Numerical simulation of the impacts of climate warming on a permafrost mound

Permafrost and Periglacial Processes

Volumn 15, Issue 1, 2004, Pages 41-57

  Buteau, Sylvie ^a,b   Fortier, Richard ^a,b   Delisle, Georg ^c   Allard, Michel ^a,b  

^a CENTRE D ÉTUDES NORDIQUES   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITÉ LAVAL   (Canada)

^c FEDERAL INSTITUTE FOR GEOSCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES BGR   (Germany)

Author keywords

Climate warming; Cryostratigraphy; Numerical simulation; Thawing rate; Warm permafrost

Indexed keywords

ACTIVE LAYER; GLOBAL WARMING; ICE FEATURE; NUMERICAL MODEL; PERIGLACIAL FEATURE; PERMAFROST; STRATIGRAPHY; THAWING;

EID: 1842786567     PISSN: 10456740     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/ppp.474     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Allard M, Fortier R, Duguay C, Barrette N. 2002. A trend of fast warming in Northern Quebec since 1983. Impacts on permafrost and man-made infrastructures. AGU 2002 Fall Meeting Abstract Volume. EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union 83(47): F258.
2. Allard M, Seguin M-K. 1987. The Holocene evolution of permafrost near the tree line, on the eastern coast of Hudson Bay (Northern Québec). Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences 24: 2206-2222.
3. Allard M, Seguin M-K, Lévesque R. 1987. Palsas and mineral permafrost mounds in Northern Québec. In International Geomorphology 1986. Part II, Gardiner V (ed.). Proceedings, 1st International Symposium in Geomorphology, Manchester, UK. John Wiley & Sons: New York; 285-309.
4. Anisimov OA, Shiklomanov NI, Nelson FE. 1997. Global warming and active-layer thickness: results from transient general circulation models. Climatic Change 35: 61-77.
5. Barkovskaya YN, Yershov ED, Komarov IA, Cheveriov VG. 1983. Mechanism and regularities of changes in heat conductivity of soils during the freezing-thawing process. In Proceedings, 4th International Conference on Permafrost. Fairbanks: Alaska; 46-50.
6. Burn CR. 1992. Recent ground warming inferred from the temperature in permafrost near Mayo, Yukon Territory. In Periglacial Geomorphology, Dixon JC, Abrahams AD (eds). Wiley: New York; 327-350.
7. Burn CR. 2002. Recent permafrost warming in Northwest Canada. AGU 2002 Fall Meeting Abstract Volume. EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union 83(47): F258.
8. Carslaw HS, Jaeger JC. 1959. Conduction of Heat in Solids. Oxford University Press: London.
9. CCS. 1997. Canada Country Study: Climate Impacts and Adaptation. Volume V: Responding to Global Climate Change in Québec. Environment Canada, Ottawa.
10. Clow GD, Urban FE. 2002. Large permafrost warming in Northern Alaska during the 1990's determined from GTN-P borehole temperature measurements. AGU 2002 Fall Meeting Abstract Volume. EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union 83(47): F258.
11. Delisle G. 1998. Numerical simulation of permafrost growth and decay. Journal of Quaternary Science 13(4): 325-333.
12. Farouki OT. 1981. Thermal properties of soils. U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, CRREL Monograph 81-1, 136.
13. Fortier R, Allard M. 1998. Induced polarization and resistivity logging in permafrost. In Proceedings, 7th International Conference on Permafrost, Yellowknife, Northwest Territories, Canada, Université Laval, Québec, Nordicana 57: 275-280.
14. Fortier R, Allard M, Sheriff F. 1996. Field estimation of water-ice phase composition of permafrost samples using a calorimetric method. Canadian Geotechnical Journal 33(1): 355-362.
15. Gavrilova MK. 1993. Climate and permafrost. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 4(2): 99-111.
16. Goodrich LE. 1986. Field measurements of soil thermal conductivity. Canadian Geotechnical Journal 23(1): 51-59.
17. Haynes FD, Carbee DL, Vanpelt DJ. 1980. Thermal diffusivity of frozen soil. U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, CRREL Report 80-38.
18. Hoekstra P. 1969. The physics and chemistry of frozen soils. In Effects of Temperature and Heat on Engineering Behavior of Soils. Highway Research Board Special Report 103, 78-90.
19. IPCC. 1990. Climate Change: the IPCC Impacts Assessment, McTegart WJ, Sheldon GW, Griffiths DC (eds). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Australian Government Publishing Service, Canberra.
20. Kane DL, Hinzman LD, Zarling JP. 1991. Thermal response of the active layer to climatic warming in a permafrost environment. Cold Regions Science and Technology 19: 111-122.
21. Kersten MS. 1963. Thermal properties of frozen ground. In Proceedings, 1st International Conference on Permafrost, Lafayette: Indiana; 301-305.
22. Lachenbruch AH, Marshall BV. 1969. Heat flow in the Arctic. Arctic 22: 300-311.
23. Lachenbruch AH, Marshall BV. 1986. Changing climate: geothermal evidence from permafrost in the Alaskan Arctic. Science 234: 689-696.
24. Lachenbruch AH, Sass JH, Marshall BV, Moses TH, Jr. 1982. Permafrost, heat flow, and the geothermal regime at Prudhoe Bay, Alaska. Journal of Geophysical Research 87(B11): 9301-9316.
25. Lagarec D. 1982. Cryogenetic mounds as indicators of permafrost conditions, Northern Quebec. In Proceedings, 4th Canadian Permafrost Conference (Roger J. E. Brown memorial volume), National Research Council of Canada, Ottawa, 43-48.
26. Lagarec D, Dewez V. 1990. Dynamique do pergélisol discontinu et changement globaux dans le nord du Québec. In Proceedings, 5th Canadian Permafrost Conference, Collection Nordicana, No. 54, Université Laval, Québec, 215-222.
27. Leroueil S, Dionne G, Allard M. 1991. Collapse and consolidation during thawing of a clay silt in Kangiqsualujjuaq. Canadian Geotechnical Journal 28(5): 678-689.
28. Lunardini VJ. 1996. Climatic warming and the degradation of warm permafrost. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 7: 311-320.
29. Martynov GA. 1959. Heat and moisture transfer in freezing and thawing soils. In Principles of Geocryology. National Research Council of Canada, Ottawa, Technical Translation 1065, Chapter VI.
30. Nelson FE, Anisimov OA. 1993. Permafrost zonation in Russia under anthropogenic climatic change. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 4: 137-148.
31. Nelson FE, Lachenbruch AH, Woo M-K, Koster EA, Osterkamp TE, Gavrilova MK, Cheng Guodong. 1993. Permafrost and changing climate. Proceedings, 6th International Conference on Permafrost, Beijing, China, Vol. 2. South China University of Technology Press; 987-1005.
32. Osterkamp TE. 1987. Freezing and thawing of soils and permafrost containing unfrozen water or brine. Water Resources Research 23(12): 2279-2285.
33. Osterkamp TE, Romanovsky VE. 1999. Evidence for warming and thawing of discontinuous permafrost in Alaska. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 10: 17-37.
34. Pavlov AV. 1994. Current changes of climate and permafrost in the Arctic and sub-Arctic of Russia. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 5: 101-110.
35. Payette S, Samson H, Lagarec D. 1976. The evolution of permafrost in the taiga and forest-toundra, western Québec-Labrador Peninsula. Canadian Journal of Forestry Research 6: 203-220.
36. Penner E, Johnston GH, Goodrich LE. 1975. Thermal conductivity laboratory studies of some Mackenzie Highway soils. Canadian Geotechnical Journal 12(3): 271-288.
37. Raznjevic K. (Editor-in-Chief) 1976. Handbook of Thermodynamic Tables and Charts. Edited by Hemisphere Publishing Corporation, McGraw-Hill Book Company: New York.
38. Riseborough DW. 1990. Soil latent heat as a filter of the climate signal in permafrost. In Proceedings, 5th Canadian Permafrost Conference, Collection Nordicana, No. 54, Université Laval, Québec, 199-205.
39. Romanovsky VE. 2002. Effect of climate change on permafrost in Alaska: short-term (decadal) variability and long-term (millennial) changes. AGU 2002 Fall Meeting Abstract Volume. EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union 83(47): F258.
40. Romanovsky VE, Osterkamp TE. 1995. Interannual variations of the thermal regime of the active layer and near-surface permafrost in Northern Alaska. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 6: 313-335.
41. Romanovsky VE, Osterkamp TE. 2000. Effects of unfrozen water on heat and mass transport processes in the active layer and permafrost. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 11: 219-239.
42. Romanovsky VE, Garagula LS, Seregina NV. 1992. Freezing and thawing of soils under the influence of 300- and 90-year periods of temperature fluctuation. Proceedings, International Conference on the Role of Polar Regions in Global Change, Vol. 2. Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska: Fairbanks; 543-548.
43. Sawada S. 1977. Temperature dependence of thermal conductivity of frozen soil. Kitami Technical College, Kirami, Hokkaido, Japan, Research Report, 9(1).
44. Seguin M-K, Allard M. 1984. Le pergélisol et les processus thermokarstiques de la région de la rivière Nastapoca, Nouveau-Québec. Géographie physique et Quaternaire 38(1): 11-25.
45. Smith GD. 1965. Numerical Solution of Partial Differential Equations. Oxford University Press: London.
46. Smith MW, Riseborough DW. 1983. Permafrost sensitivity to climatic change. In Proceedings, 4th International Conference on Permafrost, Vol. I. Fairbanks, Alaska, National Academy Press: Washington, DC; 1178-1183.
47. Topp GC, Davis JL, Annan AP. 1980. Electromagnetic determination of soil water content: Measurement in coaxial transmission lines. Water Resources Research 16: 574-582.
48. Van Wijk WR, Bruijn PJ. 1964. Determination of thermal conductivity and volumetric heat capacity of soils near the surface. Proceedings, Soil Science Society 461-464.
49. Waelbroeck C. 1993. Climate-soil processes in the presence of permafrost: a system modelling approach. Ecological Modeling 69: 185-225.
50. Wang B, French HM. 1994. Climate controls and high-altitude permafrost, Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau, China. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 5: 87-100.
51. Zhang T, Stamnes K. 1998. Impact of climatic factors on the active layer and permafrost at Barrow, Alaska. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 9: 229-246.