Studying the characteristics of arrest frequency among paroled youthful offenders

Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency

Volumn 41, Issue 1, 2004, Pages 37-57

  Lattimore, Pamela K ^b,c,d,e   MacDonald, John M ^a   Piquero, Alex R ^a,f,g   Linster, Richard L ^d,i   Visher, Christy A ^h  

^a UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA   (United States)

^b MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA   (United States)

^c RTI INTERNATIONAL   (United States)

^d NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF JUSTICE   (United States)

^e American Society of Criminology   (United States)

^f American Society of Criminology ^*  (United States)

^g MacArthur Foundation's Res Netwk

^h URBAN INSTITUTE   (United States)

ⁱ UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO   (United States)

Author keywords

Criminal careers; Negative binomial; Youthful offenders

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ANALYTIC METHOD; ARTICLE; BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION; CAREER; COHORT ANALYSIS; CRIMINAL BEHAVIOR; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; HUMAN; JUVENILE DELINQUENCY; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; OFFENDER; PRISON; PROBATION; UNITED STATES;

EID: 0345737002     PISSN: 00224278     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/0022427803256094     Document Type: Article

References (63)

1. Blumstein, A., J. Cohen, S. Das, and S. D. Moitra. 1988. "Specialization and Seriousness During Adult Criminal Careers." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 4:303-45.
2. Blumstein, A., J. Cohen, J. A. Roth, and C. A. Visher, eds. 1986. Criminal Careers and "Career Criminals," Vol. 2. Washington DC: National Academy Press.
3. Britt, C. L. 1996. "The Measurement of Specialization and Escalation in the Criminal Career: An Alternative Modeling Strategy." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 12:193-222.
4. Bushway, S., A. R. Piquero, P. Mazerolle, L. Broidy, and E. Cauffman. 2001. "A Developmental Framework for Empirical Research on Desistance." Criminology 39:491-515.
5. Cameron, A. C. and P. K. Trivedi. 1986. "Econometric Models Based on Count Data: Comparisons and Applications of Some Estimators and Tests." Journal of Applied Econometrics 1:29-53.
6. Canela-Cacho, J., A. Blumstein, and J. Cohen. 1997. "Relationship Between the Offending Frequency of Imprisoned and Free Offenders." Criminology 35:133-76.
7. Cernkovich, S. A. and P. C. Giordano. 2001. "Stability and Change in Antisocial Behavior: The Transitions from Adolescence to Early Adulthood. Criminology 39:371-410.
8. Chaiken, J. and M. Chaiken. 1982. Varieties of Criminal Behavior. Rand Report R-2814-NIJ. Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation.
9. Chaiken, M. and J. Chaiken. 1990. Redefining the Career Criminal: Priority Prosecution of High-Rate Dangerous Offenders. Washington, DC: National Institute of Justice.
10. Chaiken, M. and B. Johnson. 1988. Characteristics of Different Types of Drug-Involved Offenders. Washington, DC: National Institute of Justice.
11. Davidian, M. and R. J. Carrol. 1987. "Variance Function Estimation." Journal of the American Statistical Association 82:1079-91.
12. Dean, C. W., R. Brame, and A. R. Piquero. 1996. "Criminal Propensities, Discrete Groups of Offenders, and Persistence in Crime." Criminology 34:547-74.
13. English, K. and M. Mande. 1992. Measuring Crime Rates of Prisoners. Denver, CO: Colorado Department of Public Safety, Division of Criminal Justice, Office of Research and Statistics.
14. Farrington, D. P. 1989. "Self-Reported and Official Offending from Adolescence to Adulthood." Pp. 399-423 in Cross-National Research in Self-Reported Crime and Delinquency, edited by M. Klein. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Kluwer.
15. Farrington, D. P. and D. Hawkins. 1991. "Predicting Participation, Early Onset, and Later Persistence in Officially Recorded Offending." Criminal Behavior and Mental Health 1:1-33.
16. Gardner, W., E. P. Mulvey, and E. C. Shaw. 1995. "Regression Analyses of Counts and Rates: Poisson, Overdispersed Poisson, and Negative Binomial Models." Psychological Bulletin 118:392-404.
17. Gottfredson, D. and T. Hirschi. 1990. A General Theory of Crime. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
18. Gottfredson, S. and D. Gottfredson. 1986. Accuracy of prediction models. Pp. 212-90 in Criminal Careers and "Career Criminals", Vol. 2, edited by A. Blumstein, J. A. Ross, and C. A. Visher. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
19. Greenberg, D. F. 1991. "Modeling Criminal Careers." Criminology 29:17-46.
20. Haapanen, R. 1990. Selected Incapacitation and the Serious Offender: A Longitudinal Study of Criminal Career Patterns. New York: Springer-Verlag.
21. Haapanen, R. and N. Skonovd. 1998. Predicting Parole Performance in The Era of Crack Cocaine. California Youth Authority. Final Report. Washington, DC: National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of Justice.
22. Horney, J. and I. H. Marshall. 1991. "Measuring Lambda Through Self-Reports." Criminology 29:471-95.
23. Horney, J., D. W. Osgood, and I. H. Marshall. 1995. "Criminal Careers in the Short-Term: IntraIndividual Variability in Crime and Its Relation to Local Life Circumstances." American Sociological Review 60:655-73.
24. Johnson, B., P. J. Goldstein, E. Preble, J. Schmeidler, D. S. Lipton, B. Spunt, and T. Miller. 1985. Taking Care of Business: The Economics of Crime by Heroin Abusers. Washington, DC: Lexington Books.
25. King, G, 1989. "Variance Specification in Event Count Models." American Journal of Political Science 33:762-84.
26. Land, K. C. and D. S. Nagin. 1996. "Micro-Models of Criminal Careers: A Synthesis of the Criminal Careers and Life Course Approaches Via Semiparametric Mixed Poisson Regression Models, With Empirical Applications." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 12:163-91.
27. Lattimore, P. K., C. A. Visher, and R. L. Linster. 1994. "Specialization in Juvenile Careers: Markov Results for a California Cohort." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 10:291-316.
28. -. 1995. "Predicting Rearrest for Violence Among Serious Youthful Offenders." Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 32:54-83.
29. Lattimore, P. K., R. L. Linster, and J. M. MacDonald. 1997. "Risk of Death Among Serious Young Offenders." Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 34:187-209.
30. Laub, J. H. and R. J. Sampson. 2001. Understanding Desistance from Crime. Pp. 1-69 in Crime and Justice: An Annual Review ofResearch, volume 28, edited by M. Tonry. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
31. Lauritsen, J. 1998. "The Age-Crime Debate: Assessing the Limits of Longitudinal Self-Report Data." Social Forces 77:127-55.
32. Liao, T. F. 1994. Interpreting Probability Models: Logit, Probit, and Other Generalized Linear Models. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
33. Linster, R. L., P. K. Lattimore, J. M. MacDonald, and C. A. Visher. 1996. Who Gets Arrested? Models of the Frequency of Arrest of the Young, Chronic, Serious Offender. Washington, DC: National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of Justice.
34. Lipsey, M. W. and J. H. Derzon. 1998. "Predictors of Violent or Serious Delinquency in Adolescence and Early Adulthood: A Synthesis of Longitudinal Research. Pp. 86-105 in Serious and Violent Juvenile Offenders, edited by R. Loeber and D. Farrington. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
35. Loeber, R. and D. P. Farrington, eds. 1998. Serious and Violent Juvenile Offenders. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
36. Loeber, R. and D. F. Hay. 1997. "Key Issues in the Development of Aggression and Violence from Childhood to Early Adulthood." Annual Review of Psychology 48:371-410.
37. Long, J. S. 1997. Regression Models for Categorical and Limited-Dependent Variables. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
38. Maddala, G. S. 1983. Limited-Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics. New York: Cambridge University Press.
39. Miranne, A. and M. Geerken. 1991. "The New Orleans Inmate Survey: A Test of Greenwood's Predictive Scale." Criminology 29:497-518.
40. Moffitt, T. E. 1993. "Adolescence-limited and Life-Course-Persistent Antisocial Behavior: A Developmental Taxonomy." Psychological Review 100:674-701.
41. Nagin, D. S. 1999. "Analyzing Developmental Trajectories: A Semi-Parametric, Group-Based Approach." Psychological Methods 4:139-57.
42. Nagin, D. S. and K. C. Land. 1993. "Age, Criminal Careers, and Population Heterogeneity: Specification and Estimation of a Nonparametric, Mixed Poisson Model." Criminology 31:327-62.
43. Nagin, D. S. and R. Paternoster. 1991. "On the Relationship of Past and Future Participation in Delinquency." Criminology 29:163-90.
44. -. 2000. "Population Heterogeneity and State Dependence: State of the Evidence and Directions for Future Research." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 16:117-44.
45. Osgood, D. W. 2000. "Poisson-based Regression Analysis of Aggregate Crime Rates." Journal of Quantitative Criminology 16:21-43.
46. Paternoster, R., R. Brame, P. Mazerolle, and A. Piquero. 1998. "Using the Correct Statistical Test for the Equality of Regression Coefficients." Criminology 36:859-66.
47. Patterson, G. R. 1989. "A Developmental Perspective on Antisocial Behavior." American Psychologist 44:329-35.
48. Piquero, A. R. 2000, "Frequency, Specialization, and Violence in Offending Careers." Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 37:392-418.
49. Piquero, A. R., A. Blumstein, R. Brame, R. Haapanen, E. P. Mulvey, and D. S. Nagin. 2001. "Assessing the Impact of Exposure Time and Incapacitation on Longitudinal Trajectories of Criminal Offending." Journal of Adolescent Research 16:54-74.
50. Piquero, A. R., R. Brame, P. Mazerolle, and R. Haapanen. 2002. "Crime in Emerging Adulthood." Criminology 40:137-69.
51. Piquero, A. R., D. P. Farrington, and A. Blumstein. 2003. "The Criminal Career Paradigm: Background and Recent Developments. Pp. 359-506 in Crime and Justice: A Review of Research, volume 30, edited by M. Tonry. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
52. Piquero, A. R., R. Paternoster, P. Mazerolle, R. Brame, and C. W. Dean. 1999. "Onset Age and Offense Specialization." Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 36:275-99.
53. Raftery, A. E. 1996. "Bayesian Model Selection in Social Research." Pp. 111-63 in Sociological Methodology, edited by P. V. Marsden. Oxford, UK: Basil Blackwell.
54. Sampson, R. J. and J. H. Laub. 1993. Crime in the Making. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
55. Schmidt, Peter and Ann D. Witte. 1988. Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models. New York: Springer-Verlag.
56. Spelman, W. 1994. Criminal Incapacitation. New York: Plenum.
57. Tibbetts, S. G. and A. R. Piquero. 1999. "The Influence of Gender, Low Birth Weight, and Disadvantaged Environment in Predicting Early Onset of Offending: A Test of Moffitt's Interactional Hypothesis. " Criminology 37:843-78.
58. Tolan, P. H. and D. Gorman-Smith. 1998. "Development of Serious and Violent Offending Careers. Pp. 68-85 in Serious and Violent Juvenile Offenders, edited by R. Loeber and D. P. Farrington. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
59. Tremblay, R. E. and W. M. Craig. 1995. "Developmental Crime Prevention." Pp. 151-236 in Building a Safer Society, edited by M. Tonry and D. P. Farrington. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
60. Visher, C. A. 1986. The Rand Inmate Survey: A Re-analysis. Pp. 161-211 in Criminal Careers and Career Criminals, volume 2, edited by Alfred Blumstein, Jacqueline Cohen, Jeffrey A. Roth, and Christy A. Visher. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
61. Visher, C. A., P. K. Lattimore, and R. L. Linster. 1991. "Predicting the Recidivism of Serious Youthful Offenders Using Survival Models." Criminology 29:329-66.
62. Winkelmann, R. and K. F. Zimmerman. 1995. "Recent Developments in Count Data Modeling: Theory and Application." Journal of Economic Surveys 9:1-23.
63. Wright, Richard T and Scott H. Decker. 1994. Burglars on the Job: Streetlife and Residential Break-Ins. Boston, MA: Northeastern University Press.