engle, R.F. and Kroner, K.F., Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 1995, 11(1), 122-150.
    • (1995) Econometric Theory , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 122-150
    • Engle, R.F.1    Kroner, K.F.2
  • 34
    • 0036268426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is the international propagation of financial shocks non-linear? Evidence from the ERM
    • Favero, C.A. and Giavazzi, F., Is the international propagation of financial shocks non-linear? Evidence from the ERM. J. Int. Econ., 2002, 57(1), 231-246.
    • (2002) J. Int. Econ. , vol.57 , Issue.1 , pp. 231-246
    • Favero, C.A.1    Giavazzi, F.2
  • 35
    • 0003890754 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perspectives on the recent currency crisis literature
    • National Bureau of Economic Research
    • Flood, R. and Marion, N., Perspectives on the recent currency crisis literature. NBER Working Paper #6380, 1998 (National Bureau of Economic Research).
    • (1998) NBER Working Paper #6380 , vol.6380
    • Flood, R.1    Marion, N.2
  • 36
    • 22544447253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equity integration in times of crisis
    • in the press
    • Flood, R. and Rose, A.K., Equity integration in times of crisis. Mark. Discipline, 2005 (in the press).
    • (2005) Mark. Discipline
    • Flood, R.1    Rose, A.K.2
  • 37
    • 0003350474 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • No contagion, only interdependence: Measuring stock market co-movements
    • Forbes, K. and Rigobon, R., No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market co-movements. J. Finance, 2002, 57(5), 2223-2261.
    • (2002) J. Finance , vol.57 , Issue.5 , pp. 2223-2261
    • Forbes, K.1    Rigobon, R.2
  • 38
    • 0033173977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contagion and trade: Why are currency crises regional?
    • Click, R. and Rose, A.K., Contagion and trade: why are currency crises regional? J. Int. Money Finance, 1999, 18(4), 603-617.
    • (1999) J. Int. Money Finance , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 603-617
    • Click, R.1    Rose, A.K.2
  • 39
    • 0001329268 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bivariate causality between stock prices and exchange rates: Evidence from recent Asian flu
    • Granger, C., Huang, B., and Yang, C., A bivariate causality between stock prices and exchange rates: evidence from recent Asian flu. Q. Rev. Econ. Finance, 2000, 40, 337-354.
    • (2000) Q. Rev. Econ. Finance , vol.40 , pp. 337-354
    • Granger, C.1    Huang, B.2    Yang, C.3
  • 40
    • 84993904981 scopus 로고
    • The interdependence of international equity markets
    • Grubel, H.G. and Fadner, R., The interdependence of international equity markets. J. Finance, 1971, 26, 89-94.
    • (1971) J. Finance , vol.26 , pp. 89-94
    • Grubel, H.G.1    Fadner, R.2
  • 42
    • 0034002908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Currency crises, sunspots and Markov-switching regimes
    • Jeanne, O. and Masson, P., Currency crises, sunspots and Markov-switching regimes. J. Int. Econ., 2000, 50(2), 327-350.
    • (2000) J. Int. Econ. , vol.50 , Issue.2 , pp. 327-350
    • Jeanne, O.1    Masson, P.2
  • 43
    • 0034083899 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On crises, contagion and confusion
    • Kaminsky, G.L. and Reinhart, C.M., On crises, contagion and confusion. J. Int. Econ., 2000, 51(1), 145-168.
    • (2000) J. Int. Econ. , vol.51 , Issue.1 , pp. 145-168
    • Kaminsky, G.L.1    Reinhart, C.M.2
  • 44
    • 0344955866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Financial markets in times of stress
    • National Bureau of Economic Research
    • Kaminsky, G.L. and Reinhart, C.M., Financial markets in times of stress. NBER Working Paper #8569, 2001 (National Bureau of Economic Research).
    • (2001) NBER Working Paper #8569 , vol.8569
    • Kaminsky, G.L.1    Reinhart, C.M.2
  • 45
    • 17444383912 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The center and the periphery: The globalization of financial turmoil
    • National Bureau of Economic Research
    • Kaminsky, G.L. and Reinhart, C.M., The Center and the Periphery: The Globalization of Financial Turmoil, NBER Working Paper 9479, 2003 (National Bureau of Economic Research).
    • (2003) NBER Working Paper , vol.9479
    • Kaminsky, G.L.1    Reinhart, C.M.2
  • 46
    • 0033176847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What triggers market jitters? A chronicle of the Asian crisis
    • Kaminsky, G.L. and Schmukler, S.L., What triggers market jitters? A chronicle of the Asian crisis. J. Int. Money Finance, 1999, 18, 537-560.
    • (1999) J. Int. Money Finance , vol.18 , pp. 537-560
    • Kaminsky, G.L.1    Schmukler, S.L.2
  • 47
    • 0010798257 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why do markets move together? An investigation of US-Japan stock return comovements
    • Karolyi, A. and Stulz, R., Why do markets move together? An investigation of US-Japan stock return comovements. J. Finance, 1996, 51(3), 951-986.
    • (1996) J. Finance , vol.51 , Issue.3 , pp. 951-986
    • Karolyi, A.1    Stulz, R.2
  • 50
    • 0003151378 scopus 로고
    • Transmission of volatility between stock markets
    • King, M. and Wadhwani, S., Transmission of volatility between stock markets. Rev. Financ. Stud., 1990, 3(1), 5-33.
    • (1990) Rev. Financ. Stud. , vol.3 , Issue.1 , pp. 5-33
    • King, M.1    Wadhwani, S.2
  • 52
    • 0013067956 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A rational expectations model of financial contagion
    • Kodres, L.E. and Pritsker, M., A rational expectations model of financial contagion. J. Finance, 2002, 57(2), 768-799.
    • (2002) J. Finance , vol.57 , Issue.2 , pp. 768-799
    • Kodres, L.E.1    Pritsker, M.2
  • 53
    • 0011366180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contagion as a wealth effect
    • Kyle, A. and Xiong, W., Contagion as a wealth effect. J. Finance, 2001, 56(4), 1401-1440.
    • (2001) J. Finance , vol.56 , Issue.4 , pp. 1401-1440
    • Kyle, A.1    Xiong, W.2
  • 54
    • 0002525307 scopus 로고
    • Is the correlation in international equity returns constant: 1960-1990?
    • Longin, F. and Solnik, B., Is the correlation in international equity returns constant: 1960-1990? J. Int. Money Finance, 1995, 14(1), 3-26.
    • (1995) J. Int. Money Finance , vol.14 , Issue.1 , pp. 3-26
    • Longin, F.1    Solnik, B.2
  • 55
    • 0010170983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating 'correlation breakdowns' during periods of market volatility
    • Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    • Loretan, M. and English, W., Evaluating 'correlation breakdowns' during periods of market volatility. International Finance Discussion Paper No. 658, 2000 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System).
    • (2000) International Finance Discussion Paper No. 658 , vol.658
    • Loretan, M.1    English, W.2
  • 56
    • 38149146397 scopus 로고
    • Neglected common factors in exchange rate volatility
    • Mahieu, R. and Schotman, P., Neglected common factors in exchange rate volatility. J. Empirical Finance, 1994, 1, 279-311.
    • (1994) J. Empirical Finance , vol.1 , pp. 279-311
    • Mahieu, R.1    Schotman, P.2
  • 57
    • 0030641982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multivariate GARCH model of risk premia in foreign exchange markets
    • Malliaroupulos, D., A multivariate GARCH model of risk premia in foreign exchange markets. Econ. Modelling, 1997, 14, 61-79.
    • (1997) Econ. Modelling , vol.14 , pp. 61-79
    • Malliaroupulos, D.1
  • 58
    • 0033175496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contagion: Macroeconomic models with multiple equilibria
    • Masson, P., Contagion: macroeconomic models with multiple equilibria. J. Int. Money Finance, 1999a, 18, 587-602.
    • (1999) J. Int. Money Finance , vol.18 , pp. 587-602
    • Masson, P.1
  • 59
    • 0008978239 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contagion: Monsoonal effects, spillovers, and jumps between multiple equilibria
    • edited by P.R. Agenor, M. Miller, D. Vines and A. Weber (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, Thailand)
    • Masson, P., Contagion: monsoonal effects, spillovers, and jumps between multiple equilibria. In The Asian Financial Crisis: Causes, Contagion and Consequences, edited by P.R. Agenor, M. Miller, D. Vines and A. Weber, 1999b (Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, Thailand).
    • (1999) The Asian Financial Crisis: Causes, Contagion and Consequences
    • Masson, P.1
  • 60
    • 0141836370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple equilibria, contagion and the emerging market crises
    • IMF
    • Masson, P., Multiple equilibria, contagion and the emerging market crises. IMF Working Paper #99/164, 1999c (IMF).
    • (1999) IMF Working Paper #99/164 , vol.99 , Issue.164
    • Masson, P.1
  • 62
    • 0000878807 scopus 로고
    • The distribution of the instrumental variables estimator and its t-ratio when the instrument is a poor one
    • Nelson, C.R. and Startz, R., The distribution of the instrumental variables estimator and its t-ratio when the instrument is a poor one. J. Bus., 1990, 63, S125-S140.
    • (1990) J. Bus. , vol.63
    • Nelson, C.R.1    Startz, R.2
  • 63
    • 0041386277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A primer on financial contagion
    • Pericoli, M. and Sbracia, M., A primer on financial contagion. J. Econ. Surveys, 2003, 17(4), 571-608.
    • (2003) J. Econ. Surveys , vol.17 , Issue.4 , pp. 571-608
    • Pericoli, M.1    Sbracia, M.2
  • 64
    • 22544487385 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Econometric issues in the analysis of contagion
    • CESifo
    • Pesaran, H. and Pick, A., Econometric issues in the analysis of contagion. CESifo Working Paper 1176, 2003 (CESifo).
    • (2003) CESifo Working Paper , vol.1176
    • Pesaran, H.1    Pick, A.2
  • 65
    • 0036892415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The curse of non-investment grade countries
    • Rigobon, R., The curse of non-investment grade countries. J. Develop. Econ., 2002, 69, 423-449.
    • (2002) J. Develop. Econ. , vol.69 , pp. 423-449
    • Rigobon, R.1
  • 66
    • 0142003668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identification through heteroskedasticity
    • Rigobon, R., Identification through heteroskedasticity. Rev. Econ. Stat., 2003a, 85(4), 777-792.
    • (2003) Rev. Econ. Stat. , vol.85 , Issue.4 , pp. 777-792
    • Rigobon, R.1
  • 67
    • 0141907829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the measurement of the international propogation of shocks: Is the transmission stable?
    • Rigobon, R., On the measurement of the international propogation of shocks: is the transmission stable? J. Int. Econ., 2003b, 61, 261-283.
    • (2003) J. Int. Econ. , vol.61 , pp. 261-283
    • Rigobon, R.1
  • 68
    • 84980092818 scopus 로고
    • Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk
    • Sharpe, W., Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J. Finance, 1964, 19, 425-442.
    • (1964) J. Finance , vol.19 , pp. 425-442
    • Sharpe, W.1
  • 69
    • 0002610775 scopus 로고
    • The international pricing of risk: An empirical investigation of the world capital market structure
    • Solnik, B.H., The international pricing of risk: an empirical investigation of the world capital market structure. J. Finance, 1974, 29(2), 365-378.
    • (1974) J. Finance , vol.29 , Issue.2 , pp. 365-378
    • Solnik, B.H.1
  • 70
    • 0036790491 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A survey of weak instruments and weak identification in generalized method of moments
    • Stock, J.H., Wright, J.H. and Yogo, M., A survey of weak instruments and weak identification in generalized method of moments. J. Bus. Econ. Stat., 2002, 20(4), 518-529.
    • (2002) J. Bus. Econ. Stat. , vol.20 , Issue.4 , pp. 518-529
    • Stock, J.H.1    Wright, J.H.2    Yogo, M.3
  • 71
    • 38249041696 scopus 로고
    • Testing equality between sets of coefficients after a preliminary test for equality of disturbance variances in two linear regressions
    • Toyoda, T. and Ohtani, K., Testing equality between sets of coefficients after a preliminary test for equality of disturbance variances in two linear regressions. J. Econometrics, 1986, 31, 67-80.
    • (1986) J. Econometrics , vol.31 , pp. 67-80
    • Toyoda, T.1    Ohtani, K.2
  • 72
    • 0001294645 scopus 로고
    • The fitting of straight lines if both variables are subject to error
    • Wald, A., The fitting of straight lines if both variables are subject to error. Ann. Math. Stat., 1940, 11, 284-300.
    • (1940) Ann. Math. Stat. , vol.11 , pp. 284-300
    • Wald, A.1
  • 73
    • 0034953588 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sources of contagion: Is it finance or trade?
    • Van Rijckeghem, C.V. and Weder, B., Sources of contagion: is it finance or trade? J. Int. Econ., 2001, 54, 293-300.
    • (2001) J. Int. Econ. , vol.54 , pp. 293-300
    • Van Rijckeghem, C.V.1    Weder, B.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.