Multi-site simulation of daily precipitation and temperature conditional on the atmospheric circulation

Climate Research

Volumn 25, Issue 2, 2003, Pages 121-133

  Beersma, Jules J ^a   Adri Buishand, T ^a  

^a ROYAL NETHERLANDS METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE KNMI   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Atmospheric circulation; Multi site; Nearest neighbour resampling; Rainfall and temperature simulation; Rhine basin

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE MODELING; NEAREST NEIGHBOR ANALYSIS; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); TEMPERATURE;

EURASIA; EUROPE; RHINE BASIN;

EID: 0347765712     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr025121     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Al-Awadhi S, Jollife I (1998) Time series modelling of surface pressure data. Int J Climatol 18:443-455
2. Bárdossy A, Plate EJ (1992) Space-time model for daily rainfall using atmospheric circulation patterns. Wat Resour Res 28:1247-1259
3. Beersma JJ, Buishand TA (1999) A simple test for equality of monthly variances in climate time series. J Chin 12: 1770-1779
4. Bellone E, Hughes JP, Guttorp P (2000) A hidden Markov model for downscaling synoptic atmospheric patterns to precipitation amounts. Clim Res 15:1-12
5. Benestad RE (2002) Empirically downscaled temperature scenarios for northern Europe based on a multi-model ensemble. Clim Res 21:105-125
6. Brandsma T, Buishand TA (1998) Simulation of extreme precipitation in the Rhine basin by nearest-neighbour resampling. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 2:195-209 (Corrigendum, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 3:319, 1999)
7. Buishand TA (1978) The binary DARMA(1, 1) process as a model for wet-dry sequences. Technical Note 78-01, Department of Mathematics, Agricultural University Wageningen
8. Buishand TA, Beersma JJ (1993) Jacknife tests for differences in autocorrelation between climate time series, J Clim 6: 2490-2495
9. Buishand TA, Beersma JJ (1996) Statistical tests for comparison of daily variability in observed and simulated climates. J Clim 9:2538-2550 (Corrigendum, J Clim 10:818, 1997)
10. Buishand TA, Brandsma T (2001) Multi-site simulation of daily precipitation and temperature in the Rhine basin by nearest-neighbour resampling. Wat Resour Res 37: 2761-2776
11. Charles SP, Bates BC, Hughes JP (1999) A spatiotemporal model for downscaling precipitation occurrence and amounts. J Geophys Res 104:31567-31669
12. Conway D, Wilby RL, Jones PD (1996) Precipitation and air flow indices over the British Isles. Clim Res 7:169-183
13. Corte-Real J, Xu H, Qian B (1999) A weather generator for obtaining daily precipitation scenarios based on circulation patterns. Clim Res 13:61-75
14. Fink A, Ulbrich U, Engel H (1996) Aspects of the January 1995 flood in Germany. Weather 51:34-39
15. Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE (2000) A stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Hydrol Earth Sys Sci 4:263-282
16. Giorgi F, Hewitson B, Christensen J, Hulme M, von Storch H, Whetton P, Jones R, Mearns L, Fu C (2001) Regional climate information - evaluation and projections. In: Houghton, JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van der Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA (eds) Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 583-638
17. Goodess CM, Palutikof JP (1998) Development of daily rainfall senarios for southeast Spain using a circulation-type approach to downscaling. Int J Climatol 18:1051-1083
18. Hughes JP, Lettenmaier DP, Guttorp P (1993) A stochastic approach for assessing the effect of changes in synoptic circulation patterns on gauge precipitation. Wat Resour Res 29:3303-3315
19. Huth R, Kyselý J, Dubrovský M (2001) Time structure of observed, GCM-simulated, downscaled, and stochastically generated daily temperature series. J Clim 14: 4047-4061
20. Jenkinson AF, Collinson FP (1977) An initial climatology of gales over the North Sea. Synoptic Climatology Branch Memorandum 62, Meteorological Office, Bracknell
21. Jones PD, Hulme M, Briffa KR (1993) A comparison of Lamb circulation types with an objective classification scheme. Int J Climatol 13:655-663
22. Lall U, Sharma A (1996) A nearest neighbor bootstrap for resampling hydrologic time series. Wat Resour Res 32: 679-693
23. Linderson ML (2001) Objective classification of atmospheric circulation over southern Scandinavia. Int J Climatol 21: 155-169
24. Palutikof JP, Goodess CM, Watkins SJ, Holt T (2002) Generating rainfall and temperature scenarios at multiple sites: examples from the Mediterranean. J Clim 15: 3529-3548
25. Qian B, Corte-Real J, Xu H (2002) Multisite stochastic weather models for impact studies. Int J Climatol 22: 1377-1397
26. Rajagopalan B, Lall U (1999) A k-nearest-neighbor simulator for daily precipitation and other variables. Wat Resour Res 35:3089-3101
27. Schubert S (1994) A weather generator based on the European 'Grosswetterlagen'. Clim Res 4:191-202
28. Stehlík J, Bárdossy A (2002) Multivariate stochastic downscaling model for generating daily precipitation series based on atmospheric circulation. J Hydrol 256:120-141
29. Wilby RL, Hassan H, Hanaki K (1998) Statistical downscaling of hydrometeorological variables using general circulation model output. J Hydrol 205:1-19
30. Wilson LL, Lettenmaier DP, Skyllingstad E (1992) A hierarchical stochastic model of large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns and multiple station daily precipitation. J Geophys Res 97:2791-2809
31. Wójcik R, Buishand TA (2003) Simulation of 6-hourly rainfall and temperature by two resampling schemes. J Hydrol 273:69-80
32. Young KC (1994) A multivariate chain model for simulating climatic parameters from daily data. J Appl Meteorol 33: 661-671
33. Zorita E, von Storch H (1999) The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: comparison with more complicated models. J Clim 12:2474-2488
34. Zorita E, Hughes JP, Lettenmaier DP, von Storch H (1995) Stochastic characterization of regional circulation patterns for climate model diagnosis and estimation of local precipitation. J Clim 8:1023-1042
35. Zwiers F, von Storch H (1990) Regime-dependent autoregressive time series modeling of the Southern Oscillation. J Clim 3:1347-1363