Modeling momentum in gradual demographic transitions

Demography

Volumn 40, Issue 4, 2003, Pages 621-635

  Schoen, Robert ^a   Jonsson, Stefan Hrafn ^a  

^a PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIRTH RATE; FORECASTING; HUMAN; METHODOLOGY; MEXICO; POPULATION DYNAMICS; REVIEW; SINGAPORE; STATISTICAL MODEL;

BIRTH RATE; FORECASTING; HUMANS; MEXICO; MODELS, STATISTICAL; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SINGAPORE;

EID: 2142704238     PISSN: 00703370     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2307/1515200     Document Type: Article

References (21)

1. Bongaarts, J. and R.A. Bulatao. 1999. "Completing the Demographic Transition." Population and Development Review 25:515-29.
2. Caswell, H. 1989. Matrix Population Models. Sunderland MA: Sinauer.
3. Cerone, P. 1996. "On the Effects of the Generalized Renewal Integral Equation Model of Population Dynamics." Genus 52:53-70.
4. Coale, A. J. and T.J. Trussell. 1974. "Model Fertility Schedules: Variations in the Age Structure of Childbearing in Human Populations." Population Index 40:185-258.
5. Frauenthal, J.C. 1975. "Birth Trajectory Under Changing Fertility Conditions." Demography 12:447-54.
6. Goldstein, J.R. 2002. "Population Momentum for Gradual Demographic Transitions: An Alternative Approach." Demography 39:65-73.
7. Goldstein, J.R. and G. Stecklov. 2002. "Long-Range Population Projections Made Simple." Population and Development Review 28:121-41.
8. Keyfitz, N. 1971. "On the Momentum of Population Growth." Demography 8:71-80.
9. Keyfitz, N. and W. Flieger. 1968. World Population: An Analysis of Vital Data. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
10. Keyfitz, N. and W. Flieger. 1990. World Population Growth and Aging. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
11. Kim, Y.J. and R. Schoen. 1996. "Populations With Quadratic Exponential Growth." Mathematical Population Studies 6:19-33.
12. Kim, Y.J. and R. Schoen. 1997. "Population Momentum Expresses Population Aging." Demography 34:421-27.
13. Li, N. and S. Tuljapurkar. 1999. "Population Momentum for Gradual Demographic Transitions." Population Studies 53:255-62.
14. Li, N. and S. Tuljapurkar. 2000. "The Solution of Time-Dependent Population Models." Mathematical Population Studies 7:311-29.
15. Mitra, S. 1976. "Influence of Instantaneous Fertility Decline to Replacement Level on Population Growth: An Alternative Model." Demography 13:513-19.
16. Mitra, S. 1987. "Models of Birth Trajectories With Certain Patterns of Variation in Vital Rates." Genus 43:1-14.
17. Schoen, R. and Y.J. Kim. 1994. "Hyperstability." Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Population Association of America, Miami, May 5-7.
18. Schoen, R. and Y.J. Kim. 1996. "Stabilization, Birth Waves, and the Surge in the Elderly." Mathematical Population Studies 6:35-53.
19. Schoen, R. and Y.J. Kim. 1998. "Momentum Under a Gradual Approach to Zero Growth." Population Studies 52:295-99.
20. Sykes, Z. 1973. "Intrinsic Age-Specific Birth Rates: A New Method of Fertility Analysis." Unpublished manuscript, Department of Population Dynamics, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.
21. United Nations, Statistical Division. 2000. Demographic Yearbook, Historical Supplement [computer laser optical disks] (17 March). New York: United Nations.