메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 9, Issue 3, 2003, Pages 242-272

FX volatility forecasts and the informational content of market data for volatility

Author keywords

Forecasting accuracy; Implied volatility; Model combination; Volatility models

Indexed keywords


EID: 0345060047     PISSN: 1351847X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/13518470210151100     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (30)
  • 2
    • 0002643479 scopus 로고
    • Prediction in dynamic models with time-dependent conditional variances
    • Baillie, R. T. and Bollerslev, T. (1992) Prediction in dynamic models with time-dependent conditional variances, Journal of Econometrics, 52, 91-113.
    • (1992) Journal of Econometrics , vol.52 , pp. 91-113
    • Baillie, R.T.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 4
    • 42449156579 scopus 로고
    • Generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
    • Bollerslev, T. (1986) Generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-27.
    • (1986) Journal of Econometrics , vol.31 , pp. 307-327
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 5
    • 33747736277 scopus 로고
    • The information content of option prices and a test of market efficiency
    • Chiras, D.P. and Manaster, S. (1978) The information content of option prices and a test of market efficiency, Journal of Financial Economics, 6, 213-34.
    • (1978) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.6 , pp. 213-234
    • Chiras, D.P.1    Manaster, S.2
  • 7
    • 45249128876 scopus 로고
    • Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography
    • Clemen, R.T. (1989) Combining forecasts: a review and annotated bibliography, International Journal of Forecasting, 5, 559-83.
    • (1989) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.5 , pp. 559-583
    • Clemen, R.T.1
  • 8
    • 0002733510 scopus 로고
    • Stock market volatility and the information content of stock index options
    • Day, T.E. and Lewis, C.M. (1992) Stock market volatility and the information content of stock index options, Journal of Econometrics, 52, 267-87.
    • (1992) Journal of Econometrics , vol.52 , pp. 267-287
    • Day, T.E.1    Lewis, C.M.2
  • 9
    • 0344886788 scopus 로고
    • Efficiency tests with overlapping data: An application to the currency options market
    • Dunis, C. and Keller, A. (1995) Efficiency tests with overlapping data: an application to the currency options market, European Journal of Finance, 1, 345-66.
    • (1995) European Journal of Finance , vol.1 , pp. 345-366
    • Dunis, C.1    Keller, A.2
  • 10
    • 84963146757 scopus 로고
    • Modelling the persistence of conditional variances
    • Engle, R.F. and Bollerslev, T. (1986) Modelling the persistence of conditional variances, Econometric Reviews, 5, 1-50.
    • (1986) Econometric Reviews , vol.5 , pp. 1-50
    • Engle, R.F.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 11
  • 12
    • 0003410290 scopus 로고
    • Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
    • Hamilton, J. (1994) Time Series Analysis, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
    • (1994) Time Series Analysis
    • Hamilton, J.1
  • 17
    • 21144472851 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting stock-return variances: Toward an understanding of stochastic implied volatilities
    • Lamoureux, G.G. and Lastrapes, W.D. (1993) Forecasting stock-return variances: toward an understanding of stochastic implied volatilities, Review of Financial Studies, 6, 293-326.
    • (1993) Review of Financial Studies , vol.6 , pp. 293-326
    • Lamoureux, G.G.1    Lastrapes, W.D.2
  • 18
    • 0001320229 scopus 로고
    • Standard deviations of stock price ratios implied in option prices
    • Latane, H.A. and Rendleman, R.J. (1976) Standard deviations of stock price ratios implied In option prices, Journal of Finance, 31, 369-81.
    • (1976) Journal of Finance , vol.31 , pp. 369-381
    • Latane, H.A.1    Rendleman, R.J.2
  • 21
    • 38249036595 scopus 로고
    • The characteristics of interest rates and stock variances implied in option prices
    • Martin, D.W. and French, D.W. (1987) The characteristics of interest rates and stock variances implied in option prices, Journal of Economics and Business, 39, 279-88.
    • (1987) Journal of Economics and Business , vol.39 , pp. 279-288
    • Martin, D.W.1    French, D.W.2
  • 22
    • 84984477156 scopus 로고
    • Simultaneous option and stock prices: Another look at the Black-Scholes model
    • O'Brien, T.J. and Kennedy, W.F. (1982) Simultaneous option and stock prices: another look at the Black-Scholes model, Financial Review, 17, 219-27.
    • (1982) Financial Review , vol.17 , pp. 219-327
    • O'Brien, T.J.1    Kennedy, W.F.2
  • 23
    • 0032469213 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Capturing all the information in foreign currency options: Solving for one versus two implied variables
    • Pedersen, W.R. (1998) Capturing all the information in foreign currency options: solving for one versus two implied variables, Applied Economics, 3O, 1679-83.
    • (1998) Applied Economics , vol.3 , Issue.O , pp. 1679-1683
    • Pedersen, W.R.1
  • 25
    • 0344886789 scopus 로고
    • Business cycles, financial crises and stock volatility
    • K. Brunner and A.H. Meltzer (eds), Amsterdam: North-Holland
    • Schwert, G.W. (1989a) Business cycles, financial crises and stock volatility, in K. Brunner and A.H. Meltzer (eds), IMF Policy Advice, Market Volatility, Commodity Price Rules and Other Essays, Amsterdam: North-Holland, pp. 82-126.
    • (1989) IMF Policy Advice, Market Volatility, Commodity Price Rules and Other Essays , pp. 82-126
    • Schwert, G.W.1
  • 26
    • 84977707955 scopus 로고
    • Why does stock market volatility change over time?
    • Schwert, G.W. (1989b) Why does stock market volatility change over time? Journal of Finance, 44, 1115-54.
    • (1989) Journal of Finance , vol.44 , pp. 1115-1154
    • Schwert, G.W.1
  • 27
    • 0003956344 scopus 로고
    • Modelling Financial Time Series
    • Chichester: John Wiley & Sons. Theil, H. (1966) Amsterdam: North-Holland
    • Taylor, S.J. (1986) Modelling Financial Time Series, Chichester: John Wiley & Sons. Theil, H. (1966) Applied Economic Forecasting, Amsterdam: North-Holland.
    • (1986) Applied Economic Forecasting
    • Taylor, S.J.1
  • 28
    • 0000650195 scopus 로고
    • The predictive ability of several models of exchange rate volatility
    • West, K.D. and Cho, D. (1995) The predictive ability of several models of exchange rate volatility, Journal of Econometrics, 69, 367-91.
    • (1995) Journal of Econometrics , vol.69 , pp. 367-391
    • West, K.D.1    Cho, D.2
  • 29
    • 0000095552 scopus 로고
    • A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity
    • White, H. (1980) A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity, Econometrica, 48, 817-38.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 817-838
    • White, H.1
  • 30
    • 0009992375 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditional volatility and the informational efficiency of the PHLX currency options market
    • C Dunis (ed.), Chichester: John Wiley & Sons
    • Xu, X. and Taylor, S.J. (1996) Conditional volatility and the informational efficiency of the PHLX currency options market, In C Dunis (ed.), Forecasting Financial Markets, Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, pp. 181-200.
    • (1996) Forecasting Financial Markets , pp. 181-200
    • Xu, X.1    Taylor, S.J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.