Development of prediction models for motorcycle crashes at signalized intersections on urban roads in Malaysia

Journal of Transportation and Statistics

Volumn 7, Issue 2-3, 2005, Pages 27-39

  Harnen, S ^a,b   Radin Umar, R S ^a   Wong, S V ^a   Wan Hashim, W I ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY PUTRA MALAYSIA   (Malaysia)

^b BRAWIJAYA UNIVERSITY   (Indonesia)

^c SCHOOL OF PHYSICS   (Malaysia)

Author keywords

Generalized linear models; Intersection crashes; Motorcycle crash model; Motorcycle crashes; Prediction model

Indexed keywords

EID: 19644386045     PISSN: 10948848     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Arndt, O.K. and R.J. Troutbeck. 1998. Relationship Between Roundabout Geometry and Accident Rates, presented at the International Symposium on Highway Geometric Design Practices, Boston, MA.
2. Australian Transport Safety Bureau (ATSB). 2002. Road Fatalities Australia: 2001 Statistical Summary. Canberra, Australia: Department of Transport and Regional Services.
3. Bauer, K.M. and D.W. Harwood. 2000. Statistical Models of At-Grade Intersection Accidents - Addendum, Publication No. FHWA-RD-99-094. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration.
4. Department for Transport (DfT). 2002. Road Accidents Great Britain: 2001, The Casualty Report. London, England.
5. Golias, J.C. 1997. Effects of Signalization on Four-Arm Urban Junction Safety. Accident Analysis and Prevention 29(2):181-190.
6. Griebe, P. and M.A. Nielsen. 1996. Safety at Four-Armed Signalized Junctions Situated on Roads with Different Speed Limits. Proceedings of the Conference on Road Safety in Europe, VTI konferens No.7A, Part 2. Birmingham, England: VTI, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute. 151-163.
7. Harnen, S., R.S. Radin Umar, S.V. Wong, and W.I. Wan Hashim. 2003a. Motorcycle Crash Prediction Model for Non-Signalized Intersections. IATSS Research 27(2):58-65.
8. Harnen, S., R.S. Radin Umar, S.V. Wong, and W.I. Wan Hashim. 2003b. Predictive Models for Motorcycle Accidents at Three-Legged Priority Junctions. Traffic Injury Prevention 4:363-369.
9. Highway Planning Unit (HPU). 2001a. Golden River Permanent Count Station: Annual Report. Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia: Ministry of Works.
10. Highway Planning Unit (HPU). 2001b. Traffic Volume Malaysia: Biannual Report. Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia: Ministry of Works.
11. Hills, B.L. and C.J. Baguley. 1993. Accident Data Collection and Analysis: The Use of the Microcomputer Package MAAP in Five Asian Countries. Proceedings of the Conferences on Asian Road Safety (CARS'93), Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, April 6-31.
12. Kulmala, R. 1992. Prediction Model for Accidents at Highway Junctions. ITE Compendium of Technical Papers, 302-305.
13. Lynam, D., J. Broughton, R. Minton, and R.J. Tumbridge. 2001. An Analysis of Police Reports of Fatal Accidents Involving Motorcycles, Report TRL 492. Berkshire, England: TRL Limited.
14. McCullagh, P. and J.A. Nelder. 1989. Generalized Linear Models, 2nd edition. London, England: Chapman and Hall.
15. McShane, W.R., R.P. Roess, and E.S. Prasas. 1998. Traffic Engineering, 2nd edition. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall.
16. Mountain, L., B. Fawaz, and D. Jarret. 1996. Accident Prediction Models for Roads with Minor Junctions. Accident Analysis and Prevention 28(6):695-707.
17. Mountain, L., M. Maher, and B. Fawaz. 1998. The Influence of Trends on Estimates of Accidents at Junctions. Accident Analysis and Prevention 30(5):641-649.
18. Numerical Algorithm Group (NAG). 1994. The GLIM System: Release 4 Manual, 2nd edition. Edited by B. Francis, M. Green, and C. Payne. Oxford, England: Clarendon Press.
19. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). 2002. Fatalities by Traffic Participation, International Road Traffic and Accident Database (IRTAD). Paris, France.
20. Radin Umar, R.S. 1996. Accident Diagnostic System with Special Reference to Motorcycle Accidents in Malaysia, Ph.D thesis, University of Birmingham, England.
21. Radin Umar, R.S., M. Ahmad Rodzi, and A. Aminuddin. 1993. Model Diagnosis dan Rawatan Kemalangan Jalan Raya di Malaysia. Pertanika Journal of Science and Technology 1(1):125-151.
22. Radin Umar, R.S., G.M. Mackay, and B.L. Hills. 1995. Preliminary Analysis of Exclusive Motorcycle Lanes Along the Federal Highway F02 in Shah Alam, Malaysia. IATSS Research 19(2):93-98.
23. Radin Umar, R.S., G.M. Mackay, and B.L. Hills. 2000. Multivariate Analysis of Motorcycle Accidents and the Effect of Exclusive Motorcycle Lanes in Malaysia. Crash Prevention and Injury Control 2(1):11-17.
24. Rodriguez, L.P. and T. Sayed. 1999. Accident Prediction Models for Urban Unsignalized Intersections in British Columbia, presented at the 78th Annual Meetings of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, January.
25. Saied, A.M. and G.M. Said. 2001. A General Linear Model Framework for Traffic Conflicts at Uncontrolled Intersections in Greater Cairo. Proceedings of the Conferences on Traffic Safety on Three Continents, Moscow, Russia, VTI konferens 18A Part 3. Birmingham, England: VTI, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute.
26. Summersgill, I. 1991. What Determines Accident Risk? Papers on Vehicle Safety, Traffic Safety and Road User Safety Research, Safety 91. Berkshire, England: TRL Limited.
27. Swedish Institute (SI). 2000. Road Safety in Sweden. Fact Sheets on Sweden. Stockholm, Sweden.
28. Tarko, A.P., S. Eranky, K.C. Sinha, and R. Scinteie. 1999. An Attempt to Develop Crash Reduction Factors Using Regression Technique, presented at the 78th Annual Meetings of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC, January.
29. Taylor, M.C., A. Baruya, and J.V. Kennedy. 2002. The Relationship Between Speed and Accidents on Rural Single-Carriage-way Roads, Report TRL 511. Berkshire, England: TRL Limited.
30. Transport Canada. 2001. Canadian Motor Vehicle Traffic Collision Statistics. Available at www.tc.gc.ca/roadsafety/stats/menu.htm.
31. U.S. Department of Transportation (USDOT), National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, National Center for Statistics and Analysis. 2002. Traffic Safety Facts 2001: A Compilation of Motor Vehicle Crash Data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System and the General Estimates System, Report No. DOT HS 809 484. Washington, DC.
32. Vogt, A. 1999. Crash Models for Intersections: Four-Lane by Two-Lane Stop-Controlled and Two-Lane by Two-Lane Signalized, Report Number FHWA-RD-99-128. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration.
33. Vogt, A. and J.G. Bared. 1998. Accident Models for Two-Lane Rural Road. Segments and Intersections, Report Number FHWA-RD-98-133. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration.
34. Wang, Y. and H. Ieda. 1997. Effects of Drivers' Age, Flow Rate and Some Other Road Environment Related Factors on Traffic Accidents at Four-Legged Signalized Intersections, presented at the 2nd Conference of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Seoul, Korea.