Comparison of North-American pollen-based temperature and global lake-status with CCCma AGCM2 output at 6 ka

Quaternary Science Reviews

Volumn 23, Issue 3-4, 2004, Pages 225-244

  Sawada, M ^a   Viau, A E ^a   Vettoretti, G ^b   Peltier, W R ^b   Gajewski, K ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OTTAWA   (Canada)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; EVAPORATION; OPTIMIZATION; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY);

PALEOCLIMATE RECONSTRUCTIONS;

CLIMATOLOGY;

CALIBRATION; CLIMATE MODELING; HOLOCENE; PALEOCLIMATE; PALYNOLOGY;

NORTH AMERICA;

EID: 1242299597     PISSN: 02773791     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2003.08.005     Document Type: Article

References (97)

1. Anderson P., Bartlein P.J., Brubaker L., Gajewski K., Ritchie J.C. Modern analogues of Late Quaternary pollen spectra from the western interior of North America. Journal of Biogeography. 16:1989;573-596.
2. Anselin L. Local indicators of spatial association - LISA. Geographical Analysis. 27:1995;93-115.
3. Avizinis, J., Webb III, T., 1985. The computer file of modern pollen and climatic data at Brown University. Department of Geological Sciences, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912.
4. Bartlein P.J., Webb T. III Mean July temperature at 6000. yr B.P. in eastern North America regression equations for estimates from fossil-pollen data Syllogeus. 55:1985;301-342.
5. Bartlein P.J., Anderson K., Anderson P., Edwards M., Mock C., Thompson R., Webb R.S., Webb T. III, Whitlock C. Paleoclimate simulations for North America over the past 21,000 years. features of the simulated climate and comparisons with paleoenvironmental data Quaternary Science Reviews. 17:1998;549-585.
6. Braconnot, P., Loutre, M.-F., Dong, B., Joussaume, S., Valdes, P., PMIP participating groups, 2002. How the simulated change in monsoon at 6 ka BP is related to the simulation of the modern climate: results from the paleoclimate modeling intercomparison experiment. Climate Dynamics 19, 107-121.
7. Broccoli A.J., Marciniak E.P. Comparing simulated glacial climate and paleodata. a reexamination Paleoceanography. 11:1996;3-14.
8. Cheddadi R., Yu G., Guiot J., Harrison S.P., Prentice I.C. The climate of Europe 6000 years ago. Climate Dynamics. 13:1997;1-9.
9. Claussen M., Gayler V. The greening of the Sahara during the mid-Holocene. results of an interactive atmosphere-biome model Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters. 6:1997;369-377.
10. Cliff A.D., Ord J.K. Spatial Autocorrelation. 1973;Pion, London, UK.
11. Coe M.T., Harrison S.P. The water balance of northern Africa during the mid-Holocene. an evaluation of the 6 ka BP PMIP simulations Climate Dynamics. 19:2002;155-166.
12. COHMAP Members, 1994. Oxford Lake Levels Database, IGBP PAGES/World Data Center A for Paleoclimatology. Data Contribution Series 94-028, NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology. Program, Boulder, CO, USA.
13. Contributors to the GPD, 1999. IGBP PAGES/World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder, CO, USA. http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/paleo/ .
14. Davison, A.C., Hinkley, D.V., 1998. Bootstrap Methods and their Application. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 412pp.
15. De Noblet-Ducoudré N., Claussen M., Prentice I.C. Mid-Holocene greening of the Sahara. first results of the GAIM 6000 year BP experiment with two asynchronously coupled atmosphere/biome models Climate Dynamics. 16:2000;643-659.
16. Doherty R., Kutzbach J.E., Foley J., Pollard D. Fully coupled climate/dynamical vegetation models simulations over northern Africa during the mid-Holocene. Climate Dynamics. 16:2000;561-573.
17. Dyke A.S., Prest V.K. Late Wisconsinan and Holocene history of the Laurentide ice sheet. Géographie Physique et Quaternaire. 41:1987;237-263.
18. 14C. yr. BP Journal of Biogeography. 27:2000;521-554.
19. Fiorino, M., 1996. http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/amip/AMIP2EXPDSN/BCS\OBS/ amip2\ bcs.htm .
20. Foley J., Kutzbach J.E., Coe M., Levis S. Feedbacks between climate and boreal forests during the Holocene epoch. Nature. 371:1994;52-54.
21. Gajewski K. The role of paleoecology in the study of global climatic change. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology. 79:1993;141-151.
22. Gajewski, K., 1999. The Canadian pollen database. http://www.uottawa.ca/ academic/arts/geographie/lpcweb/ .
23. Gajewski K., Vance R., Sawada M., Fung I., Gignac L.D., Halsey L., John J., Maisongrande P., Mandell P., Mudie P., Richard P., Sherrin A., Soroko J., Vitt D. The climate of North America and adjacent ocean waters ca. 6. ka Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences. 37:2000;661-681.
24. Grimm, E. (Ed.), 1999. North American Pollen Database and Global Pollen Database, Data archived at IGBP PAGES/World Data Center-A for Paleoclimatology, NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder, CO, USA ( www.ngdc.noaa.gov/paleo ).
25. Guiot J. Methodology of the last climate cycle reconstruction in France from pollen data. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology. 80:1990;49-69.
26. Guiot J., Harrison S.P., Prentice I.C. Reconstruction of Holocene precipitation patterns in Europe using pollen and lake-level data. Quaternary Research. 40:1993;139-149.
27. Guiot, J., Boreux, J., Braconnot, P., Torre, F., PMIP participants, 1999. Data-model comparison using fuzzy logic in paleoclimatology. Climate Dynamics 15, 569-581.
28. Harrison S.P. Lake levels and climatic change in eastern North America. Climate Dynamics. 3:1989;157-167.
29. Harrison S.P., Metcalfe S.E. Spatial variations in lake levels since the last glacial maximum in the Americas north of the equator. Zeitschift für Gletscherkunde und Glazialgeologie. 21:1985;1-15.
30. Harrison S.P., Metcalfe S.E. Variations in lake levels during the Holocene in North America. an indicator of changes in atmospheric circulation patters Géographie Physique et Quaternaire. 39:1985;141-150.
31. Harrison S.P., Jolly D., Laarif F., Abe-Ouchi A., Dong B., Herterich K., Hewitt C., Joussaume S., Kutzbach J.E., Mitchell J., de Noblet N., Valdes P. Intercomparison of simulated global vegetation distributions in response to 6. kyr BP orbital forcing Journal of Climate. 11:1998;2721-2742.
32. Hoelzmann P., Jolly D., Harrison S.P., Laarif F., Bonnefille R., Pachur H -J. Mid-Holocene land-surface conditions in northern Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. a data set for the analysis of biogeophysical feedbacks in the climate system Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 12:1998;35-51.
33. Houghton, J.T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D.J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P.J., Dai, X., Maskell, K., Johnson, C.A. (Eds.), 2001. Climate Change 2001: the Scientific Basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 881pp.
34. Jolly D., Prentice I.C., Bonnefille R., Ballouche A., Bengo M., Brenac P., Buchet G., Burney D., Cazet J.-P., Cheddadi R., Edorh T., Elenga H., Elmoutaki S., Guiot J., Laarif F., Lamb H., Lezine A.-M., Maley J., Mbenza M., Peyron O., Reille M., Reynaud-Farrera I., Riollet G., Ritchie J.C., Roche E., Scott L., Ssemmanda I., Straka H., Umer M., van Campo E., Vilmumbalo S., Vincens A., Waller M. Biome reconstruction from pollen and plant macrofossil data for Africa and the Arabian Peninsula at 0 and 6000 years. Journal of Biogeography. 25:1998;1007-1027.
35. Jolly D., Harrison S.P., Damnati B., Bonnefille R. Simulated climate and biomes of Africa during the Late Quaternary. comparison with pollen and lake status data Quaternary Science Reviews. 17:1998;629-657.
36. Joussaume, S., Taylor, K.E., 2000. The Paleoclimate modelling intercomparison project. In: Braconnot, P. (Ed.), Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP), Proceedings of the Third PMIP Workshop. WCRP-111, WMO/TD-Np 1007, ICPO Publication Series No. 34, pp. 9-24.
37. Joussaume S., Taylor K., Braconnot P., Mitchell J., Kutzbach J., Harrison S., Prentice I., Broccoli A., Abe-Ouchi A., Bartlein P., Bonfils C., Dong B., Guiot J., Herterich K., Hewitt C.D., Jolly D., Kim J., Kislov A., Kitoh A., Loutre M., Masson V., McAvaney B., McFarlane N., de Noblet N., Peltier W., Peterschmitt J., Pollard D., Rind D., Royer J., Schlesinger M., Syktus J., Thompson S. Monsoon changes for 6000 years ago. results of 18 simulations from the paleoclimate modeling intercomparison project (PMIP) Geophysical Research Letters. 26:1999;859-862.
38. Kohfield K.E., Harrison S.P. How well can we simulate past climates? Evaluating the models using global palaeoenvironmental datasets. Quaternary Science Reviews. 19:2000;321-346.
39. Kutzbach J.E., Ruddiman W.F. Model description, external forcing, and surface boundary conditions. Wright H.E., Kutzbach J.E., Webb T. III, Ruddiman W.F., Street-Perrott F.A., Bartlein P.J. Global Climates Since the Last Glacial Maximum. 1993;12-23 University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.
40. Kutzbach J.E., Street-Perrott F.A. Milankovitch forcing of fluctuations in the level of tropical lakes from 18 to 0. kyr BP Nature. 317:1985;130-134.
41. Kutzbach J.E., Webb T. III Conceptual basis for understanding Late-Quaternary climates. Wright H.E., Kutzbach J.E., Webb T. III, Ruddiman W.F., Street-Perrott F.A., Bartlein P.J. Global Climates Since the Last Glacial Maximum. 1993;5-11 University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.
42. Kutzbach J.E., Gallimore R., Harrison S.P., Behling P.J., Selin R., Laarif F. Climate and biome simulations for the past 21,000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews. 17:1998;473-506.
43. Legendre P., Fortin M.-J. Spatial pattern and ecological analysis. Vegetatio. 80:1989;107-138.
44. Masson V., Joussaume S. Energetics of the 6000-yr BP atmospheric circulation in boreal summer, from large-scale to monsoon areas. a study with two versions of the LMD AGCM Journal of Climate. 10:1997;2888-2903.
45. Masson, V., Cheddadi, R., Braconnot, P., Joussaume, S., Texier, D., PMIP participants, 1999. Mid-Holocene climate in Europe: what can we infer from PMIP model-data comparisons. Climate Dynamics 15, 163-182.
46. McFarlane N.A., Boer G.J., Blanchet J.-P., Lazare M. The Canadian Climate Centre second-generation general circulation model and its equilibrium climate. Journal of Climate. 5:1992;1013-1044.
47. Nakagawa T., Tarasov P.E., Nishida K., Gotanda K., Yasuda Y. Quantitative pollen-based climate reconstructions in central Japan. application to surface and Late Quaternary spectra Quaternary Science Reviews. 21:2002;2099-2113.
48. New M., Lister D., Hulme M., Makin I. A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas. Climate Research. 21:2002;1-25.
49. Overpeck J.T., Webb T. III, Prentice I.C. Quantitative interpretation of fossil pollen spectra. dissimilarity coefficients and the method of modern analogs Quaternary Research. 23:1985;87-108.
50. Peltier, W., 1993. Time dependent topography through glacial cycle, IGBP PAGES/World Data Center-A for paleoclimatology data contribution series 93-015, NOAA/NGDC paleoclimatology program, Boulder, CO ( ftp.ngdc.noaa.gov/paleo/pmip/ peltier_ice/ ).
51. Peltier W. Ice age paleotopography. Science. 265:1994;195-201.
52. 14C. yr B.P. as inferred from pollen data Quaternary Research. 54:2000;90-101.
53. Prentice I.C., Webb T. III BIOME 6000. reconstructing global mid-Holocene vegetation patterns from palaeoecological records Journal of Biogegoraphy. 25:1998;997-1005.
54. Prentice I.C., Guiot J., Huntley B., Jolly D., Cheddadi R. Reconstructing biomes from palaeoecological data. a general method and its application to European pollen data at 0 and 6 ka Climate Dynamics. 12:1996;185-194.
55. Prentice I.C., Harrison S.P., Jolly D., Guiot J. The climate and biomes of Europe at 6000. yr BP comparisons of model simulations and pollen-based reconstructions Quaternary Science Reviews. 17:1998;659-668.
56. Prentice, I.C., Jolly, D.,BIOME 6000 participants, 2000. Mid-Holocene and glacial-maximum vegetation geography of the northern continents and Africa. Journal of Biogeography 27, 507-520.
57. Qin B., Harrison S.P., Kutzbach J.E. Evaluation of modelled regional water balance using lake status data. a comparison of 6 ka simulations with the NCAR CCM Quaternary Science Reviews. 17:1998;535-548.
58. Sawada M. ROOKCASE. an Excel 97/2000 Visual Basic (VB) add-in for exploring global and local spatial autocorrelation Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America. 80:1999;231-234.
59. Sawada M., Gajewski K., de Vernal A., Richard P. Comparison of marine and terrestrial Holocene climatic reconstructions from northeastern North America. The Holocene. 9:1999;267-277.
60. Street F.A., Grove A.T. Environmental and climatic implications of Late Quaternary lake-level fluctuations in Africa. Nature. 261:1976;385-390.
61. Street F.A., Grove A.T. Global maps of lake-level fluctuations since 30,000 BP. Quaternary Research. 12:1979;83-118.
62. Street-Perrott F.A., Harrison S.P. Lake levels and climate reconstructions. Hecht A.D. Paleoclimate Analysis and Modelling. 1985;291-340 Wiley, New York.
63. Street-Perrott, F.A., Marchand, D.S., Roberts, N., Harrison, S.P., 1989. Global lake-level variations from 18,000 to 0 years ago: a paleoclimatic analysis. US DOE/ER/60304-H1 TR-046, US Department of Energy, Technical Report, 101pp.
64. 14C database and revised CALIB radiocarbon calibration program. Radiocarbon. 35:1993;215-230.
65. Stuiver, M., Reimer, P., 2000. Quaternary Isotope Laboratory HTML CALIB 4.2 manual. http://depts.washington.edu/qil/calib/ .
66. 14C yr BP. Journal of Biogeography. 27:2000;565-684.
67. Tarasov P., Guiot J., Cheddadi R., Andreev A., Bezusko L., Blyakkarchuk T., Dorofeyuk N., Filimonova L., Volkova V., Zernitskaya V. Climate in northern Europe 6000 years ago reconstructed from pollen data. Earth and Planetary Science Letters. 171:1999;635-645.
68. Tarasov P., Webb T. III, Andreev A., Afanas'eva N., Berezina N., Bezusko L., Blyakharchuk T., Bolikhovskaya N., Cheddadi R., Chernavskaya M., Chernova G., Dorofeyuk N., Dirksen V., Elina G., Filimonova L., Glebov F., Guiot J., Gunova V., Harrison S.P., Jolly D., Khomutova V., Kvavadze E., Osipova I., Panova N., Prentice I.C., Saarse L., Sevastyanov D., Volkova V., Zernitskaya V. Present-day and mid-Holocene biomes reconstructed from pollen and plant macrofossil data from the former Soviet Union and Mongolia. Journal of Biogeography. 25:1998;1029-1053.
69. Tarasov, P.E., Harrison, S.P., Saarse, L., Pushenko, M.Ya., Andreev, A.A., Aleshinskaya, Z.V., Davydova, N.N., Dorofeyuk, N.I., Efremov, Yu.V., Khomutova, V.I., Sevastyanov, D.V., Tamosaitis, J., Uspenskaya, O.N., Yakushko, O.F.,Tarasova, I.V, Ya, M., Elina, G.A., Elovicheva Ya.K., Filimonova, L.V., Gunova, V.S., Kvavadze, E.V., Nuestrueva, I.Yu., Pisareva, V.V., Shelekhova, T.S., Subetto, D.A., Zernitskaya, V.P., 1996. Lake status records from the FSU, database documentation version 2, Data Contrib. Ser. 96-032, IGBP PAGES/World Data Center-A for Paleoclimatology, NOAA/NGDC Paleoclimatology Program, Boulder CO, USA, 1996.
70. Tarasov, P.E., Harrison, S.P., Saarse, L., Ya Pushenko, M., Andreev, A.A., Aleshinskaya, Z.V., Davydova, N.N., Dorofeyuk, N.I., Efremov, Yu.V., Khomutova, V.I., Sevastyanov, D.V., Tamosaitis, J., Uspenskaya, O.N., Yakushko, O.F., Tarasova, I.V., 1994. Lake status records from the former Soviet Union and Mongolia: Data Base Documentation. Paleoclimatology Publications Series Report No. 2. World Data Center-A for Paleoclimatology. NOAA Paleoclimatology Program. Boulder, CO, USA, 274pp.
71. Taylor J.R. An Introduction to Error Analysis. The Study of Uncertainties in Physical Measurements:1982;University Science Books, Mill Valley, CA.
72. TEMPO, 1996. Potential role of vegetation feedback in the climate sensitivity of high-latitude regions: a case study at 6000 years B.P. Global Biogeographical Cycles 10, 727-736.
73. Texier D., de Noblet N., Harrison S.P., Haxeltine A., Jolly D., Joussaume S., Laarif F., Prentice I.C., Tarasov P. Quantifying the role of biosphere-atmosphere feedbacks in climate change. coupled model simulations for 6000 years BP and comparison with paleodata for Northern Eurasia and Northern Africa Climate Dynamics. 13:1997;865-882.
74. Texier D., de Noblet N., Braconnot P. Sensitivity of the African and Asian monsoons to mid-Holocene insolation and data-inferred surface changes. Journal of Climate. 13:2000;164-181.
75. 14C. yr BP reconstructed from pollen and packrat midden data Journal of Biogeography. 27:2000;555-584.
76. Vettoretti G., Peltier W.R. Post-Eemian glacial inception. Part I. the impact of summer seasonal temperature bias Journal of Climate. 16:2003;889-911.
77. Vettoretti G., Peltier W.R., McFarlane N. Simulations of Mid-Holocene climate using an atmospheric general circulation model. Journal of Climate. 11:1998;2607-2627.
78. Vettoretti, G., Peltier, W., McFarlane, N., PMIP participating groups, 2000. The simulated response of the climate system to changes in soil moisture parameterization under paleoclimatic boundary conditions at 6000 years before present. Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences 37, 635-660.
79. Vettoretti, G., Peltier, W.R., The sensitivity of glacial inception to orbital and greenhouse gas climate forcing. Quaternary Science Reviews, submitted.
80. Viau A., Gajewski K. Holocene variations in the global hydrological cycle quantified by objective gridding of lake level databases. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres. 106:2001;31703-31716.
81. Waelbroeck C., Labeyrie L., Duplessy J.-C., Guiot J., Labracherie M., Leclaire H., Duprat J. Improving past sea surface temperature estimates based on planktonic fossil faunas. Paleoceanography. 13:1998;272-283.
82. Webb III, T., 1985. A global paleoclimatic data base for 6000 yr BP. Final Report for DOE Contract DE-AC02-79EV10097, TRO18, Carbon Dioxide Research Division, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Office of Energy Research, US Department of Energy, Washington, DC, USA (available from N.T.I.S., Springfield, VA 22161), 155pp.
83. Webb III, T. (Ed.), 1998. Late Quaternary climates: data syntheses and model experiments. Quaternary Science Reviews 17, 465-688.
84. Webb T. III, Bartlein P.J., Kutzbach J.E. Climatic change in eastern North America during the past 18,000 years. comparisons of pollen data with model results Ruddiman W.F., Wright H.E. Jr. North America and Adjacent Oceans During the Last Deglaciation. The Geology of North America. Vol. K-3:1987;447-462 Geological Society of America, Boulder, CO.
85. Webb T. III, Bartlein P.J., Harrison S.P., Anderson K.H. Vegetation, lake levels, and climate in eastern North America during the Holocene. Wright H.E. Jr., Kutzbach J.E., Webb T. III, Ruddiman W.F., Street-Perrott F.A., Bartlein P.J. Global Climates Since the Last Glacial Maximum. 1993;415-467 University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis. (569pp).
86. Webb T. III, Anderson K., Bartlein P.J., Webb R.S. Late quaternary climate change in eastern North America. a comparison of pollen-derived estimates with climate model results Quaternary Science Reviews. 17:1998;587-606.
87. Willard D.A., Weimer L.M., Riegel W.L. Pollen assemblages as paleoenvironmental proxies in the Florida Everglades. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology. 113:2001;213-235.
88. Williams J.W. Variations in tree cover in North America since the last glacial maximum. Global and Planetary Change. 35:2002;1-23.
89. Williams J.W., Summers R.L., Webb T. III Applying plant functional types to construct biome maps from eastern North American pollen data. comparisons with model results Quaternary Science Reviews. 17:1998;607-627.
90. Williams, J.W., Bartlein, P.J., Webb III, T., 2000a. Data-model comparisons for eastern North America - inferred biomes and climate values from pollen data. In: Braconnot, P. (Ed.), Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP). Proceedings of the Third PMIP Workshop. WCRP-111, WMO/TD-Np 1007, ICPO Publication Series No. 34, pp. 77-86.
91. Williams J.W., Webb T. III, Richard P.H., Newby P. Late Quaternary biomes of Canada and the eastern United States. Journal of Biogeography. 27:2000;585-608.
92. Wright Jr., H.E., Kutzbach, J.E., Webb III, T., Ruddiman, W.F., Street-Perrott, F.A., Bartlein, P.J. (Eds.), 1993. Global Climates Since the Last Glacial Maximum. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, 569pp.
93. Yu, G., Harrison, S.P., 1995a. Lake status records from Europe: Data Base Documentation. NOAA Paleoclimatology Publications Series Report 3, 451pp.
94. Yu G., Harrison S.P. Lake status changes in northern Europe during the Holocene. Boreas. 24:1995;260-268.
95. Yu G., Harrison S.P. An evaluation of the simulated water balance of Eurasia and northern Africa at 6000. yr BP using lake status data Climate Dynamics. 12:1996;723-735.
96. Yu G., Prentice I.C., Harrison S.P., Sun X. Pollen-based biome reconstructions from China at 0 and 6000 years. Journal of Biogeography. 25:1998;1055-1069.
97. Yu G., Chen X., Ni J., Cheddadi R., Guiot J., Han H., Harrison S.P., Huang C., Ke M., Kong Z., Li S., Li W., Liew P., Liu G., Liu J., Liu Q., Liu K.-B., Prentice I.C., Qui W., Ren G., Song C., Sugita S., Sun X., Tang L., van Campo E., Xia Y., Xu Q., Yan S., Yang X., Zhao J. Palaeovegetation of China. a pollen data-based synthesis for the mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum Journal of Biogeography. 27:2000;535-664.