Survival chance in papillary thyroid cancer in Hungary: Individual survival probability estimation using the Markov method

Radiotherapy and Oncology

Volumn 44, Issue 3, 1997, Pages 203-212

  Ésik, Olga ^a   Tusnády, Gábor ^b   Daubner, Kornél ^a   Németh, György ^a   Füzy, Márton ^a   Szentirmay, Zoltán ^a  

^a NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ONCOLOGY   (Hungary)

^b ALFRÉD RÉNYI INSTITUTE OF MATHEMATICS   (Hungary)

Author keywords

Cox regression; External irradiation; Kaplan Meier estimation; Markov renewal model; Papillary carcinoma; PATHYPRE; Prognostic factors; Surgery; Survival; Thyroid; TSH suppression

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGED; ARTICLE; CANCER SURVIVAL; COMPUTER PROGRAM; FEMALE; FOLLOW UP; HUMAN; HUMAN CELL; HUMAN TISSUE; HUNGARY; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROGNOSIS; RADIOIODINATION; RELAPSE; RISK FACTOR; SCHOOL CHILD; SURVIVAL; THYROID PAPILLARY CARCINOMA; TUMOR VOLUME;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; CARCINOMA, PAPILLARY; CHILD; FEMALE; HUMANS; MALE; MARKOV CHAINS; MIDDLE AGED; NEOPLASM RECURRENCE, LOCAL; PROGNOSIS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; RISK FACTORS; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; SURVIVAL ANALYSIS; THYROID NEOPLASMS;

EID: 0342601497     PISSN: 01678140     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/S0167-8140(97)00098-4     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Andersen, P.K., Borgan, Ø., Gill, R.D. and Keiding, N. Statistical Models Based on Counting Processes. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1992.
2. Balan, K.K., Raouf, A.H. and Critchley, M. Outcome of 249 patients attending a nuclear medicine department with well differentiated thyroid cancer; a 23 year review. Br. J. Radiol. 67: 283-291, 1994.
3. Beaugié, J.M., Brown, C.L., Doniach, I. and Richardson, J.E. Primary malignant tumours of the thyroid: the relationship between histological classification and clinical behaviour. Br. J. Surg. 63: 173-181, 1976.
4. Beierwaltes, W.H. The treatment of thyroid carcinoma with radio-active iodine. Semin. Nucl. Med. 8: 79-94, 1978.
5. BMDP Statistical Software Inc., Los Angeles, CA, 1990.
6. Byar, D.P., Green, S.B., Dor, P., Williams, D., Colon, J., van Gilse, H.A., Mayer, M, Sylvester, R.J. and van Glabbeke, M. A prognostic index for thyroid carcinoma. A study of the E.O.R.T.C. Thyroid Cancer Cooperative Group. Eur. J. Cancer 15: 1033-1041, 1979.
7. Cady, B. and Rossi, R. An expanded view of risk-group definition in differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Surgery 104: 947-953, 1988.
8. Carcangiu, M.L., Zampi, G., Pupi, A., Castagnoli, A. and Rosai, J. Papillary carcinoma of the thyroid. A clinicopathologic study of 241 cases treated at the University of Florence, Italy. Cancer 55: 805-828, 1985.
9. Crile, G., Jr. Changing end results in patients with papillary carcinoma of the thyroid. Surg. Gynecol. Obstet. 132: 460-468, 1971.
10. Cox, D.R. Regression models and life tables. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 34: 187-220, 1972.
11. Dabrowska, D.M., Sun, G.-w. and Horowitz, M.M. Cox regression in a Markov renewal model: an application to the analysis of bone marrow transplant data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 89: 867-877, 1994.
12. Fransilla, K.O. Outcome in papillary carcinoma of the thyroid. Ann. Chir. Gynaecol. 67: 49-57, 1978.
13. Greenfield, L.D. Thyroid tumors. In: Principles and Practice of Radiation Oncology, 1st edn., pp. 1126-1156. Editors: C.A. Perez and L.W. Brady. J.B. Lippincott, Philadelphia, PA, 1985.
14. Greenfield, L.D. and Luk, K.H. Thyroid. In: Principles and Practice of Radiation Oncology, 2nd edn., pp. 1356-1381. Editors: C.A. Perez and L.W. Brady. J.B. Lippincott, Philadelphia, PA, 1992.
15. Hay, I.D., Taylor, W.F. and McConahey, W.M. A prognostic score for predicting outcome in papillary thyroid carcinoma. Endocrinology 119 (Suppl.): T15, 1986.
16. Hay, I.D., Grant, C.S., Taylor, W.F. and McConahey, W.M. Ipsilateral lobectomy versus bilateral lobar resection in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a retrospective analysis of surgical outcome using a novel prognostic scoring system. Surgery 102: 1088-1095, 1987.
17. Hay, I.D., Grant, C.S., van Heerden, J.A., Goellner, J.R., Ebersold, J.R. and Bergstralh, E.J. Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a study of 535 cases observed in a 50-year period. Surgery 112: 1139-1147, 1992.
18. Ito, T., Seyama, T., Mizuno, T., Tsuyama, N., Hayashi, T., Hayashi, Y., Dohi, K., Nakamura, N. and Akiyama, M. Unique association of p53 mutations with undifferentiated but not with differentiated carcinomas of the thyroid gland. Cancer Res. 52: 1369-1371, 1992.
19. Kaplan, E.L. and Meier, P. Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 53: 457-481, 1958.
20. Kukkonen, S.T., Haapiainen, R.K., Fransilla, K.O. and Sivula, A.H. Papillary thyroid carcinoma: the new, age-related TNM classification system in a retrospective analysis of 199 patients. World J. Surg. 14: 837-842, 1990.
21. Mandel, S., Brent, G.A. and Larsen, P.R. Levothyroxine therapy in patients with thyroid disease. Ann. Intern. Med. 119: 492-502, 1993.
22. Mazzaferri, E.L., Young, R.L., Oertel, J.E., Kemmerer, W.T. and Page, C.P. Papillary thyroid carcinoma: the impact of therapy in 576 patients. Medicine 56: 171-196, 1977.
23. Mazzaferri, E.L. and Young, R.L. Papillary thyroid carcinoma: a 10-year follow-up report of the impact of therapy in 576 patients. Am. J. Med. 70: 511-517, 1981.
24. McConahey, W.M., Hay, I.D., Woolner, L.B., van Heerden, J.A. and Taylor, W.F. Papillary thyroid cancer treated at the Mayo Clinic, 1946 through 1970: initial manifestations, pathologic findings, therapy, and outcome. Mayo Clin. Proc. 61: 978-996, 1986.
25. Pasieka, J.L., Zedenius, J., Auer, G., Grimelius, L., Höög, A., Lundell, G., Wallin, G. and Bäckdahl, M. Addition of nuclear DNA content to the AMES risk-group classification for papillary thyroid cancer. Surgery 112: 1154-1160, 1992.
26. Pasieka, J.L. and Rotstein, L.E. Consensus conference on well-differentiated thyroid cancer: a summary. Can. J. Surg. 36: 298-301, 1993.
27. Schicha, H. and Scheidhauer, K. Radiojodtherapie in Europa - eine Umfrage. Nuklearmedizin 32: 321-324, 1993.
28. Simpson, W.J., McKinney, S.E., Carruthers, J.S., Gospodarowicz, M.K., Sutcliffe, S.B. and Panzarella, T. Papillary and follicular thyroid cancer. Prognostic factors in 1578 patients. Am. J. Med. 83: 479-488, 1987.
29. Simpson, W.J., Sutcliffe, S.B. and Gospodarowicz, M.K. The thyroid. In: Radiation Oncology: Rationale, Technique, Results, 6th edn., pp. 254-276. Editors: W.T. Moss and J.D. Cox. Mosby, St. Louis, MO, 1989.
30. Staunton, M.D. and Bourne, H. Malignant thyroid tumours 1932 to 1972: the outcome in 492 patients, Eur. J. Surg. Oncol. 18: 469-474, 1992.
31. Tscholl-Ducommun, J. and Hedinger, C.E. Papillary thyroid carcinomas. Morphology and prognosis, Virchows Arch. 396: 19-39, 1982.
32. Tubiana, M., Schlumberger, M., Rougier, P., Laplanche, A., Benhamou, E., Gardet, P., Caillou, B., Travagli, J.-P. and Parmentier, C. Long-term results and prognostic factors in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma. Cancer 55: 794-804, 1985.
33. Tusnády, G. Statistical analysis and prediction of Hungarian mortality curves. In: Human Resources and Social Stability During Transition in Hungary, pp. 242-253. Editors: É. Ehrlich and G. Révész. International Center for Economic Growth, San Francisco, CA, 1995.
34. UICC. Thyroid gland. In: TNM Atlas. Illustrated Guide to the TNM/pTNM Classification of Malignant Tumours, 3rd edn., pp. 56-61. Editors: B. Spiessl, O.H. Beahrs, P. Hermanek, R.V.P. Hutter, O. Scheibe, L.H. Sobin and G. Wagner. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1990.
35. WHO. Histological typing of thyroid tumors. In: International Histological Classification of Tumours, 2nd edn., No. 11, pp. 9-10. Editors: C. Hedinger, E.D. Williams and L.H. Sobin. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1988.