메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 71, Issue 3, 2004, Pages 217-238

Exploring e-government futures through the application of scenario planning

Author keywords

Change; Complexity; E Government; Futures; Scenarios

Indexed keywords

DECISION THEORY; STRATEGIC PLANNING; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT; TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY;

EID: 0742267688     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0040-1625(02)00371-2     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (54)

References (48)
  • 2
    • 0002432533 scopus 로고
    • Scenario planning: A tool for strategic thinking
    • Schoemaker P.J.H. Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking Sloan Management Review 36 2 1995 25-40
    • (1995) Sloan Management Review , vol.36 , Issue.2 , pp. 25-40
    • Schoemaker, P.J.H.1
  • 3
    • 0012382558 scopus 로고
    • 'Bureaucratic' versus 'profit' organization
    • B. M Staw, & L. L. Cummings (Eds.), Greenwich, CT: JAI Press
    • Meyer M.W. 'Bureaucratic' versus 'profit' organization Staw B.M Cummings L.L. Research in Organization Behavior vol. 4 1982 89-125 JAI Press Greenwich, CT
    • (1982) Research in Organization Behavior , vol.4 , pp. 89-125
    • Meyer, M.W.1
  • 4
    • 0002938675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The paradox of managerialism
    • Maor M. The paradox of managerialism Public Administration Review 59 1 1999 5-18
    • (1999) Public Administration Review , vol.59 , Issue.1 , pp. 5-18
    • Maor, M.1
  • 6
    • 84965729008 scopus 로고
    • Public agencies and private firms: Incentives, goals and individual roles
    • Rainey H.G. Public agencies and private firms: incentives, goals and individual roles Administration and Society 15 1993 207-242
    • (1993) Administration and Society , vol.15 , pp. 207-242
    • Rainey, H.G.1
  • 7
    • 0011113365 scopus 로고
    • The 'publicness puzzle' in organization theory: A test of alternative explanations of differences between public and private organizations
    • Bozeman B. Bretschneider S. The 'publicness puzzle' in organization theory: a test of alternative explanations of differences between public and private organizations Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 4 1994 197-223
    • (1994) Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory , vol.4 , pp. 197-223
    • Bozeman, B.1    Bretschneider, S.2
  • 9
    • 0042347327 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • User involvement in organisational decision making
    • Cairns G. Beech N. User involvement in organisational decision making Management Decision 37 1 1999 14-23
    • (1999) Management Decision , vol.37 , Issue.1 , pp. 14-23
    • Cairns, G.1    Beech, N.2
  • 12
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead
    • September-October
    • Wack P. Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead Harvard Business Review September-October 1985 73-89
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , pp. 73-89
    • Wack, P.1
  • 17
    • 0002623343 scopus 로고
    • Integrating scenarios into strategic planning at Royal Dutch/Shell
    • Schoemaker P.J.H. van der Heijden C.A.J.M. Integrating scenarios into strategic planning at Royal Dutch/Shell Planning Review 20 3 1992 41-46
    • (1992) Planning Review , vol.20 , Issue.3 , pp. 41-46
    • Schoemaker, P.J.H.1    van der Heijden, C.A.J.M.2
  • 18
    • 85016854635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future-Focussed thinking: Combining scenario planning with decision analysis
    • Wright G. Goodwin P. Future-Focussed thinking: combining scenario planning with decision analysis Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis 8 1999 311-321
    • (1999) Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis , vol.8 , pp. 311-321
    • Wright, G.1    Goodwin, P.2
  • 19
    • 43249084062 scopus 로고
    • Extensional vs. intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgments
    • Tversky A. Kahneman D. Extensional vs. intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgments Psychological Review 90 1983 293-315
    • (1983) Psychological Review , vol.90 , pp. 293-315
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 20
    • 0742325156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario planning: Strategic thinking goes back to the future
    • Hyde A.C. Scenario planning: strategic thinking goes back to the future The Public Manager: The New Bureaucrat 28 3 1999 62
    • (1999) The Public Manager: The New Bureaucrat , vol.28 , Issue.3 , pp. 62
    • Hyde, A.C.1
  • 24
    • 0002432533 scopus 로고
    • Scenario planning: A tool for strategic thinking
    • Schoemaker P.J.H. Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking Sloan Management Review 6 2 1995 25-40
    • (1995) Sloan Management Review , vol.6 , Issue.2 , pp. 25-40
    • Schoemaker, P.J.H.1
  • 25
    • 0742290277 scopus 로고
    • Views on futures research methodology
    • Amora R. Views on futures research methodology Futures 23 6 1991 645-649
    • (1991) Futures , vol.23 , Issue.6 , pp. 645-649
    • Amora, R.1
  • 26
    • 0000895370 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: Issues and analysis
    • Rowe G. Wright G. The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis International Forecasting 15 1999 353-375
    • (1999) International Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 353-375
    • Rowe, G.1    Wright, G.2
  • 27
    • 0005828811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expert opinions in forecasting: Role of the Delphi technique
    • J. S. Armstrong (Ed.), Norwel, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishing
    • Rowe G. Wright G. Expert opinions in forecasting: role of the Delphi technique Armstrong J.S. Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners 2001 125-144 Kluwer Academic Publishing Norwel, MA
    • (2001) Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners , pp. 125-144
    • Rowe, G.1    Wright, G.2
  • 28
    • 0346077903 scopus 로고
    • Environmental scanning: The state of the art
    • Thomas P. Environmental scanning: the state of the art Long Range Planning 13 1 1980 20-25
    • (1980) Long Range Planning , vol.13 , Issue.1 , pp. 20-25
    • Thomas, P.1
  • 29
    • 0007048873 scopus 로고
    • Hands of futurism
    • May-June
    • Meeker M. Hands of futurism The Futurist May-June 1993 22-26
    • (1993) The Futurist , pp. 22-26
    • Meeker, M.1
  • 31
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead
    • Wack P. Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead Harvard Business Review 63 5 1985 73-89
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , vol.63 , Issue.5 , pp. 73-89
    • Wack, P.1
  • 32
    • 0003376794 scopus 로고
    • Scenario: Shooting the rapids
    • Wack P. Scenario: shooting the rapids Harvard Business Review 63 5 1985 73-89
    • (1985) Harvard Business Review , vol.63 , Issue.5 , pp. 73-89
    • Wack, P.1
  • 33
    • 0001793634 scopus 로고
    • The use of mental models for generating scenarios
    • G. Wright, & P. Ayton (Eds.), London: Wiley
    • Jungermann H. Thuring M. The use of mental models for generating scenarios Wright G. Ayton P. Judgmental Forecasting 1987 245-266 Wiley London
    • (1987) Judgmental Forecasting , pp. 245-266
    • Jungermann, H.1    Thuring, M.2
  • 34
    • 84979378595 scopus 로고
    • When and how to use scenario planning: A Heuristic approach with illustration
    • Schoemaker P.J.H. When and how to use scenario planning: a Heuristic approach with illustration Journal of Forecasting 10 1991 549-564
    • (1991) Journal of Forecasting , vol.10 , pp. 549-564
    • Schoemaker, P.J.H.1
  • 36
    • 0023401212 scopus 로고
    • Scenario planning-what style should you use?
    • Huss W.R. Honton E.J. Scenario planning-what style should you use? Long Range Planning 20 4 1987 21-29
    • (1987) Long Range Planning , vol.20 , Issue.4 , pp. 21-29
    • Huss, W.R.1    Honton, E.J.2
  • 41
    • 0009321155 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The art of scenarios and strategic planning: Tool and pitfalls
    • Godet M. The art of scenarios and strategic planning: tool and pitfalls Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65 2000 3-22
    • (2000) Technological Forecasting and Social Change , vol.65 , pp. 3-22
    • Godet, M.1
  • 42
    • 0001898118 scopus 로고
    • Initial experiments with cross impact matrix method of forecasting
    • Gordon T.J. Hayward H. Initial experiments with cross impact matrix method of forecasting Futures 1 2 1968 100-116
    • (1968) Futures , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 100-116
    • Gordon, T.J.1    Hayward, H.2
  • 45
    • 0002667697 scopus 로고
    • The use of multiple scenarios by U.S. industrial companies
    • Linneman R. Klein H.E. The use of multiple scenarios by U.S. industrial companies Long Range Planning 12 1 1979 83-90
    • (1979) Long Range Planning , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 83-90
    • Linneman, R.1    Klein, H.E.2
  • 46
    • 0040999718 scopus 로고
    • Exploring competitive futures using cognitive mapping
    • Warren K. Exploring competitive futures using cognitive mapping Long Range Planning 28 5 1995 10-21
    • (1995) Long Range Planning , vol.28 , Issue.5 , pp. 10-21
    • Warren, K.1
  • 47
    • 0002623343 scopus 로고
    • Integrating scenarios into strategic planning at Royal Dutch/Shell
    • May-June
    • Schoemaker P.J.H. van der Heijden C.A.H.M. Integrating scenarios into strategic planning at Royal Dutch/Shell Planning Review 20 3 1992 (May-June) 41-46
    • (1992) Planning Review , vol.20 , Issue.3 , pp. 41-46
    • Schoemaker, P.J.H.1    van der Heijden, C.A.H.M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.