The application of estimation theory to managing risk in product developments

AIAA/IEEE Digital Avionics Systems Conference - Proceedings

Volumn 1, Issue , 2002, Pages

  Deyst, John J ^a  

^a MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AERODYNAMICS; ITERATIVE METHODS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; OPTIMAL SYSTEMS; OPTIMIZATION; PROBABILITY; RISK MANAGEMENT; SOFTWARE PROTOTYPING; TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT;

AERODYNAMIC DESIGN;

PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT;

EID: 19244372300     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (14)

1. Braha, D., and Maimon, O., "The Design Process: Properties, Paradigms, and Structure," IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, vol. 27, no. 2, 1997.
2. Browning, T.R., Deyst, J.J., Eppinger, S.D., and Whitney, D.E., "Complex System Product Development: Adding Value by Creating Information and Reducing Risk," presented at Tenth Annual International Symposium of INCOSE, Minneapolis, 2000.
3. Clark, K.B., and Fujimoto, T., Product Development Performance: Strategy, Organization, and Management in the World Auto Industry. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1991.
4. Clark, K.B., and Wheelwright, S.C., Managing New Product and Process Development. New York: Free Press, 1993.
5. Feller, W., An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vols I and II. New York, John Wiley and Sons, 1966.
6. Gelb, A., editor, Applied Optimal Estimation, The M.I.T. Press, Cambridge, MA, 1974.
7. Nightingale, P., "The Product-Process-Organisation Relationship in Complex Development Projects," Research Policy, vol. 29, 2000.
8. Petroski, H., To Engineer is Human: The Role of Failure in Successful Design. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1985.
9. Reinertsen, D., "Testing: Annoyance or Opportunity," in Electronic Design, vol. 46, 1998.
10. Reinertsen, D., "Lean Thinking Isn't So Simple," in Electronic Design, vol. 47, 1999.
11. Schrader, S., Riggs, W.M., and Smith, R.P., "Choice Over Uncertainty and Ambiguity in Technical Problem Solving," Journal of Engineering and Technology Management, vol. 10, 1993.
12. Sutherland, J.W., Administrative Decision-Making: Extending the Bounds of Rationality. New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1977.
13. Thomke S., and Bell, D., "Sequential Testing in ProductDevelopment", Management Science, Vol.47,No.2,2001.
14. Verganti, R., "Leveraging on Systematic Learning to Manage the Early Phases of Product Innovation Projects," R & D Management, vol. 27, no. 4, 1997.