메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 167, Issue 2, 2004, Pages 167-174

A generic spreadsheet model of a disease epidemic with application to the first 100 days of the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in the UK

Author keywords

Disease; Epidemic; Foot and mouth; Modelling; Spreadsheet

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CONTROLLED STUDY; DISEASE CONTROL; DISEASE SEVERITY; EPIDEMIC; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE; HEALTH EDUCATION; INCUBATION TIME; SIMULATION; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; STOCHASTIC MODEL; UNITED KINGDOM;

EID: 1142311542     PISSN: 10900233     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S1090-0233(03)00149-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (6)

References (36)
  • 1
    • 0032918177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How good is the prevent model for estimating the health benefits of prevention?
    • Brønnum-Hansen H. How good is the prevent model for estimating the health benefits of prevention? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 53 1999 300-305
    • (1999) Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health , vol.53 , pp. 300-305
    • Brønnum-Hansen, H.1
  • 2
    • 0033199880 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the risk of wind-borne spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia
    • Cannon R.M. Garner M.G. Assessing the risk of wind-borne spread of foot-and-mouth disease in Australia Environment International 25 1999 713-723
    • (1999) Environment International , vol.25 , pp. 713-723
    • Cannon, R.M.1    Garner, M.G.2
  • 3
    • 0031589372 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulated airborne spread of Aujeszky's disease and foot-and-mouth disease
    • Casal J. Moreso J.M. Planas-Cuchí E. Casal J. Simulated airborne spread of Aujeszky's disease and foot-and-mouth disease Veterinary Record 140 1997 672-676
    • (1997) Veterinary Record , vol.140 , pp. 672-676
    • Casal, J.1    Moreso, J.M.2    Planas-Cuchí, E.3    Casal, J.4
  • 4
    • 1142269224 scopus 로고
    • Modelling of a simulated outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in an abattoir in Singapore
    • Chiew P.K.T. Modelling of a simulated outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in an abattoir in Singapore Singapore Journal of Primary Industries 23 1995 25-31
    • (1995) Singapore Journal of Primary Industries , vol.23 , pp. 25-31
    • Chiew, P.K.T.1
  • 5
    • 38249008743 scopus 로고
    • Simulation model of paratuberculosis control in a dairy herd
    • Collins M.T. Morgan I.R. Simulation model of paratuberculosis control in a dairy herd Preventative Veterinary Medicine 14 1992 21-32
    • (1992) Preventative Veterinary Medicine , vol.14 , pp. 21-32
    • Collins, M.T.1    Morgan, I.R.2
  • 6
    • 0034951319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is it feasible to plan secondary care services for coronary heart disease rationally? A quantified modelling approach for a UK Health Authority
    • Cornell S.J. Chilcot J.B. Brennan A. Is it feasible to plan secondary care services for coronary heart disease rationally? A quantified modelling approach for a UK Health Authority Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 55 2001 521-527
    • (2001) Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health , vol.55 , pp. 521-527
    • Cornell, S.J.1    Chilcot, J.B.2    Brennan, A.3
  • 7
    • 1142281413 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • DEFRA, Comparisons with 1967. Department of Environment Food and Rural Affairs Foot and Mouth Disease website. Available from
    • DEFRA, 2001. Comparisons with 1967. Department of Environment Food and Rural Affairs Foot and Mouth Disease website. Available from http://www.defra.gov.uk/animalh/diseases/fmd/about/current/ comparisons/chart1.asp
    • (2001)
  • 8
    • 0024850106 scopus 로고
    • Epidemiological and economic evaluation of foot-and-mouth disease control strategies in the Netherlands
    • Dijkhuizen A.A. Epidemiological and economic evaluation of foot-and-mouth disease control strategies in the Netherlands Netherlands Journal of Agricultural Science 37 1989 1-12
    • (1989) Netherlands Journal of Agricultural Science , vol.37 , pp. 1-12
    • Dijkhuizen, A.A.1
  • 9
    • 0000935143 scopus 로고
    • Development and use of models for forecasting the airborne spread of Foot-and-Mouth disease
    • Donaldson A.I. Development and use of models for forecasting the airborne spread of Foot-and-Mouth disease Journal of the Royal Agricultural Society England 149 1988 184-194
    • (1988) Journal of the Royal Agricultural Society England , vol.149 , pp. 184-194
    • Donaldson, A.I.1
  • 10
    • 0020484634 scopus 로고
    • Use of prediction models to forecast and analyse airborne spread during the foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in Brittany, Jersey and the Isle of Wight in 1981
    • Donaldson A.I. Gloster J. Harvey L.D.J. Deans D.H. Use of prediction models to forecast and analyse airborne spread during the foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in Brittany, Jersey and the Isle of Wight in 1981 Veterinary Record 110 1982 53-57
    • (1982) Veterinary Record , vol.110 , pp. 53-57
    • Donaldson, A.I.1    Gloster, J.2    Harvey, L.D.J.3    Deans, D.H.4
  • 11
    • 0035843902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: Pattern of spread and impact of interventions
    • Ferguson N.M. Donnelly C.A. Anderson R.M. The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventions Science 292 2001 1155-1160
    • (2001) Science , vol.292 , pp. 1155-1160
    • Ferguson, N.M.1    Donnelly, C.A.2    Anderson, R.M.3
  • 12
    • 0002205703 scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of alternate control strategies for foot-and-mouth in Australia: A regional approach
    • Garner M.G. Lack M.B. An evaluation of alternate control strategies for foot-and-mouth in Australia: a regional approach Preventative Veterinary Medicine 23 1995 9-32
    • (1995) Preventative Veterinary Medicine , vol.23 , pp. 9-32
    • Garner, M.G.1    Lack, M.B.2
  • 17
    • 0017178115 scopus 로고
    • A simulation spatial model of the spread of foot-and-mouth disease through the primary movement of milk
    • Hugh-Jones M.E. A simulation spatial model of the spread of foot-and-mouth disease through the primary movement of milk Journal of Hygiene 77 1976 1-9
    • (1976) Journal of Hygiene , vol.77 , pp. 1-9
    • Hugh-Jones, M.E.1
  • 18
    • 1142281405 scopus 로고
    • A stochastic distributed-delay model of disease processed in dynamic populations
    • Hurd H.S. Kaneene J.B. Lloyd J.W. A stochastic distributed-delay model of disease processed in dynamic populations Preventative Veterinary Medicine 16 1993 21-29
    • (1993) Preventative Veterinary Medicine , vol.16 , pp. 21-29
    • Hurd, H.S.1    Kaneene, J.B.2    Lloyd, J.W.3
  • 20
    • 1142293454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Notifiable viral diseases and spongiform encephalopathies of cattle, sheep and goats
    • 51-56
    • Kitching P. Notifiable viral diseases and spongiform encephalopathies of cattle, sheep and goats In Practice 19 1997 51-56 59-63
    • (1997) In Practice , vol.19 , pp. 59-63
    • Kitching, P.1
  • 21
    • 0028775285 scopus 로고
    • The 1993 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic: Epidemiological features of the four outbreaks identified in Verona province (Veneto region)
    • Maragon S. Facchia E. Moutou F. Massirio I. Vincenzi G. Davies G. The 1993 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic: epidemiological features of the four outbreaks identified in Verona province (Veneto region) Veterinary Record 135 1994 53-57
    • (1994) Veterinary Record , vol.135 , pp. 53-57
    • Maragon, S.1    Facchia, E.2    Moutou, F.3    Massirio, I.4    Vincenzi, G.5    Davies, G.6
  • 23
    • 0013117308 scopus 로고
    • A state-transition model of epidemic foot-and-mouth disease
    • P.R. Ellis, A.P.M. Shaw, A.J. Stephens (Ed.), Department of Agriculture, University of Reading
    • Miller W.M. 1978 A state-transition model of epidemic foot-and-mouth disease. In: P.R. Ellis, A.P.M. Shaw, A.J. Stephens (Ed.), New Techniques in Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics, Department of Agriculture, University of Reading
    • (1978) New Techniques in Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics
    • Miller, W.M.1
  • 24
    • 0028188754 scopus 로고
    • Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease virus
    • Moutou F. Durand B. Modelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease virus Veterinary Research 25 1994 279-285
    • (1994) Veterinary Research , vol.25 , pp. 279-285
    • Moutou, F.1    Durand, B.2
  • 26
    • 25744480141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple spreadsheet simulation model of the economic effects of Neospora caninum abortions in dairy cattle in New Zealand
    • No. 31-32
    • Pfeiffer D.U. Williamson N.B. Thorbton R.N. 1997 A simple spreadsheet simulation model of the economic effects of Neospora caninum abortions in dairy cattle in New Zealand. Epidemiologie et Sante Animale No. 31-32, 10.12.1-10.12.3
    • (1997) Epidemiologie et Sante Animale
    • Pfeiffer, D.U.1    Williamson, N.B.2    Thorbton, R.N.3
  • 27
    • 0022849915 scopus 로고
    • Meteorological influences on the spread of foot-and-mouth disease
    • Rumney R.P. Meteorological influences on the spread of foot-and-mouth disease Journal of Applied Bacteriology 61 Suppl. 15 1986 105-114
    • (1986) Journal of Applied Bacteriology , vol.61 , Issue.SUPPL. 15 , pp. 105-114
    • Rumney, R.P.1
  • 28
    • 0000369824 scopus 로고
    • The use of a geographical information system in the management of a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic
    • Sanson R.L. Liberona H. Morris R.S. The use of a geographical information system in the management of a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic Preventative Veterinary Medicine 11 1991 309-313
    • (1991) Preventative Veterinary Medicine , vol.11 , pp. 309-313
    • Sanson, R.L.1    Liberona, H.2    Morris, R.S.3
  • 29
    • 0001920285 scopus 로고
    • The potential extent of transmission of foot-and-mouth disease: A study of the movement of animals and materials in Southland, New Zealand
    • Sanson R.L. Struthers G. King P. Weston J.F. Morris R.S. The potential extent of transmission of foot-and-mouth disease: a study of the movement of animals and materials in Southland, New Zealand New Zealand Veterinary Journal 41 1993 21-28
    • (1993) New Zealand Veterinary Journal , vol.41 , pp. 21-28
    • Sanson, R.L.1    Struthers, G.2    King, P.3    Weston, J.F.4    Morris, R.S.5
  • 30
    • 0015593189 scopus 로고
    • The Hampshire epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease, 1967
    • Sellers R.F. Forman A.J. The Hampshire epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease, 1967 Journal of Hygiene 71 1973 15-34
    • (1973) Journal of Hygiene , vol.71 , pp. 15-34
    • Sellers, R.F.1    Forman, A.J.2
  • 33
    • 0035850511 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling temperature- and radiation-driven leaf area expansion in the contrasting crops potato and wheat
    • Van Delden A. Kropff M.J. Haverkort A.J. Modelling temperature- and radiation-driven leaf area expansion in the contrasting crops potato and wheat Field Crops Research 72 2001 119-142
    • (2001) Field Crops Research , vol.72 , pp. 119-142
    • Van Delden, A.1    Kropff, M.J.2    Haverkort, A.J.3
  • 35
    • 0035967153 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing foot-and-mouth
    • Woolhouse M. Donaldson A.I. Managing foot-and-mouth Nature 410 2001 515-516
    • (2001) Nature , vol.410 , pp. 515-516
    • Woolhouse, M.1    Donaldson, A.I.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.