Characterization of model error in a simulation of fine particulate matter exposure distributions of the working age population in helsinki, Finland

Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association

Volumn 55, Issue 4, 2005, Pages 446-457

  Hänninen, Otto O ^a   Tuomisto, Jouni T ^a   Jantunen, Matti J ^a   Lebret, Erik ^b  

^a NATIONAL PUBLIC HEALTH INSTITUTE   (Finland)

^b NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC HEALTH AND THE ENVIRONMENT   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONCENTRATION (PROCESS); ERROR ANALYSIS; INFILTRATION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; MEASUREMENT ERRORS; POPULATION STATISTICS; PUBLIC POLICY;

EXPOSURE DISTRIBUTIONS; INFILTRATION FACTORS; MODEL ERRORS; PROBABILISTIC SIMULATION;

PARTICLES (PARTICULATE MATTER);

AMBIENT AIR; ARTICLE; FINLAND; INDOOR AIR POLLUTION; MEASUREMENT ERROR; MICROENVIRONMENT; MODEL; OCCUPATIONAL EXPOSURE; PARTICULATE MATTER; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SIMULATION; WORKER; ADULT; AGE; AIR POLLUTANT; EMPLOYMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HUMAN; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; PARTICLE SIZE; PUBLIC HEALTH; REPRODUCIBILITY; THEORETICAL MODEL;

ADULT; AGE FACTORS; AIR POLLUTANTS; EMPLOYMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE; FEMALE; FINLAND; FORECASTING; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PARTICLE SIZE; PUBLIC HEALTH; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS;

EID: 17844410692     PISSN: 10962247     EISSN: 21622906     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/10473289.2005.10464634     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Oreskes, N., Shraderfrechette, K., Belitz, K. Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical-Models in the Earth-Sciences; Science 1994, 263, 641-646.
2. Konikow, L.F., Bredehoeft, J.D. Groundwater Models Cannot Be Validated; Adv. Water Resour. 1992, 15, 75-83.
3. Anderson, M.P., Woessner, W.W. The Role of the Postaudit in Model Validation; Adv. Water Resour. 1992, 15, 167-173.
4. Cullen, A.C., Frey, H.C. Probabilistic Techniques in Exposure Assessment; Plenum Press: New York, 1999.
5. Morgan, M.G., Henrion, M. Uncertainty; Cambridge University Press, NewYork, 1990.
6. Ott, W., Thomas, J., Mage, D., Wallace, L. Validation of the Simulation of Human Activity and Pollutant Exposure (Shape) Model Using Paired Days from the Denver, CO, Carbon Monoxide Study; Atmos. Environ. 1988, 22, 2101-2113.
7. Frey, H.C., Rhodes, D.S. Characterizing, Simulating and Analyzing Variability and Uncertainty, an Illustration of Methods Using an air Toxics Emissions Example; Hum. Ecol. Risk Assess. 1996, 2, 762-797.
8. Law, P.L., Lioy, P.J., Zelenka, M.P., Huber, A.H., McCurdy, T.R. Evaluation of a Probabilistic Exposure Model Applied to Carbon Monoxide (PNEM/co) Using Denver Personal Exposure Monitoring Data; J. Air & Waste Manage. Assoc. 1997, 47, 491-500.
9. Freijer, J.I., Bloemen, H.J.T., deLoos, S., Marra, M., Rombout, P.J.A., Steentjes, G.M., van Veen, M.P. Modelling Exposure of the Dutch Population to Air Pollution; J. Hazard. Mater. 1998, 61, 107-114.
10. Burke, J.M., Zufall, M.J., Ozkaynak, H. A Population Exposure Model for Particulate Matter: Case Study Results for PM2.5 in Philadelphia, PA; J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 2001, 11, 470-489.
11. Yeh, S., Small, M.J. Incorporating Exposure Models in Probabilistic Assessment of the Risks of Premature Mortality from Particulate Matter; J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 2002, 12, 389-403.
12. Jantunen, M.J., Hanninen, O., Katsouyanni, K., Knoppel, H., Kuenzli, N., Lebret, E., Maroni, M., Saarela, K., Sram, R., Zmirou, D. Air Pollution Exposure in European Cities: The "EXPOLIS" Study; J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 1998, 8, 495-518.
13. Kruize, H., Haanninen, O.O., Breugelmans, O., Lebret, E., Jantunen, M. Description and Demonstration of the EXPOLIS Simulation Model: Two Examples of Modeling Population Exposure to Particulate Matter; J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 2003, 13, 87-99.
14. Haanninen, O.O., Kruize, H., Lebret, E., Jantunen, M. EXPOLIS Simulation Model: PM2.5 Application and Comparison With Measurements in Helsinki; J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 2003, 13, 74-85.
15. Wilson, W.E., Mage, D.T., Grant, L.D. Estimating Separately Personal Exposure to Ambient and Nonambient Particulate Matter for Epidemiology and Risk Assessment: Why and How; J. Air & Waste Manage. Assoc. 2000, 50, 1167-1183.
16. Hänninen, O.O., Lebret, E., Ilacqua, V., Katsouyanni, K., KUnzli, N., Sram, R.J., Jantunen, M.J. Infiltration of Ambient PM2.5 and Levels of Indoor Generated Non-ETS PM2.5 in Residences of Four European Cities; Atmos. Environ. 2004, 38, 6411-6423.
17. Dockery, D.W., Spengler, J.D. Indoor-Outdoor Relationships of Respirable Sulfates and Particles; Atmos. Environ. 1981, 15, 335-343.
18. Ryan, P.B., Spengler, J.D., Letz, R. Estimating Personal Exposures to NO2; Environ. Int. 1986, 12, 395-400.
19. Rotko, T., Oglesby, L., Kunzli, N., Jantunen, M. Population Sampling in European Air Pollution Exposure Study, EXPOLIS: Comparisons between the Cities and Representativity of the Samples; J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 2000, 10, 355-364.
20. Koistinen, K.J., Kousa, A., Tenhola, V., Hanninen, O.O., Jantunen, M.J., Oglesby, L., Kunzli, N., Georgoulis, L. Fine Particle (PM2.5) Measurement Methodology, Quality Assurance Procedures, and Pilot Results of the EXPOLIS Study; J. Air & Waste Manage. Assoc. 1999, 49, 1212-1220.
21. Mathys, P., Stern, W.B., Oglesby, L., Braun-Fahrländer, C., Acker-mann-Liebrich, U., Jantunen, M.J., Künzli, N. Elemental Analysis of Airborne Particulate Matter by ed-xrf within the European EXPOLIS Study; ICP Inf. Newsl. 2001, 27, 29-34.
22. Hänninen, O.O., Koistinen, K.J., Kousa, A., Keski-Karhu, J., Jantunen, M.J. Quantitative Analysis of Environmental Factors in Differential Weighing of Blank Teflon Filters; J. Air & Waste Manage. Assoc. 2002, 52, 134-139.
23. Hänninen, O.O., Alm, S., Kaarakainen, E., Jantunen, M. The EXPOLIS Databases. B13/2002. Publications of the National Public Health Institute. KTL: Kuopio, Finland, 2002.
24. Kousa, A., Oglesby, L., Koistinen, K., Kunzli, N., Jantunen, M. Exposure Chain of Urban air PM2.5-Associations between Ambient Fixed Site, Residential Outdoor, Indoor, Workplace and Personal Exposures in Four European Cities in the EXPOLIS-Study; Atmos. Environ. 2002, 36, 3031-3039.
25. Ott, W.R. A Physical Explanation of the Lognormality of Pollutant Concentrations; J. Air & Waste Manage. Assoc. 1990, 40, 1378-1383.
26. Wacholder, S. When Measurement Errors Correlate with Truth-Surprising Effects of Nondifferential Misclassification; Epidemiology 1995, 6, 157-161.
27. Ott, W.R. Environmental Statistics and Data Analysis; Lewis Publishers, CRC Press: Boca Raton, FL, 1995.
28. Small, M. Probability Distributions and Statistical Estimation. In Uncertainty; Morgan, M.G., Henrion, M., Eds. Cambridge University Press: New York, 1990, pp 73-101.
29. Campbell, M.J., Gardner, M.J. Calculating Confidence Intervals for Some Non-Parametric Analyses. In Statistics with Confidence; Gardner, M.J., Altman, D.G., Eds. British Medical Journal: London, 1989, pp. 71-79.
30. Ozkaynak, H., Xue, J., Spengler, J., Wallace, L., Pellizzari, E., Jenkins, P. Personal Exposure to Airborne Particles and Metals: Results from the Particle TEAM Study in Riverside, California; J. Expo. Anal. Environ. Epidemiol. 1996, 6, 57-78.
31. Rotko, T., Haänninen, O., Jantunen, M. Time Used in Traffic by Sociodemographic Groups in EXPOLIS-Helsinki. In Proceedings oftheAnnual Conference of ISEA/ISEE; ISEA/ISEE 2002 Secretariat: Vancouver, Canada, 2002.