메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 31, Issue 22, 2004, Pages 1-4

Measuring the potential utility of seasonal climate predictions

Author keywords

1620 Global Change: Climate dynamics (3309); 1869 Hydrology: Stochastic processes; 3339 Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics: Ocean atmosphere interactions (0312, 4504); 3354 Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics: Precipitation (1854); 4522 Oceanography: Physical: El Nino

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ENTROPY; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); SEA LEVEL; STATISTICAL METHODS;

EID: 14044269320     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2004GL021575     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (41)

References (16)
  • 2
    • 8744221249 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability and information theory, part I: Measures of predictability
    • DelSole, T. (2004), Predictability and information theory, part I: Measures of predictability, J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 2425-2440.
    • (2004) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.61 , pp. 2425-2440
    • DelSole, T.1
  • 3
    • 0033609587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating precipitation anomalies over eastern and southern Africa
    • Goddard, L., and N. E. Graham (1999), The importance of the Indian Ocean for simulating precipitation anomalies over eastern and southern Africa, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19,099-19,116.
    • (1999) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.104
    • Goddard, L.1    Graham, N.E.2
  • 4
    • 0036646756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring dynamical prediction utility using relative entropy
    • Kleeman, R. (2002), Measuring dynamical prediction utility using relative entropy, J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 2057-2072.
    • (2002) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.59 , pp. 2057-2072
    • Kleeman, R.1
  • 5
    • 0032694914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new method for determining the reliability of dynamical ENSO predictions
    • Kleeman, R., and A. M. Moore (1999), A new method for determining the reliability of dynamical ENSO predictions, Mon. Weather Rev., 127, 694-705.
    • (1999) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.127 , pp. 694-705
    • Kleeman, R.1    Moore, A.M.2
  • 6
    • 0029500117 scopus 로고
    • Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions
    • Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling (1995), Prospects and limitations of seasonal atmospheric GCM predictions, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 76 335-345.
    • (1995) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.76 , pp. 335-345
    • Kumar, A.1    Hoerling, M.P.2
  • 7
    • 0034277373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in the spread of the variability of the seasonal mean atmospheric states associated with ENSO
    • Kumar, A., A. G. Barnston, P. Peng, M. P. Hoerling, and L. Goddard (2000), Changes in the spread of the variability of the seasonal mean atmospheric states associated with ENSO, J. Clim., 13, 3139-3151.
    • (2000) J. Clim. , vol.13 , pp. 3139-3151
    • Kumar, A.1    Barnston, A.G.2    Peng, P.3    Hoerling, M.P.4    Goddard, L.5
  • 8
    • 8744297806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A mathematical framework for quantifying predictability through relative entropy
    • Majda, A. J., R. Kleeman, and D. Cai (2002), A mathematical framework for quantifying predictability through relative entropy, Meth. Appl. Anal., 9, 425-444.
    • (2002) Meth. Appl. Anal. , vol.9 , pp. 425-444
    • Majda, A.J.1    Kleeman, R.2    Cai, D.3
  • 9
    • 0001874416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic precipitation anomalies associated with ENSO
    • Mason, S. J., and L. Goddard (2001), Probabilistic precipitation anomalies associated with ENSO, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 82, 619-638.
    • (2001) Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. , vol.82 , pp. 619-638
    • Mason, S.J.1    Goddard, L.2
  • 10
    • 0034233140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representing 20th century space-time climate variability. II: Development of 1901-1996 monthly terrestrial climate fields
    • New, M. G., M. Hulme, and P. D. Jones (2000), Representing 20th century space-time climate variability. II: Development of 1901-1996 monthly terrestrial climate fields, J. Clim., 13, 2217-2238.
    • (2000) J. Clim. , vol.13 , pp. 2217-2238
    • New, M.G.1    Hulme, M.2    Jones, P.D.3
  • 11
    • 0003815148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM-4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate
    • Tech. Rep. 218, Max-Planck Inst. for Meteorol., Hamburg, Germany
    • Roeckner, E., K. Arpe, L. Bengtsson, M. Christoph, M. Claussen, L. Dümenil, M. Esch, M. Giorgetta, U. Schlese, and U. Schulzweida (1996), The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM-4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate, Tech. Rep. 218, 90 pp., Max-Planck Inst. for Meteorol., Hamburg, Germany.
    • (1996) , pp. 90
    • Roeckner, E.1    Arpe, K.2    Bengtsson, L.3    Christoph, M.4    Claussen, M.5    Dümenil, L.6    Esch, M.7    Giorgetta, M.8    Schlese, U.9    Schulzweida, U.10
  • 12
    • 0000335197 scopus 로고
    • Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation
    • Ropelewski, C., and M. Halpert (1987), Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, Mon. Weather Rev., 115, 1606-1626.
    • (1987) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.115 , pp. 1606-1626
    • Ropelewski, C.1    Halpert, M.2
  • 13
    • 0032004271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing potential seasonal predictability with an ensemble of multidecadal GCM simulations
    • Rowell, D. P. (1998), Assessing potential seasonal predictability with an ensemble of multidecadal GCM simulations, J. Clim., 11, 109-120.
    • (1998) J. Clim. , vol.11 , pp. 109-120
    • Rowell, D.P.1
  • 14
    • 0034670340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes of probability associated with El Niño
    • Sardeshmukh, P. D., G. P. Compo, and C. Penland (2000), Changes of probability associated with El Niño, J. Clim., 13, 4268-4286.
    • (2000) J. Clim. , vol.13 , pp. 4268-4286
    • Sardeshmukh, P.D.1    Compo, G.P.2    Penland, C.3
  • 15
    • 0033208415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A conceptual framework for predictability studies
    • Schneider, T., and S. Griffies (1999), A conceptual framework for predictability studies, J. Clim., 12, 3133-3155.
    • (1999) J. Clim. , vol.12 , pp. 3133-3155
    • Schneider, T.1    Griffies, S.2
  • 16
    • 0032999101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between ensemble spread and ensemble mean skill
    • Whitaker, J. S., and A. F. Loughe (1998), The relationship between ensemble spread and ensemble mean skill, Mon. Weather Rev., 126, 3292-3302.
    • (1998) Mon. Weather Rev. , vol.126 , pp. 3292-3302
    • Whitaker, J.S.1    Loughe, A.F.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.