Modeling traffic prediction uncertainty for traffic management decision support

Collection of Technical Papers - AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference

Volumn 4, Issue , 2004, Pages 2244-2258

  Wanke, Craig ^a,b   Mulgund, Sandeep ^a,b   Greenbaum, Daniel ^a,b   Song, Lixia ^a,b  

^a MITRE CORPORATION   (United States)

^b Mailstop N450 ^*  (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT (ATM); ENHANCED TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS (ETMS); NATIONAL AIRSPACE SYSTEMS (NAS); TRAFFIC FLOW MANAGEMENT (TFM);

AIRPORTS; AVIATION; COMPUTER SIMULATION; DECISION MAKING; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS; DECISION THEORY; FLIGHT DYNAMICS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; RISK MANAGEMENT; UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS;

AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL;

EID: 19944420160     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (14)

1. Enhanced Traffic Management System (ETMS) Reference Manual, Version 7.5, Report No. VNTSC-DTS56-TMS-004, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, U.S. Department of Transportation, November 2002.
2. Wanke, C, L. Carlson, J. DeArmon, S. Mayer, S. Miller, and G. Schultz, "New Tools for Strategic Route Planning: Collaborative Routing Coordination Tools," Handbook of Airline Strategy, edited by G. Butler and M. Keller, The McGraw-Hill Companies, New York, 2001.
3. Wanke, C., D. Berry, J. DeArmon, S. Miller, N. Taber, L. Rhodes, and M. Yee, "Decision Support for Complex Traffic Flow Management Actions: Integrated Impact Assessment," AIAA-2002-5015, AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference and Exhibit, Monterey, CA, 5-8 August 2002.
4. Sridhar, B., G. Chatterji, S. Grabbe, and K. Sheth, "Integration of Traffic Flow Management Decisions," AIAA-2002-3748, AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference and Exhibit, Monterey, CA, 5-8 August 2002.
5. st Digital Avionics Systems Conference, Irvine, CA.
6. Masalonis, A., M. Callaham, and C. Wanke, "Dynamic Density and Complexity Metrics for Realtime Traffic Flow Management," 5th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar, Budapest, Hungary, 23-28 June 2003.
7. Masalonis, A., S. Mulgund, L. Song, C. Wanke, and S. Zobell, "Using Probabilistic Demand Predictions for Traffic Flow Management Decision Support," submitted to the AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference and Exhibit, Providence, Rl, 16-19 August, 2004.
8. Mueller, K. T., J. A. Sorenson, and G. J. Couluris, "Strategic Aircraft Trajectory Prediction Uncertainty and Statistical Sector Traffic Load Modeling," AIAA 2000-4765, AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference and Exhibit, Monterey, CA, USA, 5-8 August 2002.
9. Meyn, L. A., "Probabilistic Methods for Air Traffic Demand Forecasting," AIAA 2000-4766, AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference and Exhibit, Monterey, CA, USA, 5-8 August 2002.
10. Wanke, C.,.M. Callaham, D. Greenbaum, A. Masalonis, "Measuring Uncertainty in Airspace Demand Predictions for Traffic Flow Management Applications," 2003 AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference and Exhibit, Austin, TX, 11-14 August 2003.
11. Brudnicki, D. J. and McFarland, A. L., "User Request Evaluation Tool (URET) Conflict Probe Results," 1st USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar, Saclay, France, 17-20 June, 1997.
12. Chan, W., R. Bach, and J. Walton, "Improving and Validating CTAS Performance Models," AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference, Denver, CO, August, 2000.
13. Krozel, J., D. Rosman, and S. R. Grabbe, "Analysis of En Route Sector Demand Error Sources," AIAA 2000-5016, AIAA Guidance, Navigation, and Control Conference and Exhibit, Monterey, CA, USA, 5-8 August 2002.
14. rd Annual Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Technical Forum, Denver, CO, USA, 17-19 Nov 2003.