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Volumn 307, Issue 5716, 2005, Pages 1769-1772

How much more global warming and sea level rise?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COOLING; EARTH ATMOSPHERE; GLOBAL WARMING; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; SEA LEVEL; THERMAL EXPANSION;

EID: 15244341046     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.1106663     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (532)

References (35)
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    • note
    • The 20th-century solar forcing in the PCM is from (33). The 20th-century solar forcing in the CCSM3 is from (34).
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    • note
    • The sea level rise at the year 2100 in the 20th-century stabilization experiment is greater in the CCSM3 than in the PCM in Fig. 1C relative to the 1980-1999 base period, but they both have about the same percentage increase as compared to the total sea level rise that occurred during the 20th century in the respective models as depicted in Fig. 3. This is because the CCSM3 has greater total sea level rise during the 20th century than does the PCM (4.5 cm compared to 3.0 cm, respectively), partly due to the higher sensitivity of the CCSM3 as well as the comparative meridional overturning circulation processes discussed in the text.
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    • note
    • We acknowledge the efforts of a large group of scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), at several U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration labs, and at universities across the United States who contributed to the development of the CCSM3 and who participated in formulating the 20th-century and future climate change simulations through the CCSM working groups on atmosphere, ocean, land surface, polar climate, climate change, climate variability, paleoclimate, biogeochemistry, and software engineering. In particular, we thank A. Middleton and V. Wayland from NCAR and M. Wehner at the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC) for their work in either running the model experiments or managing the massive amount of model data. The formidable quantity of supercomputer resources required for this ambitious modeling effort was made available at NCAR through the initiative Nodes and the Climate System laboratory and through DOE as part of its Advanced Scientific Research (ASCR). ASCR provides computing facilities at NERSC, Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), and the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) Center for Computational Science. Additional simulations with the CCSM3 were performed by the Central Research Institute for the Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI), using the Earth Simulator in Japan through the international research consortium of CRIEPI, NCAR, and LANL under the Project for Sustainable Coexistence of Human Nature and the Earth of the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology. Portions of this study were supported by the Office of Biological and Environmental Research, DOE, as part of its Climate Change Prediction Program; and by the National Center for Atmospheric Research. This work was also supported in part by the Weather and Climate Impact Assessment Initiative at NCAR. NCAR is sponsored by NSF.


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