A logistic growth theory of public expenditures: A study of five countries over 100 years

Public Choice

Volumn 122, Issue 3-4, 2005, Pages 355-393

  Florio, Massimo ^a   Colautti, Sara ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MILAN   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 22044437506     PISSN: 00485829     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11127-005-3900-y     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. André, C. and Delorme, R. (1978). L'Évolution de longue période des dépenses publiques en France: 1872-1971. In H.C. Recktenwald (Ed.), Tendances à long terme du secteur public, XXXIIe Session, Congrès d'Edimbourg 1976. Paris: Éditions Cujas.
2. André, C. and Delorme, R. (1984). Materiaux pour une comparaison internationale des dépenses publiques en longue période: Le cas de six pays industrialisés. In Statistiques & Etudes Financières, Ministère de l'Economie, des Finances et du Budget, Paris.
3. Auerbach, A. and Feldstein, M. (Eds) (1990). Handbook of public economics, vol I. Amsterdam: NHPC.
4. Baumol, W. (1967). The macroeconomics of unbalanced growth: theanatomyofurbanowsis American Economic Review 57: 415-426.
5. Baumol, W., Baty Blackman, S.E. and Woltt, E. (1985). Unbalanced growth revisited: Asymptotic stagnancy and new evidence. American Economic Review 75: 806-817.
6. Biswal, B., Dhawan, U. and Lee, H.J. (1999). Testing Wagner versus Keynes using disaggregated public expenditure data from Canada. Applied Economics 31: 1293-1298.
7. Borcherding, T.E. (1977). One hundred years of public spending, 1870-1970. In T.E. Borcherding, (Ed.), Budgets and bureaucrats: The sources of government growth, 19-44. Durham, NC: Duke University Press.
8. Borcherding, T.E. (1977). The sources of growth of public expenditures in the United States, 1902-1970. In T.E. Borcherding (Ed.), Budgets and bureaucrats: The sources of government growth, 45-70. Durham, NC: Duke University Press.
9. Brosio, G. (1993). Economia e finanza pubblica. Roma: NIS.
10. Brosio, G. and Marchese, C. (1986). Il potere di spendere. Storia ed economia della spesaa pubblica dall'unificazione ad oggi. Bologna: Il Mulino.
11. Buchanan, J. and Musgrave, R.A. (1999). Public finance and public choice: Two contrasting visions of the state. Cambridge and London: MIT Press.
12. Delorme, R. and André, Ch. (1979). Étude comparative de l'évolution des dépenses publiques en longue période dans six pays industrialisés occidentaux. Paris: CEPREMAP.
13. Delorme, R. and André, Ch. (1983). L'État et l'économie. Un essai d'explication de l'évolution des dépenses publiques en France (1870-1980). Paris: Édition du Seuil.
14. Ercolani, P. (1969). Documentazione statistica di base in Fuà (a cura di) Lo sviluppo economico in Italia, Vol. III-Studi di settore e documentazione di base. Milano: Franco Angeli Editore.
15. Feinstein, C.H. (1972). National income, expenditure and output of the United Kingdom, 1855-1965. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
16. Feldstein, M. (1997). How big should government be. National Tax Journal 50: 197-213.
17. Flora, P. KrausF.,PfenninfW. (1983). State economy and society in western Europe 1815-1975, Volume I: The growth of mass democracies and welfare states. Frankfurt: Cam pus Verlag.
18. Fölster, S. and Henrekson, M. (2001). Growth effects of government expenditure and taxation in rich countries. European Economic Review 45: 1501-1520.
19. Henrekson, M. (1990). An economic analysis of Swedish government expenditure. Gothenburg: FIEF Trade Union Institute for Economic Research.
20. Henrekson, M. (1993). Wagner's Law: A spurious relationship? Public Finance 48: 406-415.
21. Luzzati, E. and Portesi, R. (1984). La spesa pubblica in AAVV. Storia della società italiana dall'unità ad oggi, Vol. 9: Cassese S. L'amministrazione centrale. Torino: UTET.
22. Maddison, A. (1984). Origins and impact of the welfare state 1883-1983. Banca Nazionale del Lavoro. Quarterly Review, March.
23. Maddison, A. (1989). The world economy in the 20th century. Paris: OECD.
24. Maddison, A. (1991). Dynamic forces in capitalist development. Oxford plce: Oxford University Press.
25. Maddison, A. (1995). Monitoring the world economy, 1820-1992. Paris: OECD.
26. Middleton, R. (1996). Government versus the market: The growth of the public sector, economic management and British economic performance, c. 1890-1979. Cheltenham U.K.: Edward Elgar Published Limited.
27. Mueller, D.C. (2003). Public choice III. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
28. Musgrave, R.A. (1969). Fiscal systems. New Haven/London: Yale University Press.
29. Musgrave, R.A. (1995). Teoria delle crisi fiscali. Un saggio di sociologia fiscale. In R. Musgrave (Ed.),Finanza pubblica, equità, democrazia. Bologna: Il Mulino, 1995.
30. Musgrave, R.A. and Culbertson, J.M. (1953). The growth of public expenditures in the United States, 1890-1948. National Tax Journal 6: 000-000.
31. Nelder, J.A. (1961). The fitting of a generalisation of the logistic curve. Biometrics 17: 89-110.
32. Ng, Y.-K. (2000). The optimal size of public spending and the distortionary cost of taxation. National Tax Journal 53: 253-272.
33. OECD (2001). Economic outlook, n. 70 (June). Paris.
34. Oliver, F.R. (1964). Methods of estimating the logistic growth function. Applied Statistics 13: 57-66.
35. Oliver, F.R. (1966). Aspects of maximum likelihood estimation of the logistic growth function. American Statistical Association Journal 78: 697-705.
36. Oliver, F.R. (1969). Another generalisation of the logistic growth function. Econometrica 37: 144-147.
37. Oliver, F.R. (1982). Notes on the logistic curve for human populations. Journal of Royal Statistical Society A 145 3: 359-363.
38. Peacock, A. and Scott, A. (2000). The curious attraction of Wagner's Law. Public Choice 102: 117-000.
39. Peacock, A. and Wiseman, J. (1961). The growth of public expenditure in the United Kingdom. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
40. Peacock, A. and Scott, A. (2000). The curious attraction of Wagner's law. Public Choice 102: 1-17.
41. Pearl, R. and Reed, L.J. (1977). On the rate of growth of the population of the United States since 1790 and its mathematical representation. In D. Smith and N. Keyfitz (Eds.), Mathematical demography. Selected Papers. Berlinplce: Springer Verlag.
42. Pigou, A.C. (1947). A study in public finance. London: MacMillan.
43. Ratkowsky, D.A. (1993). Handbook of non-linear regression models. New York/Basel: Marcel Dekker Inc.
44. Ratkowsky, D.A. and Reedy, T.J. (1986). Choosing near-linear parameters in the four-parameter logistic model for radioligand and related assays. Biometrics 42: 575-582.
45. Recktenwald, H.C. (Ed.) (1978). The public sector in transition. In H.C. Recktenwald (Ed.), Tendances à long terme du secteur public (Secular Trends of the Public Sector), XXXIIe Session, Congrès d'Edimbourg 1976. Paris: Éditions Cujas.
46. Reiter, M. and A.J. Weichenrieder (1997). Are public goods public? A critical survey of the demand estimates for local public services (with Michael Reiter). Finanzarchiv 54: 374-408.
47. Rodrik, D. (1998). Why do more open economies have bigger government. Journal of Political Economy 106: 997-1032.
48. Schremmer, D.E. (1989). Taxation and public finance: England, France, and Germany. In P. Mathias and S. Pollard (Eds.), The Cambridge economic history of Europe, Vol VIII. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
49. Tanzi, V. and Schuknecht, L. (2000). Public spending in the 20th century: A global perspective. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
50. Tridimas, G. (2001). The economics and politics of the structure of public expenditure. Public Choice 106: 299-316.
51. Tridimas, G. (1993). Public expenditure growth in Greece and Portugal: Wagner's law and beyond. Applied Economics 25: 125-134.
52. U.S. Bureau of Census (1975). Historical statistics of the United States, colonial times to 1970. Washington DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
53. Verhulst, P. (1977). A note on the law of population growth, 1838. In D. Smith and N. Keyfitz (Eds.), Mathematical demography. Selected papers. Berlinplce: Springer Verlag.
54. Volterra, V. (1931). Theory of functional! and of integro-differential equations. London/Glasgow: Blackie & Son Limited.
55. Wagner, A. (1892-1893). Grundlegung der politischen Oekonomie: 1. Theil, Grundlagen der Volkswirthschaft, 2 vols. Leipzig: Winter.
56. Wagner, A. (1894). Grundlegung der politischen Oekonomie: 2. Theil, Volkswirthschaft und Recht, besonders Vermögensrecht, 5 vols. Leipzig: Winter; French translation: Les fondaments de l'économie politique. Paris: Girard &Brière, 1912.