A heuristic method for time disaggregation of seasonal climate forecasts

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 20, Issue 2, 2005, Pages 212-221

  Schneider, Jeanne M ^a   Garbrecht, J D ^a   Unger, D A ^b  

^a USDA ARS GRAZINGLANDS RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

^b CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; ERROR ANALYSIS; HEURISTIC METHODS; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); PROBABILITY;

CLIMATE FORECASTS; SEASONAL VARIATIONS; STANDARD DEVIATION; WEATHER GENERATORS;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

CLIMATE CHANGE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 18844403650     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/WAF839.1     Document Type: Article

References (6)

1. Barnston, A. G., Y. He, and D. A. Unger, 2000: A forecast product that maximizes utility for state-of-the-art seasonal climate prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 1271-1279.
2. Briggs, W. M., and D. S. Wilks, 1996: Estimating monthly and seasonal distributions of temperature and precipitation using the new CPC long-range forecasts. J. Climate, 9, 818-826.
3. Schneider, J. M., and J. D. Garbrecht, 2002: A blueprint for the use of NOAA/CPC precipitation climate forecasts in agricultural applications. Preprints, Third Symp. on Environmental Applications, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J71-J77.
4. Schneider, J. M., and J. D. Garbrecht, 2003: Temporal disaggregation of probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Global Change and Climate Variations, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, 5.4.
5. Wilks, D. S., 2000: On interpretation of probabilistic climate forecasts. J. Climate, 13, 1965-1971.
6. Wilks, D. S., 2002: Realizations of daily weather in forecast seasonal climate J. Hydrometeor., 3, 195-207.