A numerical simulation of earthquake cycles along the Nankai Trough in southwest Japan: Lateral variation in frictional property due to the slab geometry controls the nucleation position

Earth and Planetary Science Letters

Volumn 228, Issue 3-4, 2004, Pages 215-226

  Hori, Takane ^a   Kato, Naoyuki ^b   Hirahara, Kazuro ^c   Baba, Toshitaka ^a   Kaneda, Yoshiyuki ^a  

^a JAPAN AGENCY FOR MARINE EARTH SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Japan)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

^c NAGOYA UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Friction; Great earthquakes; Nankai Trough; Nucleation; Simulation

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKE CYCLE; RUPTURE SEGMENTS; SEA PLATES;

ANGLE MEASUREMENT; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ESTIMATION; NUCLEATION; SEISMOLOGY; THREE DIMENSIONAL;

EARTHQUAKES;

EARTHQUAKE; NUMERICAL MODEL; PLATE TECTONICS; SUBDUCTION ZONE;

NANKAI TROUGH; OCEANIC REGIONS; PACIFIC OCEAN; WORLD;

EID: 10644289535     PISSN: 0012821X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2004.09.033     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. K. Ishibashi K. Satake Problems on forecasting great earthquakes in the subduction zones around Japan by means of paleoseismology Zisin 50 1998 1-21
2. R.E. Wells R.J. Blakely Y. Sugiyama D.W. Scholl P.A. Dinterman Basin-centered asperities in great subduction zone earthquakes: A link between slip, subsidence, and subduction erosion? J. Geophys. Res. 108 2003 DOI:10.1029/2002JB002072
3. S. Kodaira N. Takahashi A. Nakanishi S. Miura Y. Kaneda Subducted seamount imaged in the rupture zone of the 1946 Nankaido earthquake Science 289 2000 104-106
4. M. Ando Source mechanisms and tectonic significance of historical earthquakes along the Nankai Trough, Japan Tectonophysics 27 1975 119-140
5. H. Kanamori Tectonic implications of the 1944 Tonankai and the 1946 Nankaido earthquakes Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 5 1972 129-139
6. Y. Tanioka K. Satake Detailed coseismic slip distribution of the 1944 Tonankai earthquake estimated from tsunami waveforms Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 2001 1075-1078
7. T. Baba Y. Tanioka P.R. Cummins K. Uhira The slip distribution of the 1946 Nankai earthquake estimated from tsunami inversion using a new plate model Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 132 2002 59-73
8. K. Mogi Seismicity in western Japan and long-term earthquake forecasting D.W. Simpson P.G. Richards Earthquake Prediction an Internal Review Maurice Ewing Ser. vol. 4 1981 AGU Washington, DC 43-51
9. K. Shiono Focal mechanisms of major earthquakes in southwest Japan and their tectonic significance J. Phys. Earth 25 1977 1-26
10. A. Nakanishi S. Kodaira J.O. Park Y. Kaneda Deformable backstop as seaward end of coseismic slip in the Nankai Trough seismogenic zone Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 203 2002 255-263
11. M.L. Blanpied D.A. Lockner J.D. Byerlee Fault stability inferred from granite sliding experiments at hydrothermal conditions Geophys. Res. Lett. 18 1991 609-612
12. C. Marone Laboratory-derived friction laws and their application to seismic faulting Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 26 1998 643-696
13. W.D. Stuart T. Sagiya Initial results from a three-dimensional fault model for earthquake cycles at the Nankai subduction zone Proc. Workshop on Recurrence of Great Interplate Earthquakes and its Mechanism 1999 173-180
14. H. Kuroki H.M. Ito A. Yoshida A three-dimensional simulation of crustal deformation accompanied by subduction in the Tokai region, central Japan Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 132 2002 39-58
15. H. Hirose K. Hirahara A model for complex slip behavior on a large asperity at subduction zones Geophys. Res. Lett. 29 2002 DOI:10.1029/2002GL015825
16. S. Tsuboi D. Komatitsch C. Ji J. Tromp Broadband modeling of the 2002 Denali fault earthquake on the Earth Simulator Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 139 2003 305-312
17. A. Nakanishi N. Takahashi J.O. Park S. Miura S. Kodaira Y. Kaneda N. Hirata T. Iwasaki M. Nakamura Crustal structure across the coseismic rupture zone of the 1944 Tonankai earthquake, the central Nankai Trough seismogenic zone J. Geophys. Res. 107 2002 DOI:10.1029/2001JG000424
18. K. Heki S. Miyazaki Plate convergence and long-term crustal deformation in central Japan Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 2001 2313-2316
19. S. Miyazaki K. Heki Crustal velocity field of southwest Japan: subduction and arc-arc collision J. Geophys. Res. 106 2001 4305-4326
20. J.R. Rice Spatio-temporal complexity of slip on a fault J. Geophys. Res. 98 1993 9885-9907
21. Y. Okada Internal deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 82 1992 1018-1040
22. N. Kato T.E. Tullis A composite rate- and state-dependent law for rock friction Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 2001 1103-1106
23. N. Kato T.E. Tullis Numerical simulation of seismic cycles with a composite rate- and state-dependent friction law Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 93 2003 841-853
24. S.T. Tse J.R. Rice Crustal earthquake instability in relation to the depth variation of frictional slip properties J. Geophys. Res. 91 1986 9452-9472
25. J.H. Dieterich Time-dependent friction and the mechanics of stick-slip Pure Appl. Geophys. 116 1978 790-806
26. Baba T. Slip distributions of the 1944 Tonankai and 1946 Nankai earthquakes estimated from tsunami inversion using a new plate model, Ph.D. Thesis, Kanazawa University, Kanazawa, Japan, 2003, 59 pp.
27. Japan Meteorological Agency, The Annual Seismological Bulletin of Japan for 1997-2001, published on CD-ROM (2003).
28. T. Sagiya W. Thatcher Coseismic slip resolution along a plate boundary megathrust: The Nankai Trough, southwest Japan J. Geophys. Res. 104 1999 1111-1129
29. A. Kato M. Ohnaka H. Mochizuki Constitutive properties for the shear failure of intact granite in seismogenic environments J. Geophys. Res. 108 2003 DOI:10.1029/2001JB00791
30. W.D. Stuart Forecast model for great earthquakes at the Nankai Trough subduction zone Pure Appl. Geophys. 126 1988 619-641
31. T. Rikitake Recurrence of great earthquakes at subduction zones Tectonophysics 35 1976 335-362
32. W.H. Press S.A. Teukolsky W.T. Vetterling B.P. Flannery Numerical Recipes in Fortran 77: The Art of Scientific Computing 2nd ed. 1996 Cambridge University Press New York 963 pp.
33. N. Kato T. Hirasawa A numerical study on seismic coupling along subduction zones using a laboratory-derived friction law Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 102 1997 51-68
34. M. Matsu'ura T. Sato Loading mechanism and scaling relations of large interplate earthquakes Tectonophysics 277 1997 189-198
35. D.I. Doser A.M. Veilleux M. Velasquez Seismicity of the Prince William Sound region for over thirty years following the 1964 great Alaskan earthquake Pure Appl. Geophys. 154 1999 593-632
36. P.R. Cummins T. Baba S. Kodaira Y. Kaneda The 1946 Nankai earthquake and segmentation of the Nankai Trough Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 132 2002 75-87
37. A.T. Linde I.S. Sacks Slow earthquakes and great earthquakes along the Nankai Trough Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 203 2002 265-275
38. N. Kato A possible model for large preseismic slip on a deeper extension of a seismic rupture plane Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 216 2003 17-25
39. B. Shibazaki Y. Iio On the physical mechanism of silent slip events along the deeper part of the seismogenic zone Geophys. Res. Lett. 30 2003 DOI:10.1029/2003GL017047
40. P. Wessel W.H.F. Smith New version of the generic mapping tools (GMT) version 3.0 released EOS Trans. AGU 76 1995 329
41. K. Ishibashi Specification of a soon-to-occur seismic faulting in the Tokai district, central Japan, based upon seismotectonics In D.W. Simpson P.G. Richards (Eds.) Earthquake Prediction an Internal Review Maurice Ewing Ser. vol. 4 1981 AGU Washington, DC 297-332
42. A. Sangawa The Shaking Ground Earthquake History of the Japanese Islands 1997 Dohosha Shuppan Tokyo 272 pp, in Japanese