메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 11, Issue 2, 2005, Pages 141-158

A selection strategy for modelling UK tourism flows by air to European destinations

Author keywords

Forecasting adequacy; Increasing seasonal variation; Time series models

Indexed keywords

AIR TRANSPORTATION; MODELING; TOURISM MARKET;

EID: 21444443601     PISSN: 13548166     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5367/0000000054183487     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (29)

References (32)
  • 1
    • 0141571436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'The threat of terrorism as an intervention on international travel flows'
    • Coshall, J.T. (2003), 'The threat of terrorism as an intervention on international travel flows', Journal of Travel Research, Vol 42, No 1, pp 4-12.
    • (2003) Journal of Travel Research , vol.42 , Issue.1 , pp. 4-12
    • Coshall, J.T.1
  • 2
    • 0037264439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'A model of demand for international tourism'
    • Divisekera, S. (2003), 'A model of demand for international tourism', Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 30, No 1, pp 31-49.
    • (2003) Annals of Tourism Research , vol.30 , Issue.1 , pp. 31-49
    • Divisekera, S.1
  • 3
    • 38249037136 scopus 로고
    • 'Seasonal concentration of tourism in Greece'
    • Drakatos, C. (1987), 'Seasonal concentration of tourism in Greece', Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 14, No 4, pp 582-586.
    • (1987) Annals of Tourism Research , vol.14 , Issue.4 , pp. 582-586
    • Drakatos, C.1
  • 4
    • 0042385066 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Univariate versus multivariate time series forecasting: An application to international tourism demand'
    • du Preez, J., and Witt, S.F. (2003), 'Univariate versus multivariate time series forecasting: an application to international tourism demand', International Journal of Forecasting, Vol 19, pp 435-451.
    • (2003) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.19 , pp. 435-451
    • du Preez, J.1    Witt, S.F.2
  • 5
    • 0000962885 scopus 로고
    • 'Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series'
    • Franses, P.H. (1991), 'Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series', International Journal of Forecasting, Vol 7, pp, 199-208.
    • (1991) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.7 , pp. 199-208
    • Franses, P.H.1
  • 7
    • 0037915728 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'A model selection strategy for time series with increasing seasonal variation'
    • Franses, P.H., and Koehler, A.B. (1998), 'A model selection strategy for time series with increasing seasonal variation', International Journal of Forecasting, Vol 14, pp 405-414.
    • (1998) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.14 , pp. 405-414
    • Franses, P.H.1    Koehler, A.B.2
  • 9
    • 38149147786 scopus 로고
    • 'Testing for unit roots in seasonal time series'
    • Ghysels, E., Lee, H.S., and Noh, J. (1994), 'Testing for unit roots in seasonal time series', Journal of Econometrics, Vol 62, pp 415-442.
    • (1994) Journal of Econometrics , vol.62 , pp. 415-442
    • Ghysels, E.1    Lee, H.S.2    Noh, J.3
  • 10
    • 0036783651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Modeling and forecasting tourism demand for arrivals with stochastic nonstationary seasonality and intervention'
    • Goh, C., and Law, R. (2002), 'Modeling and forecasting tourism demand for arrivals with stochastic nonstationary seasonality and intervention', Tourism Management, Vol 23, pp 499-510.
    • (2002) Tourism Management , vol.23 , pp. 499-510
    • Goh, C.1    Law, R.2
  • 11
    • 0034934720 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'The impact of seasonal unit roots and vector ARMA modelling on forecasting monthly tourism flows'
    • Gustavsson, P. and Nordström, J. (2001), 'The impact of seasonal unit roots and vector ARMA modelling on forecasting monthly tourism flows', Tourism Economics, Vol 7, No 2, pp 117-133.
    • (2001) Tourism Economics , vol.7 , Issue.2 , pp. 117-133
    • Gustavsson, P.1    Nordström, J.2
  • 14
    • 0037361727 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Preliminary results for international tourism in 2002; air transport after 11 September'
    • Kester, J.G.C. (2002), 'Preliminary results for international tourism in 2002; air transport after 11 September', Tourism Economics, Vol 9, No 1, pp 95-110.
    • (2002) Tourism Economics , vol.9 , Issue.1 , pp. 95-110
    • Kester, J.G.C.1
  • 15
    • 0033437148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting monthly tourist departures from Australia'
    • Kim, J.H. (1999), 'Forecasting monthly tourist departures from Australia', Tourism Economics, Vol 5, No 3, pp 277-291.
    • (1999) Tourism Economics , vol.5 , Issue.3 , pp. 277-291
    • Kim, J.H.1
  • 16
    • 0035206837 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Seasonal behaviour of monthly international tourist flows; specification and implications for forecasting models'
    • Kim, J.H. and Moosa, I. (2001), 'Seasonal behaviour of monthly international tourist flows; specification and implications for forecasting models', Tourism Economics, Vol 7, No 4, pp 381-396.
    • (2001) Tourism Economics , vol.7 , Issue.4 , pp. 381-396
    • Kim, J.H.1    Moosa, I.2
  • 17
    • 0035206996 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Modelling and forecasting monthly airline passenger flows among three major Australian cities'
    • Kim, J.H. and Ngo M.T. (2001), 'Modelling and forecasting monthly airline passenger flows among three major Australian cities', Tourism Economics, Vol 7, No 4, pp 397-412.
    • (2001) Tourism Economics , vol.7 , Issue.4 , pp. 397-412
    • Kim, J.H.1    Ngo, M.T.2
  • 18
    • 0142120377 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Seasonality of tourism in Wales: A comparative analysis'
    • Koenig, N.K., and Bischoff, E.E. (2003), 'Seasonality of tourism in Wales: a comparative analysis', Tourism Economics, Vol 9, No 3, pp 229-254.
    • (2003) Tourism Economics , vol.9 , Issue.3 , pp. 229-254
    • Koenig, N.K.1    Bischoff, E.E.2
  • 19
    • 0035096058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Cointegration versus least squares regression'
    • at p 305
    • Kulendran, N., and Witt, S.F. (2001), 'Cointegration versus least squares regression', Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 28, No 2, pp 291-311, at p 305.
    • (2001) Annals of Tourism Research , vol.28 , Issue.2 , pp. 291-311
    • Kulendran, N.1    Witt, S.F.2
  • 20
    • 0037302371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting the demand for international business travel'
    • Kulendran, N., and Witt, S.F. (2003), 'Forecasting the demand for international business travel', Journal of Travel Research, Vol 41, pp 265-271.
    • (2003) Journal of Travel Research , vol.41 , pp. 265-271
    • Kulendran, N.1    Witt, S.F.2
  • 21
    • 0034022423 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'A seasonal analysis of Asian tourist arrivals to Australia'
    • Lim, C., and McAleer, M. (2000a), 'A seasonal analysis of Asian tourist arrivals to Australia', Applied Economics, Vol 32, pp 499-509.
    • (2000) Applied Economics , vol.32 , pp. 499-509
    • Lim, C.1    McAleer, M.2
  • 22
    • 0033801326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Monthly seasonal variations: Asian tourism to Australia'
    • Lim, C., and McAleer, M. (2000b), 'Monthly seasonal variations: Asian tourism to Australia', Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 28, pp 68-82.
    • (2000) Annals of Tourism Research , vol.28 , pp. 68-82
    • Lim, C.1    McAleer, M.2
  • 23
    • 0142080633 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Measuring tourism seasonality'
    • Baum, T., and Lundtorp, S., eds, Pergamon, Elsevier Science, Oxford
    • Lundtorp, S. (2001), 'Measuring tourism seasonality', in Baum, T., and Lundtorp, S., eds, Seasonality in Tourism, Pergamon, Elsevier Science, Oxford, pp 23-50.
    • (2001) Seasonality in Tourism , pp. 23-50
    • Lundtorp, S.1
  • 24
    • 84984426748 scopus 로고
    • 'General exponential smoothing and the equivalent ARMA process'
    • McKenzie, E. (1984), 'General exponential smoothing and the equivalent ARMA process', Journal of Forecasting, Vol 3, pp 333-344.
    • (1984) Journal of Forecasting , vol.3 , pp. 333-344
    • McKenzie, E.1
  • 25
    • 38249016766 scopus 로고
    • 'A survey of seasonality in UK macroeconomic variables'
    • Osborn, D.R. (1990), 'A survey of seasonality in UK macroeconomic variables', International Journal of Forecasting, Vol 6, pp 327-336.
    • (1990) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.6 , pp. 327-336
    • Osborn, D.R.1
  • 27
    • 0001791206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Seasonal unit roots and forecasts of two-digit European industrial production'
    • Osborn, D.R., Heravi, S., and Birchenhall, C.R. (1999), 'Seasonal unit roots and forecasts of two-digit European industrial production', International Journal of Forecasting, Vol 15, pp 27-47.
    • (1999) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 27-47
    • Osborn, D.R.1    Heravi, S.2    Birchenhall, C.R.3
  • 29
    • 0027750018 scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting tourism: Expenditures versus arrivals'
    • Sheldon, P.J. (1993), 'Forecasting tourism: expenditures versus arrivals', Journal of Travel Research, Vol 32, pp 13-20.
    • (1993) Journal of Travel Research , vol.32 , pp. 13-20
    • Sheldon, P.J.1
  • 30
    • 0034072478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'An empirical study of outbound tourism demand in the UK'
    • Song, H., Romilly, P., and Liu, X. (2000), 'An empirical study of outbound tourism demand in the UK', Applied Economics, Vol 32, pp 611-624.
    • (2000) Applied Economics , vol.32 , pp. 611-624
    • Song, H.1    Romilly, P.2    Liu, X.3
  • 31
    • 0032766756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Modelling the seasonality of hotel nights in Denmark by county and nationality'
    • Sørensen, N.K. (1999), 'Modelling the seasonality of hotel nights in Denmark by county and nationality', Tourism Economics, Vol 5, No 1, pp 9-23.
    • (1999) Tourism Economics , vol.5 , Issue.1 , pp. 9-23
    • Sørensen, N.K.1
  • 32
    • 0034934388 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 'Forecasting tourism using univariate and multivariate structural time series models'
    • Turner, L.W., and Witt, S.F. (2001), 'Forecasting tourism using univariate and multivariate structural time series models', Tourism Economics, Vol 7, No 2, pp 135-147.
    • (2001) Tourism Economics , vol.7 , Issue.2 , pp. 135-147
    • Turner, L.W.1    Witt, S.F.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.