The reliability and validity of Bayesian measures for hospital profiling: A Monte Carlo assessment

Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference

Volumn 128, Issue 1, 2005, Pages 109-122

  Austin, Peter C ^a,b  

^a INSTITUTE FOR CLINICAL EVALUATIVE SCIENCES   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

Author keywords

Bayesian models; Hospital mortality; Hospital report cards; Monte Carlo methods; Outcome assessment; Provider profiling; Quality of Care

Indexed keywords

EID: 15344344514     PISSN: 03783758     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2003.10.006     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Alter D.A. Naylor C.D. Austin P.C. Tu J.V. Long-term MI outcomes at hospitals with or without on-site revascularization J. Am. Med. Assoc. 285 2001 2101-2108
2. Austin P.C. A comparison of Bayesian methods for profiling hospital performance Med. Dec. Making 22 2002 160-169
3. Austin P.C. Naylor C.D. Tu J.V. A comparison of a Bayesian versus a frequentist method for profiling hospital performance J. Eval. Clin. Practice 7 2001 35-45
4. Austin P.C. Alter D.A. Tu J.V. The use of fixed and random effects models for classifying hospitals as mortality outliers: A Monte Carlo assessment Med. Dec. Making 23 2003 526-539
5. Burgess J.F.Jr. Christiansen C.L. Michalak S.E. Morris C.N. Medical profiling: Improving standards and risk adjustments using hierarchical models. J. Health Econ. 19 2000 291-309
6. Christiansen C.L. Morris C.N. Improving the statistical approach to health care provider profiling Ann. Intern. Med. 127 1997 764-768
7. DeLong E.R. Peterson E.D. DeLong D.M. Muhlbaier L.H. Hackett S. Mark D.B. Comparing risk-adjustment methods for provider profiling Statist. Med. 16 1997 2645-2664
8. Geweke J. Evaluating the accuracy of sampling-based approaches to calculating posterior moments Bernardo J.M. Berger J.O. Dawid A.P. Smith A.F.M. Bayesian Statistics 4 1994 169-193 Clarendon Press Oxford
9. Gilks W.R. Thomas A. Spiegelhalter D.J. A language and program for complex Bayesian modelling Statistician 43 1994 169-178
10. Gilks W.R. Richardson S. Spiegelhalter D.J. Introducing Markov chain Monte Carlo Gilks W.R. Richardson S. Spiegelhalter D.J. Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice 1996 1-19 Chapman & Hall London
11. Goldstein H. Spiegelhalter D.J. League tables and their limitations: Statistical issues in comparisons of institutional performance J. Roy. Statist. Soc. A. 159 1996 385-443
12. Hofer T.P. Hayward R.A. Identifying poor-quality hospitals. Can hospital mortality rates detect quality problems for medical diagnoses? Med. Care 34 1996 737-753
13. Leyland A.H. Boddy F.A. League tables and acute myocardial infarction Lancet 351 1998 555-558
14. Localio A.R. Hamory B.H. Cocks Fisher A. TenHave T.R. The public release of hospital and physician mortality data in Pennsylvania. A case study Med. Care 35 1997 272-286
15. Luft, H.S., Romano, P.S., Remy, L.L., Rainwater, J., 1993. Annual Report of the California Hospital Outcomes Project. California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development, Sacramento, CA.
16. Marshall E.C. Spiegelhalter D.J. Reliability of league tables of in vitro fertilisation clinics: Retrospective analysis of live birth rates Br. Med. J. 316 1998 1701-1705
17. MRC Biostatistics Unit, 1995. BUGS version 0.603. Cambridge, UK.
18. Naylor, C.D., Rothwell, D.M., Tu, J.V., Austin, P.C., and the Cardiac Care Network Steering Committee, 1999. Outcomes of coronary artery bypass graft surgery in Ontario. In: Naylor, C.D., Slaugher, P.M. (Eds.), Cardiovascular Health Services in Ontario: An ICES Atlas. Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Canada, pp. 189-197.
19. New York State Department of Health, 1992. Coronary artery bypass graft surgery in New York State 1989-1991. New York State Department of Health, Albany, New York.
20. Normand S.L. Glickman M.E. Gatsonis C.A. Statistical methods for profiling providers of medical care: Issues and applications J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 92 1997 803-814
21. Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council, 1996. Focus on heart attack in Pennsylvania. Research methods and results. Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council, Harrisburg, PA.
22. Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council, 1995. A Consumer Guide to Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery. Vol. 4. Pennsylvania Health Care Cost Containment Council, Harrisburg, PA.
23. Scottish Office, 1994. Clinical Outcome Indicators, 1993. Clinical Resource and Audit Group, Edinburgh.
24. Scottish Office, 1995. Clinical Outcome Indicators, 1994. Clinical Resource and Audit Group, Edinburgh.
25. Spiegelhalter D.J. Aylin P Best N.G. Evans S.J.W. Murray G.D. Commissioned analysis of surgical performance using routine data: Lessons from the Bristol inquiry J. Roy. Statist. Soc. A. 165 2002 191-231
26. Thomas J.W. Hofer T.P. Accuracy of risk-adjusted mortality rate as a measure of hospital quality of care Med. Care 37 1999 83-92
27. Thomas N. Longford N.T. Rolph J.E. Empirical Bayes methods for estimating hospital-specific mortality rates Statist. Med. 13 1994 889-903
28. Tu J.V. Austin P. Naylor C.D. Iron K. Zhang H. Acute myocardial infarction outcomes in Ontario Naylor C.D. Slaugher P.M. Cardiovascular Health Services in Ontario: An ICES Atlas 1999 83-110 Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences Toronto, Canada
29. Tu J.V. Naylor C.D. Austin P. Temporal changes in the outcomes of acute myocardial infarction in Ontario, 1992-1996 Can. Med. Assoc. J. 161 10 1999 1257-1261
30. Tu J.V. Austin P.C. Walld R. Roos L. Agras J. McDonald K.M. Development and validation of the Ontario acute myocardial mortality prediction rules J. Am. Coll. Cardiol. 37 2001 992-997
31. Tu J.V. Austin P.C. Chan B.T.B. Relationship between annual volume of patients treated by admitting physician and mortality after acute myocardial infarction J. Am. Med. Assoc. 285 2001 3116-3122